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Thursday, 8 April 2021

6:40 Kempton Racing Tips (9th April)

KEMPTON 6.40 

SHOW ME A SUNSET 2/1 can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but this race might be ok for it but isn't any value at the price. 

PRODUCTION 11/2 has good trainer/jockey stats and could be the main danger to the one I will be backing that is if it doesn't need this race for fitness which i think it might. 

LILKLAN 6/1 has a fast time from Chelmsford in 2020 but would need to improve on its c/d time to win here.

AMATHUS 33/1 is held by Lilklan and has only slow times at this c/d and its not on my radar as a potential winner here. 

HECTOR LOZA 14/1 always looks as though a longer distance would suit better and has only slow times over this distance.

STEELRIVER 6/1 will be trying to stay on at the business end of this race but this race might not be run to suit it with no known front runners in the field. 

PLUNGER 16/1 has only poor form from its most recent races and it also looks like a horse that needs further to show its true merit. 

PHOENIX STAR 11/2 another that will be trying to stay on at the finish and has good trainer and jockey stats and is my top rated.

DUBAI ELEGANCE 11/1 has only slow times from its two previous c/d runs and it seems a better horse over shorter distances. 

SUMMARY: If I knew who would set the pace and how fast it would go then I would be more confident with my analysis, Lilklan could go well as could Dubai Elegance as long as there's not a fast early pace, Production would be the main danger if its fit enough after having a break from racing so i will be backing PHOENIX STAR 11/2 who usually tracks the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but wouldn't want the early pace to be too slow.

Phoenix Star 10/1 9th -1pt

Total on the day -1pt

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