2:45 Hamilton Racing Tips (3rd June)

HAMILTON 2.45 

With 11 runners and a couple that have been known to lead before it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Illusionist 5/1 if a single figure price as it might be too far for it with a fast early pace, it is quite competitive at the top of my figures and Call Me Ginger, Embour and Manigordo could all go well in this race but I think the trainer Tim Easterby could hold the key to this race as both of his horses are two known to show the early pace, he jockey onEquiano Springs is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics but DANZAN 4/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated and the apprentice has a good 24% win ratio for the stable and I'm hoping it can get away quickly and lead from start to finish. 

Danzan 4/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 4.30

If the going is good to firm then I will look to lay Ey Up Its Mick 4/1 who seems to prefer good or softer ground, Hart Stopper is 4th on my figures and should run its usual consistent race and could make the frame if others falter, Picks Pinta is 3rd best but hasn't shown much time wise since 2019, MR WAGYU 7/2 is my 2nd top rated but is the only known front runner in the race so could be more than dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I do have NUBOUGH 5/1 rated higher and this one usually runs on strongly at the finish and I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Mr Wagyu 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair sp - )

Nubough 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total +2.5pts

HAMILTON 5.05 

With 6 runners its still not an easy race to analyse, Major Pusey may need this run for fitness and I think it might go from the front and then tire in the closing stages, Latin Five may need further to show its best and has only won once from 17 races, there is very little between Lady Celia, Buniann and Ventura Flame and any or all could go well but top rated is BALLYARE 5/1 but this one hasn't won in 9 previous attempts and only placed once plus it has poor, 0-5 Trainer and 0-7 jockey stats so maybe this race is best left alone and I will only bet if there is any value, 6/1 or above. 

Ballyare 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.45 

A field of 13 with 3, Good Night Mr Tom, Quick Look and Kolossus, known front running types, I'm not sure the first 2 really like good to firm ground so maybe the latter will do best of the pacesetters and it does come out joint 4th top rated so could go well with an easy lead, Ice Age is top using a time from 2019 but isn't in my top 6 on recent 2020/21 times and has poor trainer/jockey stats, Highjacked has been in good form lately and I expect it could go well again here but it is a step up in class and I doubt it will be of value to take the risk, Mutanaaseq could be staying on at the finish but maybe not quick enough to get there in time to win the race, I will be having a small wager on DICK DATCHERY 10/1 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run, it is a competitive race and my stakes will be kept low. 

Dick Datchery 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

Only 5 runners for this class 3 race, I'm not sure Araifjan is quite up to this class of race, Top Breeze hasn't really shown much time wise since 2018, top weight Ivetheengine also needs to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with POWER OVER ME 11/4 who is one of 2 known front runners in the race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and I expect it to be the favourite but if CORINTHIA KNIGHT 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Kempton at this course it could possibly catch the leader and looks the value call in the race but I will do them both to cover the angles.

Corinthia Knight 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Power Over Me 11/4 4th -1pt

Total on the day -2.5pts

6:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

GABRIAL THE DEVIL 6/1 hasn't any c/d form since 2018 but has been placed in both of its c/d races plus it would need to improve on its best time to win this race but it has a fast time from Southwell but maybe not able to reproduce it on this surface. 

TREACHEROUS 10/1 may need this run for fitness and the trainers poor 1-64 win ratio at this course is off-putting, also it would need to improve time wise on c/d times but does have a fast time from Kempton but i am not sure it can reproduce that figure in this race. 

LEDHAM 16/1 hasnt' any c/d form to work with, the trainer is 0-3 at this course and i think it might be a better prospect when tried over a longer distance and one i will lay if its a single figure price.

CONCIERGE 12/1 comes out 3rd best on my own speed figures using its best time from 2020 and is usually found to be staying on at the finish over this distance so could run on into a place so might be worth an each way punt at the price.

FUTURISTIC 2/1 has won its only race over this c/d and the time would make it 4th top rated on my figures it has average trainer/jockey stats, it would need to improve its times to win and this lightly raced sort could still improve.

