12:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd January)

NEWCASTLE 12.25 

A poor turnout in all 3 sprints today with just 5 in this race, I think both Good Earth 13/8 and Zapper Cass 15/2 would prefer a longer distance and might be worth laying while both Mokaman and SECRETINTHEPARK 4/1 like to lead and I think the latter will do best of the pair and could possibly lead all the way and will be carrying some of my money but PHOENIX STAR 2/1 is rated exactly the same on my figures but does have a 3lb claiming apprentice on board which moves it to top spot but i am not confident enough to split them so I will be backing them both.  

Secretinthepark 4/1 1st +4pts + EX £10.80

Phoenix Star 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Good Earth +1pt 

Total +4pts

NEWCASTLE 12.55 

Up to 6 runners for this six furlong sprint and I expect the pace to be set by Alikido but hasn't any form in England on the AW tracks but would need to improve time wise to win this race but never say never if its allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Nigel Nott if its a single figure price who I think is better over a shorter distance, Tipperary Tyger and Ballyconneely Bay could run ok here but I will be backing TOUSSARAK 11/2 who usually likes to track the leaders before running on strongly nearing the finish, its one previous c/d run is a few spot off of winning this race but if able to reproduce its best rating from Chelmsford in 2021 it would be winning with a bit in reserve. 

Toussarak 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Nigel Nott -8.5pts

Total -9.5pts

NEWCASTLE 1.30 

A 5 furlong dash with 2 known front runners, I'm not sure King Of Stars is capable beating REGIONAL 13/2 in the battle for the lead and if this one can repeat its best Chelmsford rating it would be winning a shade cosily but there's no guarantee it will like this surface but it will be carrying some of my cash, I think the top weight Good Effort 6/5 would prefer a longer trip and would be one I would look to lay especially if it is a short priced favourite which is what the tissue prices predict, I have MONDAMMEJ 7/2 as my top rated just 3lbs higher than VENTUROUS 8/1 in 2nd top spot, as the latter usually races more prominently than the former it may get first run on its rival but I cannot split them confidently and I am not sure if it will be worthwhile dutching 3 horses in a 5 runner race so the betting will be the deciding factor in this race. It's one of those races do I dutch 3 runners or do I lay the hot favourite or maybe be brave and do both, what you do is up to you I only ever say what I intend to be backing or laying and I will only make my mind up near the off time.

Venturous 25/1 1st +25pts + CSF £116,74 

Mondammej 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Regional 7/1 4th -1pt 

Total +23pts

Total on the day +17.5pts

Lay bets must be priced single-figure odds at sp or no bet

6:40 Kempton Racing Tips (9th April)

KEMPTON 6.40 

SHOW ME A SUNSET 2/1 can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but this race might be ok for it but isn't any value at the price. 

PRODUCTION 11/2 has good trainer/jockey stats and could be the main danger to the one I will be backing that is if it doesn't need this race for fitness which i think it might. 

LILKLAN 6/1 has a fast time from Chelmsford in 2020 but would need to improve on its c/d time to win here.

AMATHUS 33/1 is held by Lilklan and has only slow times at this c/d and its not on my radar as a potential winner here. 

HECTOR LOZA 14/1 always looks as though a longer distance would suit better and has only slow times over this distance.

STEELRIVER 6/1 will be trying to stay on at the business end of this race but this race might not be run to suit it with no known front runners in the field. 

PLUNGER 16/1 has only poor form from its most recent races and it also looks like a horse that needs further to show its true merit. 

PHOENIX STAR 11/2 another that will be trying to stay on at the finish and has good trainer and jockey stats and is my top rated.

DUBAI ELEGANCE 11/1 has only slow times from its two previous c/d runs and it seems a better horse over shorter distances. 

SUMMARY: If I knew who would set the pace and how fast it would go then I would be more confident with my analysis, Lilklan could go well as could Dubai Elegance as long as there's not a fast early pace, Production would be the main danger if its fit enough after having a break from racing so i will be backing PHOENIX STAR 11/2 who usually tracks the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but wouldn't want the early pace to be too slow.

Phoenix Star 10/1 9th -1pt

Total on the day -1pt

4:45 Kempton Racing Tips (10th March)

KEMPTON 4.45 

PHOENIX STAR 7/2 at the revised weights should be able to reverse the form with Madrinho who beat it last time out and 3rd top rated on my overall figures and 2nd top on recent times.

MADRINHO 7/2 it was a slow run affair which this horse won last time out but hopefully something set a faster pace this time and then may struggle to follow up here, its my joint 4th top rated and looks poor value so I would look to lay the win part. 

SUPERIORITY 6/1 hasn't any course form while I think it might need this run for fitness plus it might be better over a shorter distance so has to be another I will look to lay.

WENTWORTH AMIGO 22/1 has only poor recent form and I think it will be one of the outsiders in the betting. 

