3:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (3rd August)

CHELMSFORD 3.10 

My first thoughts is why is Alehandro 4/1 as I think it's better when racing over five furlongs but it is a 3yo so could improve but I'm hoping it's not in this race as I will be looking to lay it, the early pace might be set by Rockesbury and it could do enough to make the frame, I will be backing two in this race, firstly DELEGATE THE LADY 8/1 (EW) who is my top rated using just 2021 times over this course and distance, I admit MAID MILLIE 12/1(EW) hasn't shown much so far this year but has a time from 2020 that would make it my top rated so I'm covering the angles for both this year and overall figures and two each way bets could pay dividends 

Delegate The Lady 8/1 2nd +0.6pts

Maid Millie 12/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alehandro +1pt

Total -0.4pts

FFOS LAS 3.35 

Only 5 runners and no known front running types amongst them, Seneca Chief 8/1 may struggle to stay the distance if there's a good fast early pace, Sweet Pursuit 5/2 hasn't been in form lately and looks poor value, Sarah's Verse 5/2 is my 3rd top rated while I have Gilt Edge 3/1 sitting in 2nd top spot while my money will be riding on STRONG POWER 15/2 who has a time from 2020 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 4.18 

A field of 9 taking part with a couple of known front runners which means it should be a true run race, that's if all the runners are triers, I will look to lay Raaeb 3/1 who firstly looks poor value and I think it will be better when racing over further, of the two front runners I think Lomu may do best being my 2nd top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that figure is only good enough for 5th top on overall figures but then again it does have a fast time from Lingfield so could do enough to at least make the frame, my money will be riding on JACK THE TRUTH 11/1 who has good trainer/jockey stats and likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Jack The Truth 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Raab -3pts 

Total -4pts 

Total on the day -5.4pts

7:50 Chelmsford Racing Tips (6th May)

CHELMSFORD 7.50 

JACK THE TRUTH 13/2 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish and is my top rated. 

AUTUMN FLIGHT 5/2 a possible pacesetter but needs to improve time wise to win this race being just 3rd best on my figures. 

SCALE FORCE 10/3 hasn't any form on this surface and would need to improve for the switch to win this race. 

GLOBAL PROSPECTOR 9/4 my 2nd top rated and another possible pacesetter and could be dangerous if allowed to dictate the race from the front. 

SUMMARY: The only older horse sprint race of the day and a dismal turnout of just 4 runners, 2 of which have been known to lead and the other 2 like to track the leaders so it should be a true run affair, Scale Force races as though further suits it better and needs to improve time wise to be winning this race, Autumn Flight is a possible pacesetter but is only 3rd best on my own unique speed figures, Global Prospector is the other known front runner and my 2nd top rated so I think they might be setting the race up for the top weighted JACK THE TRUTH 13/2 who has won 4 races and been placed in another 4 races from just its 9 runs over this course and distance, the trainer has a 21% win ratio at this course and the jockey has an 18% win ratio on all of his rides for the stable but that rises to 31% when riding the stables older horses and it certainly looks the value call in the race in my opinion.

Jack The Truth 15/2 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

12:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (13th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 12.20 

A poor turnout of just 5 runners but luckily there is a front runner amongst them, this distance might be a bit too short for the top weight Requinto Dawn and it might be value to lay looking at the tissue prices (5/4 favourite) time wise there is very little between the other 4 runners, Lorna Cole also may prefer further but is usually staying on strongly at this distance but would need a perfect run to pick the leader, Van Gerwen has only 2 previous runs over this c/d and neither time was fast enough to win, Steelrivers best time comes from 2019 but has still run some decent races but i am hoping SLOWMO 7/2 can get away smartly from stall 1 and gain control of the rails and from there kick on in the home straight and hold on for the win. 

Slowm0 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.15

This is a classy looking class 2 race with 8 runners but only Repartee haven been known to lead before but that's only when nothing else wants to set the pace, the bottom weight Juan Les Pins comes out top rated using a Newcastle time but that time was recorded in a lower class race than this one so may get outclassed here, Summerghand will probably be the favourite but I'm not sure it can give the weight of 7lbs or more to the rest of the field but I expect it will run a genuine race, Brian The Snail is held at the weights by my selection but does have a time from Newcastle that would see it make the frame, I will siding with STREAMLINE 7/2 who has had 3 runs this year and its best time came from Lingfield this year so hasn't run as badly as it looks at first, it hasn't run on this surface before but the jockey booking makes me think connections are expecting to win this race. 

