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Wednesday, 3 February 2021

5:30 Chlemsford Racing Tips & Lay (4th February)

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

I can see 2 runners that are natural front running types which is always a positive when trying to analyse a race, I would look to lay (Edraak 9/2) if a single figure price as I think it will be better when raced over further, Watchable is versatile with its racing tactics and that includes leading but maybe wont try that tactic in this race with Will To Win a more natural front runner drawn on its inside, Huraiz has a fast time from Lingfield and this course is very similar so it could go well but will need a bit of luck in running from stall 5 with the make-up of this race as I think SPIRIT OF MAY 10/3 from stall 10 will try and cut across towards the rails and those drawn in stalls 5 to 9 might get squeezed out, and if my selection does get to the front it should prove hard to catch having the top rated time on recent c/d times usually I am not a fan of backing favourites but in class 3 with 7.4k to the winner i would expect them all to be trying. 

Spirit Of May 16/1 9th (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Edraak -2.25pts

Total -3.25pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This could be a mad dash for the line with 4 known front runners in the field and its still hard to analyse to a conclusion, there's many with good trainer and/or jockey stats and plenty with good AW and/or c/d win ratios, I think Leodis Dream, Tropics, Texting, Verne Castle and Rovaniemi could battle each other to make the frame but I will pinning my money onto the saddle cloth of JACK THE TRUTH 9/1 who is a possible pacesetter and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and as long as all 8 take part it might be worth going with an each way bet, the jockeys 40% win ratio on the stables older horses is what made me go with this selection but my stakes wont be at full strength in such a competitive race.

Jack The Truth 9/1 1st (+9pts) (Betfair SP 12.5) 

Total on the day: +5.75pts

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