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Saturday, 14 August 2021

2:25 Chelmsford Racing Tips (15th August)

CHELMSFORD 2.25 

AMMAYYA 11/2 hasn't any form over this distance on this surface to work with and looks as though this minimum distance is too short for it and with poor jockey, 1-18, stats i would look to lay this horse. 

CAPTAIN RYAN 9/4 is usually held up for a late run and comes out as my 2nd top rated on overall figures but hasn't raced over these conditions this year it also has good trainer/jockey stats so it looks like connections expect it to be winning this race.

HURRICANE ALERT 50/1 might be the one to put the pace to this race but hasn't shown much in its 3 course and distance runs this year and would need to improve on its best from 2019 to win this race plus it has poor trainer/jockey stats. 

KYLLUKEY 9/4 has only slow timed for its 2 runs this year over this distance and on this surface and would need to improve time wise from when it won over this course and distance in 2019 and the jockey booking doesn't look like a positive move. 

PRECIOUS PLUM 3/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rating but it hasn't recorded a time since then and appears out of form with poorish jockey stats so it's one I will look to lay. 

TILSWORTH ROSE 7/1 has poor trainer/jockey stats and has been in poor form lately, the trainer is also 0-13 in the last 2 weeks while the horse is 0-19 on AW tracks so one I will look to lay.

CONCLUSION: It is a race where i could look to lay Tilsworth Rose 7/1 and Ammayya 11/2 in this race as both look to need further to show their best, i have negatives against every horse apart from CAPTAIN RYAN 9/4 who is also my top rated so has to be the one i back in the race, I expect it will be to the fore in the betting but I cannot oppose it.

Captain Ryan 11/4 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Tilsworth Rose -7pts, Ammayya +1pt

Total on the day -7pts

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Tilsworth was 11s ouch

TO said...

Eric advised to take at 7/1 (have no idea what it was on Betfair as I didn't look). Opened 7/1 with bookies (tched 10/1) returned 8/1.

I have no idea what it returned on Exchange sp. I imagine it was 11.

I guess that's the problem with laying horses although he has given so many losers that he wouldn't be too bothered by one or two winners.

Thanks for your comment.