Streamline 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair sp 4.1) 

Total +3.5pts

CHELMSFORD 7.20 

A 7 runner race with one natural front running type, Capla Spirit, and another that could lead if nothing else wants to, Royal Birth, I'm not convinced that Capla Spirit likes this course and even if it leads I doubt it can hold on for the win, Royal Birth has a time from back in 2019 that would make it my joint top rated and hasn't raced over this c/d recently but has only won one race per year recently so may have won its quota for this year, or has it, I think it could run a good race and does have good trainer, 16% and jockey, 20% stats, Mokaatil comes out 3rd best on my figures and should be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late for the win, I am putting my faith, and money, on JACK THE TRUTH 3/1 who is quite versatile with its racing style, apart from setting the pace, the trainer stats are 20% win ratio and the jockey has a 22% win rate for all types of race but that goes up to 50% when riding this stables older horses.

Jack The Truth 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Total +1.5

5:30 Chlemsford Racing Tips & Lay (4th February)

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

I can see 2 runners that are natural front running types which is always a positive when trying to analyse a race, I would look to lay (Edraak 9/2) if a single figure price as I think it will be better when raced over further, Watchable is versatile with its racing tactics and that includes leading but maybe wont try that tactic in this race with Will To Win a more natural front runner drawn on its inside, Huraiz has a fast time from Lingfield and this course is very similar so it could go well but will need a bit of luck in running from stall 5 with the make-up of this race as I think SPIRIT OF MAY 10/3 from stall 10 will try and cut across towards the rails and those drawn in stalls 5 to 9 might get squeezed out, and if my selection does get to the front it should prove hard to catch having the top rated time on recent c/d times usually I am not a fan of backing favourites but in class 3 with 7.4k to the winner i would expect them all to be trying. 

Spirit Of May 16/1 9th (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Edraak -2.25pts

Total -3.25pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This could be a mad dash for the line with 4 known front runners in the field and its still hard to analyse to a conclusion, there's many with good trainer and/or jockey stats and plenty with good AW and/or c/d win ratios, I think Leodis Dream, Tropics, Texting, Verne Castle and Rovaniemi could battle each other to make the frame but I will pinning my money onto the saddle cloth of JACK THE TRUTH 9/1 who is a possible pacesetter and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and as long as all 8 take part it might be worth going with an each way bet, the jockeys 40% win ratio on the stables older horses is what made me go with this selection but my stakes wont be at full strength in such a competitive race.

Jack The Truth 9/1 1st (+9pts) (Betfair SP 12.5) 

Total on the day: +5.75pts

4:10 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (8th October)

SOUTHWELL 4.10 

There's a maximum field of 14 runners 6 of them having been known to lead before and most of my top rated horses are front running sorts, the 2 that might do best of those coming from off the pace are Undercover Brother and Queen Of Kalahari, Sommer Katze and Red Stripes are 2 front runners that have times that would put them in the mix but I will be taking a bit of a punt on CROSSE FIRE 28/1 (EW) who admittedly hasn't shown much so far this year but has a time from 2019 that makes it my top rated, its draw in stall 2 is nearly perfect and I hope it gets away smartly and gains control of the rails and then prove hard to catch, I'm also hoping the tissue prices are right as its forecast to be a twenty to one shot so worth an each way gamble. 

Crosse Fire 28/1 2nd (+6pts) 

Total: +6pts

SOUTHWELL 5.40

This is the 2nd division of this race and the 1st division hasn't much data to work with so looks best left alone, I will look to lay (Onebaba + Northern Charm) as I'm not sure they will like this surface, I will be concentrating on the pair at the top of the handicap, Global Melody is 2nd top rated using just 2020 c/d times but has a time from 2019 that would make it top rated overall, Puchita is top rated on just this years times which is always a bonus and I will go with an each way bet on GLOBAL MELODY 10/1 (EW) and a win bet on PUCHITA 10/3 to cover both angles. 

Global Melody 10/1 1st (+12pts) Betfair SP (9.7) 

Puchita 10/3 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Onebab +1pt, Northern Charm +1pt

Total: +13pts

CHELMSFORD 7.00

This is a cracking looking class 3 dash and half the field of 12 have been known to lead before so it will be fast and furious, I cannot find anything of value to lay but that's maybe to be expected when dealing with better class animals, of the front runners maybe Mercenary Rose and Benny And The Jets will do best and are my 3rd and 4th top rated horses on overall figures, Daschas comes out 2nd top but I did have to go back to 2018 to find that time so I leave this one alone until it shows signs of a revival, I'm hoping the front runners really do go mad at the off and then tire nearing the finish which could play into the hands of JACK THE TRUTH 9/2 who is a hold up type and has been found a good chance of completing its hattrick.

Jack The Truth 5/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  +18pts

6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (1st October)

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

A nice class 4 race for the 1st sprint at this meeting, there's 5 known front running types amongst the 12 runners so it will be a true run dash, I will look to lay (Al Dawodiya + He’s A Laddie) who both need to improve on what they have shown so far, Restless Rose is my joint 3rd top rated and has the plum draw so will try to get a rails position just behind the leaders and then try to stay on, Daschas isthe other 3rd top rated and it likes to track the pace, I've got joint top rated with Cowboy Soldier who is a hold up type while the other one is JACK THE TRUTH and being a front runner and in stall 2 it could lead and gain control of the rails and then prove hard to catch. 

