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Wednesday, 31 March 2021

6:50 Chelmsford Racing Tips (1st April)


ABEL HANDY 6/1 is a possible pacesetter who comes out 2nd best on just c/d times and 3rd top overall so could go well and make the frame but isn't what i would call an each way price.

STRONG POWER 10/1 hasn't any course form to its name and it races as though further will suit it better and i expect it will be an outsider.

AUTUMN FLIGHT 7/1 hasn't run on any AW track before this race and most of its form on turf comes with some cut in the ground so this fast surface may not suit it and maybe one to lay.

SMOKEY 3/1 is in tip top form winning 3 of its 4 runs this year and has a good chance to add to that tally here, being it is my top rated.

CAPLA SPIRIT 10/1 another possible pacesetter and comes out 3rd top on just c/d times but this isn't its favoured course but could make the frame in this relatively weak race for the class.

ASCOT JUNGLE 33/1 hasn't shown much recently and i think it will be the biggest outsider in the race.

AGENT SHIFTWELL 11/4 the 3rd and final one that could lead here, its c/d time is a relatively slow while its best time from Wolverhampton makes it 2nd top overall and could go well here.

MISS THOUGHTFUL hasn't any form over this distance and its stays on over 6 furlongs so may get outpaced here and one i will look to lay. (NON-RUNNER) 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay both (Miss Thoughtful + Autumn Flight 7/1) if they are single figure prices, Abel Handy and/or Agent Shiftwell may do best of those running to the front in the race but they may be setting it up for SMOKEY 3/1 who is in tremendous form and has been found another good opportunity to add to its tally of 3 first places this season and it can be held up for a late run or stay on strongly after tracking the leaders and this race looks likely to be run in a way that will suit its racing tactics.

Smokey 3/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Autumn Flight -7pts, Miss Thoughtful +1pt

Total on the day -7pts

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