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Friday 19 March 2021

6:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th March)


GABRIAL THE DEVIL 6/1 hasn't any c/d form since 2018 but has been placed in both of its c/d races plus it would need to improve on its best time to win this race but it has a fast time from Southwell but maybe not able to reproduce it on this surface. 

TREACHEROUS 10/1 may need this run for fitness and the trainers poor 1-64 win ratio at this course is off-putting, also it would need to improve time wise on c/d times but does have a fast time from Kempton but i am not sure it can reproduce that figure in this race. 

LEDHAM 16/1 hasnt' any c/d form to work with, the trainer is 0-3 at this course and i think it might be a better prospect when tried over a longer distance and one i will lay if its a single figure price.

CONCIERGE 12/1 comes out 3rd best on my own speed figures using its best time from 2020 and is usually found to be staying on at the finish over this distance so could run on into a place so might be worth an each way punt at the price.

FUTURISTIC 2/1 has won its only race over this c/d and the time would make it 4th top rated on my figures it has average trainer/jockey stats, it would need to improve its times to win and this lightly raced sort could still improve.

POWER OVER ME 3/1 comes out joint top rated on my figures the jockey has average stats but the trainer is 1-48 with their older horses on this course but could be the one to set the pace. 

DIAMOND DOUGAL 7/2 is the other joint top rated but its time was recorded in a lower class race than today's, the jockey is 0-5 for the trainer but has won twice over this c/d from just 3 runs. 

SUMMARY: I can actually find a reason to not back every horse in the race but I will stick with my own unique speed figures that serve me so well in the long-term, I have a couple that I would look to lay in this race Treacherous + Ledham the former may need the run for fitness while the latter may need a longer distance to shine, i expect the pace will be set by Gabrial The Devil and POWER OVER ME 3/1 with the latter being drawn nearer the rail of the pair so could gain control and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and has won 4 of its 5 races this year but the trainers 1-48 record here with its older horses is a worry, the bottom weight Diamond Dougal has earned the right to take part in this higher class race but I think it may get outclassed here.

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