Jack The Truth 7/1 1st (+7pts) Betfair SP (8.75) 

Lay bets: Al Dawodiya +1pt, He's A Laddies +1pt

Total: +9pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

My lays in this race will be (Lucky Lodge + Lethal Angel) if in single figures price-wise, there's a few that could run well, Cappananty Con, Nubough and Sir Hector and could be battling to make the frame, I'm not really sure what will lead so its hard to analyse the race but my money will be riding on MAID MILLIE who won last time out and a repeat would be enough to follow up in this race. 

Maid Millie 15/2 7th (-1pt)

Lucky Lodge +1pt, Lethal Angel +1pt 

Total: +1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30

This is a dire race with lots of horses with very little form to work with and anyone of them could spring a surprise as the race will not take much winning, I will only lay one (Rocketeer) the pace could be set by Rockesbury and/or Tavener but they will hopefully set the race up for a hold up type hopefully in the shape of TOOLATETODELEGATE who has the ideal draw, stall 1 and will be running on strongly at the business end of this race but the trainers 1-42 record at this course is a bit off-putting.

Toolatetodelegate 9/2 4th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Rocketeer +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total of the day: +10pts

1:05 Chepstow Racing Tips & Lay Bets (21st July)

CHEPSTOW 1.05 

I have found 3 that I would like to lay (Tabaahy + Prince Of Rome + Bal Mal) Port Winston has led before as has Bal Mal but timewise they would need to improve a fair bit, Zulu Zander could run well enough to make the frame, my 2nd top-rated is Secretfact who can be held up or track the leaders and if running to its previous best should make the frame but I will be backing the bottom weight ALBA DEL SOLE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and they stay on the stronger at the finish and it has what looks to be a positive jockey booking so hopefully connections are expecting the horse to go very well here. 

Alba Del Sol 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Bal Mal -5pts, Prince Of Rome +1pt, Tabaahy +1pt

Total: -4pts

SANDOWN 5.00 

In this race, I have a couple to lay (Princess Power + *Jungle Speed) the 3yo Pop Dancer could be a bit of a hidden danger in this race but I am not completely sure how good or bad it will run so I cant back or lay this one, Our Oystercatcher could go well here but doesn't seem to like true good to firm ground and if not watered it could well be good to firm, the bottom weight Zac Brown is capable of producing a good run if on a going day but my money will be riding on the topweight JACK THE TRUTH 8/1 who is a possible pacesetter and if this one gets to the front it could be very hard to catch.

*NR

Jack The Truth 8/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Princess Power +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -4pts

3:55 Newmarket Racing Tips (24th August)

NEWMARKET 3.55 (7.0)

This looks a nice Listed sprint and I have something I fancy quite strongly but as its dropped in class I have the feeling it will be a short-priced favourite, Raucous has a time from Goodwood that would see it competitive but I'm not sure if its quite classy enough to win this race and the same applies to Fille De Reve on a time it did last year at Haydock again in a lower class race, I Could Do Better and Land Of Legends are a couple of 3-year-olds that could be dangerous but haven't any form at this distance but the drop in distance could be ideal for them but then again maybe not but the other 3-year-old PRETTY POLLYANNA 5/4 recorded a fast time over this c/d earlier this year and has been running in much higher class races and has to be the one to back. 

Pretty Pollyanna 5/4 2nd 

NEWMARKET 5.05 (7.0)

This class 4 race looks another cracking race on paper but I can find negatives against quite a few of the runners, Sandridge Lad could be a pacesetter but its form points to it wanting some cut in the going to show its best, Excessable, Han Solo Berger and Leo Minor have got pieces of form that would make them competitive but they are all on double-figure losing runs, Nibras Again has good form to its name but they are all on the level type of courses so I'm not sure it can repeat it on this undulating course but my money will be riding on the one with the highest speed figure on my graphs for this year JACK THE TRUTH 6/1 and this is the only other known frontrunner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Jack The Truth 10/1 7th 

WINDSOR 5.50 (7.5)

In this 8 runner race there's a distinct lack of early pace but something will decide to lead but which one I've no idea unless the 3-year-old Baby Steps who usually likes to track the leaders takes on the role, Duplication is dropped in class here and but its first run since 2017 wasn't inspiring so I would need to see some hint of retained talent before backing this one, Tin Hat did a time over this c/d which is beginning to look more and more like a flukey time for it but it is only a 3 year old so could spring back to that level which would see it makes the frame but my money will be riding on OEIL DE TIGRE 13/2 who won in this class the time before last but didn't stay the 7th furlong last time out and is soon dropped back to where it has every chance of getting back to winning ways and the apprentices 7lb claim moves it even further clear at the top of my ratings.

Oeil De Tigre 8/1 4th