DARING GUEST 13/2 has a decent jockey booking and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish has only ran here once in a slow time but does have a fast time from Chelmsford in 2019 which makes it top rated on overall figures so has to be respected. 

SILENT WITNESS 6/1 is the other joint 4th top rated and this ones best figure comes from this year so could possibly make the frame but isn't really an each way price.

NEZAR 14/1 is my top rated on recent course and distance times which is always positive and 2nd top on overall figures but its hasn't won in 8 previous c/d runs, maybe 9th time lucky and at the price might be worth an each way punt. 

SWISSAL 14/1 has had 3 c/d runs resulting in being placed in 2 of those 3 races but all of them were in slow run affairs and isn't fancied in the betting which is what I expected.

BLUEBELL TIME 16/1 hasn't any surface form to work with and hasn't made the frame in its 3 AW runs, I think it looks a better horse when raced over a shorter distance but Too big a price to be of value to lay. 

PORT NOIR 20/1 hasn't shown anything worthwhile form wise for quite a while now and would need to improve radically to win here but never say never but the bookies agree that it has very little chance of winning.

TYGER BAY 6/1 has won over this c/d but once again it was a slow run affair and i doubt this race will be run at a canter, I don't fancy its chances of winning but also i couldn't lay it. 

SUMMARY: Not a nice race because there isn't one known front runner in the race, yes something will lead but how fast a pace will be set I haven't a clue and what very often happens is more than one trainer tries new tactics and then they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish, I will look to lay (Madrinho + Superiority) the former is likely to be at the fore in the betting but could have its form reversed with the top weight PHOENIX STAR 7/2 who has to be on my shortlist of possible winners, the latter may need the run for fitness and may also be better over a shorter trip, DARING GUEST 13/2 who has a chance if able to reproduce a Chelmsford time here but I'm not sure it can but I will probably have a covering bet on this one just in case, NEZAR 14/1 who is my top rated on recent c/d times which is always a positive and will be my main bet in this race that I think have a chance of winning this and I will be dutching all three of them to hopefully make a profit. 

Phoenix Star 7/2 1 Point win 4th -1pt

Nezar 14/1 1 Point Each Way 6th -2pt

Daring Guest 13/2 ½ Point win 7th -1/2pt

Lay bets: Madrinho +1pt, Superiority +1pt) 

Total on the day -1 1/2pts

7:50 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd March)

KEMPTON 7.50 

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 10/3 won last time out at Chelmsford and has a winning c/d time to its name but that is 10lb below the Chelmsford times, its a shorter price than value because of those 2 victories, it should go well but maybe too high in the handicap now to follow up here. 

PHOENIX STAR 9/2 has the plum stall 1 draw and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and has won 4 races from just 6 previous c/d runs. 

ACES 4/1 is usually held up for a late run but may struggle to pick up the leaders for the win unless it can reproduce its best time from Wolverhampton on the Tapeta surface and in my opinion is way too short in price. 

GOLD COAST 14/1 hasn't any course form and it makes me think it will be better when racing over a longer distance which is reflected in its price.

BOUNTY PURSUIT 25/1 this is another horse that looks likely to be a better prospect when racing over a longer trip and is an outsider. 

LORNA COLE 18/1 has one c/d win from its 4 c/d runs but time wise it will need to improve a few pounds to win this race and again its reflected in its price. 

STORM MELODY 10/3 won last time out but it was a slow run affair and is shorter in price than it merits because of that but is well drawn in stall 2. 

MADRINHO 18/1 hasn't been in great form lately but does have a time from 2019 that would make it my joint 4th top rated but doesn't seem fancied here.

MAID MILLIE 28/1 is my top rated and has won once and been placed once from just 3 c/d runs and if stall 9 doesn't be too much of a handicap it ought to go well here and at the price is maybe worth a small each way bet. 

WHO TOLD JO JO 12/1 is 0-17 on AW tracks and 6 of those runs have been over today's c/d where it was placed twice but needs to improve time wise to win here. 

BERNIES BOY 18/1 is in stall 10 and normally for a front runner that wouldn't be ideal but it is the only natural leading sort in the field and could be dangerous if getting to the front so at the price i will have a small each way bet.

KNOCKOUT BLOW 14/1 hasn't shown much for quite awhile now over this c/d and hasn't made the frame in its 2 previous c/d runs. 

SUMMARY: Its not an easy race to analyse and I will go with dutching 3 horses in this race, BERNIES BOY 18/1 is the only known front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch, PHOENIX STAR 9/2 has very good trainer/jockey stats and is my 2nd top rated on c/d times and it is well housed in stall 1, MAID MILLIE 28/1 is top rated on recent c/d times but unless it can follow the horse drawn on its outside across towards the rail it may struggle to get a clear run, so with the if’s and but’s in the race I will go with 3 small wagers in the race. 

