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Friday 13 August 2021

2:20 Doncaster Racing Tips (14th August)


A field of 8, so lets hope they all run in case I find an each way bet, 6 of these have been known to lead so it should be a mad dash for the line from the off, I will look to lay Blackberry 11/4 as its 2 runs over this distance on good to firm going have been slow run affairs and in this race it might get outpaced in the early stages and may struggle to get back into the race so it might represent poor value as it is forecast to be the favourite, the bottom weight Saluti 3/1 might stay on better and could make the frame as others at the front tire but isn't an each way price, my money will be riding on BLUE DE VEGA 10/1 (EW) who using its best time from 2020 at Windsor comes out as my top rated, admittedly it doesn't appear to be in great form so far this year but this ones wins have all come in the summer/autumn July to September so I am hoping it bounces back to form in this race and looks the value call in my opinion. 

Blue De Vega 10/1 +12.5pts 

Lay bets Blackberry +1pt 

Total +13.5pts


A field of 10 with just the one known front runner, Grey Galleon has a good time from 2020 that would make it competitive but may be outclassed at this level, My Style, George Bowen and Mitrosonfire all have similar ratings and could battle to make the frame, my 2nd top rated is Brian The Snail 10/1 but this ones last win was in 2019 and the trainer is 1-27 at this course and the jockey is 0-10 for the stable so not sure what to expect but could make the frame, it should be staying on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit its style as with just the one known front runner CASE KEY 13/2 should be able to set its own pace and being my top rated it should hold on for the win and the trainer has had 6 winners in the last 2 weeks so is in pretty good form. 

Case Key 14/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt


A field of 11 for this race with 2 known front runners in Premium Power and Meraaj but neither figure in my top 3 rating but if the latter was allowed an easy lead it could go well and might even make the frame but would need to improve time wise to win this race, Streamline has poor form on turf at this distance but has a decent time over this trip at Lingfield on the AW which would make it my 3rd top rating, Rathbone comes out in 2nd top spot using a time recorded this year at Thirsk but my money will be riding on FIRST FOLIO 7/2 who comes out top using a Yarmouth time when it won first time out this year and also won at York when the early pace was slower and you can ignore its last run on soft ground so its been found a good chance here on better going to get back to winning ways.

First Folio 6/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day +11.5pts

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