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Monday, 11 October 2021

8:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (12th October)

NEWCASTLE 8.30 

JORDAN ELECTRICS is one of two in this race that have been known to lead but this one has never run on an artificial surface before and would need to improve on its turf speed figures to win this race.

DANDYS GOLD has won three times on an artificial surface from nineteen races and made the frame six times so could go well but time wise I doubt it can win this race but I expect it wont be fancied in the betting.

MUTANAASEQ has not won on an All-Weather track in five attempts but is one that usually runs to its best when I has ideal conditions but maybe needs to drop down a little to get back to winning ways.

CAPTAIN VALLO a 3yo who has had one run over this course and distance which resulted in a slow time, its best figure on turf wouldn't be good enough to make my top four and a lay in my opinion if a single figure price.

GOWANLAD has only produced slow times so far this year while its best time from 2020 would still leave it a good few spots below whats required to win this race, I doubt it will a single figure price but if it is then I will look to lay it. 

BILLIAN this 3yo has shown very little indeed in any of its races so far and I cannot see any reason why that should change in this race but its price will reflect that fact. 

LADY CELIA this ones times are relatively slow but that is mainly due to the fact that its a much better horse over the five furlong distance and I would look to lay it if its a single figure price. 

SPARTAN FIGHTER is the 2nd of the known front running types in this race and is my top rated on just 2021 course and distance times so it feasibly lead all the way in this race and the trainer does quite well in apprentice jockey races. 

MERRY SECRET a 3yo who hasn't any form over this course and distance and its best time from Wolverhampton,the same surface, would leave it with a good few spots to improve to be the winner of this race. 

ROYAL ADVICE a 3yo who’s form has been quite poor in its recent runs but a time it recorded earlier this year would leave it just outside my top 3 ratings so will need to improve to win this race but like a few in this race it could go well.

BURROWS SEESIDE has a time from 2020 that would make it very competitive but hasn't shown much time wise so far this year but this is its first run over this course and distance for this year so could go well.

DAN DE LIGHT this 3yo has only shown poor form so far and it has looked a little better over a shorter distance so not for me and one I will expect to be a double figure price.

SINGE ANGLAIS hasn't any form over this distance on the All-Weather tracks, it won last time out on turf in a fast time and if able to reproduce that level on this surface it could do enough to win but that is a gamble and I doubt it will be of value to take that chance. 

THE MOUSEN CHAMP 3yo who is held by number 10 and is still a maiden after 10 races but has made the frame four times and could possibly do so again here if others falter but will be an outsider in this race.

SUMMARY With 11 of the 14 runners being three or four year olds one of them could improve without prior warning but I'm just hoping that doesn't happen in this race, I might add something to lay in this race once I have seen the betting and there is a few that could be laid if of any value to do so,I hope that one of the four year olds SPARTAN FIGHTER 12/1 (EW) can get away smartly from the stalls and then lead all the way but at the price it has to be an each way bet.

Spartan Fighter 12/1 3rd +2pts

Lay bets Captain Vallo -2.75pts

Total on the day -0.75pts

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