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Thursday, 1 April 2021

2:50 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd April)

NEWCASTLE 2.50 

A 9 runner class 4 race with 2 known front runners and i think this race could well be won from the front, I will look to lay (Treble Treble 7/1 +Spanish Angel) if they are in single figure prices, I've only got 1lb between my 3rd to 5th top rated and Devils Angel and Dandys Gold who are joint 3rd top rated could fight it out to make the frame, SPARTAN FIGHTER 18/1 who has won twice over this c/d is my top rated and will most likely attempt to lead all the way but its last 4 runs haven't been great but its win in the race before that would see it winning a little cosily but just in case it runs poorly again I will also have to back GLOBAL WARNING 2/1 who is the other known front running type and has won both of its races over this c/d so I think these 2 could have the race between them from the off. Treble Treble 7/1 2 Points lay...Spartan Fighter 18/1 ½ Point Each Way...Global Warning 2/1 1 Point win 

Global Warning 2/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Treble Treble -14pts, Spanish Angel +1pt

Total - 14pts

LINGFIELD 3.10 

A nice looking class 2 conditions race, I will start as usual with a lay, (Harrys Bar 4/1) who has times that are relatively slow for this class but it does usually run a decent race and could maybe make the frame and I am only looking to lay the win part, time wise its fairly close between my top 4 ratings, Aberama Gold who has quite poor trainer/jockey stats and stall 1 maybe not ideal in the make up of this race, Lampangbut this one might just get its high speed rating by getting towed song in a fast run race but hasn't won for awhile, Brian The Snail very often runs well and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but i will be putting my faith on HIGHLAND DRESS 11/1 who is drawn in stall 2 and being the only known front runner it could gain control of the rails until in the home straight and then kick on for the win and the one has got trainer stats at this course and the jockey has a 20% win ratio on this stables older horses. Harry’s Bar 4/1 1 Point lay...Highland Dress 11/1 1 Point Each Way 

Highland Dress 11/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets Harry's Bar +1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way bet, I will lay (Erich Bloch) if a single figure price as it might need this run for fitness, in mot sure this surface really suits it and it might even need a longer trip, the early pace may be set by Kind Review and/or Another Angel, the former needs to improve time wise whilst the latter maybe outclassed at this level, Canford Bay is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could be worth an each way bet if any value to do so but I will be relying on BUNIANN 2/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish, the price is poor but it would be ok in a multi-bet. Buniann 2/1 1 Point win 

Bunian 9/4 3rd -1pt

Lay bet Erich Bloch +1pt

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

I can only see Three Card Trick as a known pacesetter and it could make the frame but it only comes out 5th top rated on my overall figures and that time was recorded back in 2019 so not 100% sure what to expect but I think I will lay it if its a single figure price, Aces and Suzis Connoisseur are my joint 3rd top rated horses, Chocco Star recorded a fairly decent time when finishing 2nd but ran poorly last time out and it doesn't appear to be a very consistent beast but could make the frame, top on my list is EXCELLENT GEORGE 7/2 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run and it has won 3 times and been placed 9 times from its 12 runs over this c/d the only downside is the stall 10 draw but I am hoping the apprentices 7lb claim can swing things in this ones favour. Excellent George 7/2 1 Point win

Excellent George 17/2 4th -1pt

Total on the day -16pts

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