POWER OVER ME 3/1 comes out joint top rated on my figures the jockey has average stats but the trainer is 1-48 with their older horses on this course but could be the one to set the pace. 

DIAMOND DOUGAL 7/2 is the other joint top rated but its time was recorded in a lower class race than today's, the jockey is 0-5 for the trainer but has won twice over this c/d from just 3 runs. 

SUMMARY: I can actually find a reason to not back every horse in the race but I will stick with my own unique speed figures that serve me so well in the long-term, I have a couple that I would look to lay in this race Treacherous + Ledham the former may need the run for fitness while the latter may need a longer distance to shine, i expect the pace will be set by Gabrial The Devil and POWER OVER ME 3/1 with the latter being drawn nearer the rail of the pair so could gain control and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and has won 4 of its 5 races this year but the trainers 1-48 record here with its older horses is a worry, the bottom weight Diamond Dougal has earned the right to take part in this higher class race but I think it may get outclassed here.

3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (21st January)

LINGFIELD 3.30 

A field of 8 and one known front runner in POWER OVER ME 3/1 and its time from Chelmsford makes it rated 71 on my figures and could feasibly lead all the way, Madrinho is also rated 71 but that is using a 2018 figure, I've got 3 runners all rated 72, Knockout Blow would move to top spot on its own with the apprentices 5lb claim but its best form comes in class 6 races, Shamshon gets its rating from 2019 and hasn't been as good time wise in 2020 or this month, I will also be backing DESERT LAND 6/4 who recorded its 72 rating on its run last time out when winning and could follow up here but i will back them both to cover the angles, they are the first two in the betting which doesn't surprise me and with my ratings making it so close my stakes will be kept low. 

Power Over Me 3/1 1st (+3pts) (Betfair SP 4.10 )

Desert Land 7/4 5th (-1pt)

Total: +2pts

LINGFIELD 4.00 

Not the greatest of races and then add on that its an apprentice jockeys race muddies the waters, i will look to lay (Everkyllachy 7/2) if its a single figure price as it may not stay the distance, Top Boy can find this trip a bit too far if there's a fast early pace and that might happen here but the trainer has a good 18% win ratio in apprentice races, Storm Melody would be top rated if i used its best time from Chelmsford but its only run over this c/d resulted in a low speed figure, Our Man In Havana could go well and is versatile with its racing tactics so maybe worth an each way wager if of value but my money will be riding on DREAMBOAT ANNIE 7/1 who could lead all the way in this race as it is the only natural front running sort in the entrants. 

Dreamboat Annie 11/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Everkyllachy +1pt

Total: 0pts

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

Red Pike who is a 10yo seems to be on a downward spiral and has shown nothing worthwhile for awhile now but the 11yo LUCKY LODGE 11/1 is still going strong and has been found a decent chance to get back to winning ways here and at the price its worth an each way flutter, maybe its stablemate Tahmeen 3/1 will lead and set the race up for it and Tathmeen might even do enough from the front to make the frame but isn't an each Way price, I will also be backing PEARL OF QATAR 2/1 in this race, it is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and the jockey booking looks a positive one and comes out top on my figures. 

Pearl Of Qatar 2/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lucky Lodge 11/1 4th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.30 

Another race where I will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, El Hombre 4/1 is capable on its day but the trainer is 1-40 with its older horses at this course and the jockey is 0-14 which is enough to put me off its chances especially at the price, North Wind 12/1 might need a longer trip and the jockeys 0-19 record on the stables older horses makes me wonder if this one will be expected to win but it is a biggish price, Shoot To Kill could try to lead from stall 2 but it might be a bit outclassed at this level, I think/hope the early pace will be set by OUTRAGE 4/1 who has on 4 races been placed in 4 races from its 9 runs over this c/d and could possibly lead all the way here but I will also be backing BIRKENHEAD 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and from stall 1 should get a good early position from which to attack nearing the finish and the jockey does well for the stable.

Outrage 4/1 2nd (-1pt)

Birkenhead 12/1 7th (-1pt)

Total: - 2pts

Total on the day: -2pts