PHOENIX STAR 9/2 1 Point Win  2nd -1pt

MAID MILLIE 28/1 ½ Point Each Way 9th -1 1/2pts

BERNIES BOY 18/1 ½ Point Each Way Unp -11/2pts

Total on the day -4pts

3:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (30th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50 Div I

This is quite a good competitive race with two divisions for a class 6 affair, I will look to lay We’re Reunited and George Thomas if a single figure price, there's four horses that like to lead and my top rated is one of them although two of the four, Captain Ryan and Red Stripes have not shown much so far this year, Slowmo won for me last time out but this looks a better race but it could still run well if overcoming the stall 11 draw, Solar Park could perhaps do best of those coming from off the pace but i will be hoping that from stall 3 JORVIK PRINCE 9/2 can get away smartly and gain control of the rails and then ought to prove hard to catch. 

Jorvick Prince 5/1 5th -1pt

Total: -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.20 Div II

I can only find two in this division that prefer to lead but Greyvtrain is 3rd best on 2020 c/d times but not in my top 4 overall, there is a few I doubt will be able to get involved in this race, Super Julius, Choosey, Tan, The Night Watch, Deconso and Trulove for various reasons, Qaaraat won for me last time out and is 2nd best on recent c/d times so being in good form it could go well but I'm hoping it wont be able to pick up A GO GO 11/2 who I think will set the pace and then prove hard to catch and the apprentice has a 2-6 record for the stable which could swing things even more in its favour. 

A Go Go 11/2 1st +5.5pts (Betfair SP 5.63)

Total: +5.5pts

KEMPTON 4.35 

Only 10 runners but I will look to lay four of them, Loe Minor, Something Lucky, Moonraker and Starchant but only if they are a single figure price, Gold Brocade from stall 1 is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and should be able to get to the fore from the off, my 2nd top rated who did record its best time this year which is always a positive in my opinion is PHOENIX STAR 3/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish the other i will be backing in the race is EXCHEQUER 16/1 who is the one I expect will set the pace and in the make-up of this race stall 8 might not be a problem and if it can reproduce its best time from 2019 it could hold on for an all the way victory and at the price is worth doing as an each way punt in this race.

Phoenix Star 3/1 1st + 3pts (Betfair 3.15) 

Exchequer 16/1 4th (-2pts) 

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: 5.5pts

6:00 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (16th November)

KEMPTON 6.00 6F Class 3 

A nice looking race but hard to confidently analyse to a conclusion, Recon Mission could set the pace here and in the make-up of this race stall 12 might not be too bad as there isn't any other natural front running types whilst Lancelot Du Lac has been known to set the pace if nothing else wants to and they are my 4th and 5th top rated horses, Total Committment from stall 1 is my 3rd top rated while Benny And The Jets can struggle to stay the distance if there is a fast early pace but is my 2nd top rated and this race may be ok for it but I will be trusting TYPHOON TEN 9/1 with my money, its coming out of stall 2 so should be able to get a good early position and then track the leaders which is its preferred racing style and jockey has a nice 20% win ratio for the Hannon stable on their older horses. 

Typhoon Ten 9/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

KEMPTON 8.00 6F Class 6 Div II

I can see a couple I will look to lay (The Establishment + No Diggity) who both might need further to shine, of the 2 known front runners the top weight Buy Me Back may do best, Perfect Symphony has a good time from 2019 and hasn't any recent c/d form but could go well here as could Ruspers Lad,Magicinthemaking and Secret Potion as they all have snippets of form that could see them in the mix, I will be backing PHOENIX STAR 8/1 who will be running on strongly at the finish and from stall 10 it could get a good tow into the race. 

Phoenix Star 8/1 1st (+8pts Betfair SP 10.77 ) 

Lay Bets: The Establishment +1pt, No Diggity +1pt 

Total: +10pts

KEMPTON 8.30 6F Class 6 Div II

This 2nd division is impossible to analyse mainly due to there being no known front runners in the race and eight 3yo’s but I do have one of the 3yo’s in my top 4 ratings, in fact there's only 4 horses with a recorded time and I will be dutching all four of them to low stakes as anything could improve and scuttle my plans, I am hoping SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 5/1 does best of the 3yo’s but it may need a degree of luck from stall 12 it is my 2nd top rated on just 2020 times and 4th top overall, the other 3 are older horses, AGUEROOO 20/1 is 2nd top overall if I use a time from 2018 and it hasn't run over this c/d since that year so cannot be ignored, GHEPARDO 6/1 is top rated on just 2020 c/d times which is always a positive while the 4th horse I will dutch is NAPPING 20/1 who has only a slow time over this c/d but has a good time from Lingfield but it is top rated using a Chelmsford time.

Napping 20/1 1st (+20pts (Betfair 13.5)

Aguerooo 20/1 6th -1pt

Ghepardo 9/1 9th -1pt 

Sir Rodneyredblood 9/2 Unp -1pt 

Total: +17pts 

Total on the day: +26pts