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Thursday, 11 November 2021

2:35 Newcastle Racing Tips (12th November)

NEWCASTLE 2.35 

5 Furlongs --- Class 3 Handicap 

MARNIE JAMES this one may need this run for fitness and only ran twice earlier this year and hasn't been seen since March and usually needs at least one run to gain fitness but I think the price might reflect that fact. 

INDIAN SOUNDS 10/1 has relatively poor trainer stats with a 9% win ratio and the jockey is 1-23 for this stable which puts me off its chances and form wise I think its a better prospect when raced over a longer distance and might be worth laying if of value to do so, IE:- a single figure price.

LAHORE hasn't been in good form lately and its best speed figure for just this year is quite poor but its best from 2020 could possibly see it make the frame if it springs back to form but maybe worth laying the win part at the price. 

LIPSINK 5/1 has a time recorded at Chelmsford on polytrack that would make it competitive but has just 1 slow time to its name on this surface at Wolverhampton and might be better when racing over a longer trip so maybe worth taking on at the price. 

OUTRAGE has a time from 2020 that would make it competitive but its best from this year has been way below that level but its time last time out at Wolverhampton would give it a chance of making the frame. 

ORNATE this 9yo seems to be gradually getting slower each year and its best from this year wouldn't be good enough to win this race and has poor trainer 2-72 and jockey 0-3 stats and its been 183 days and 64 runners since the stable last had a winner but could make the frame if anywhere near is best from 2020 or even better its 2019 speed figure. 

BLACKBERRY has only ran once before on an artificial surface where it didn't make the frame but it does have a good time when it won on turf on good to firm ground but would still need to improve a little to win this race. 

KIND REVIEW this one comes out top rated on my figures for just this year but the drawback with this runner is that the stable hasn't had a winner from 31 runners in the last 119 days.

 SECRETINTHEPARK 11/2 hasn't recorded a speed figure on my graphs for the AW tracks since 2019 but has won its last 2 races on turf so is in good form, its 2 runs over this c/d in 2020 left a lot to be desired so may be worth a small lay at the price. 

POLITICS hasn't any form at this distance on this surface but it is one that likes to lead and does have a competitive time recorded on grass on good to firm going so could go well if taking to this surface. 

NIGHT ON EARTH hasn't run on this surface before so what to expect I'm not sure but it think it might be better over a longer distance and hasn't won from 10 previous attempts on an artificial surface but its another with a time from running on grass that would give it a chance here. 

PHOENIX STAR this ones times are relatively slow for this class of race and might need further to show its true worth but i think the price will back that up. 

KRAKEN POWER hasn't been in good form in its recent races and may not like this surface or maybe it needs further and probably both on its debut on the all-Weather tracks. 

TATHMEEN is capable of recording a good time but does all its best work in lower class races than this one and may get outclassed in this race but it could make the frame if others falter. 

SUMMARY: To be honest for a class 3 race this one is quite poor and those with good ratings haven't been in good form lately so any stakes will be kept low as this race might not take much winning, I will hopefully have found an each way shot that could run better than its bare form suggests. In all honesty I would probably be best leaving this race alone but I am going to take a punt on one that could win this race if springing back to its best and it is the price which it is foretasted to be on the early tissue prices, so I am hoping that KIND REVIEW 20/1 can either lead or at least contest the lead and it could make a bold bid from the front to win this race and I would kick myself if I didn't back it and it won at a big price.

Kind Review 20/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet: Indian Sound +1pt 

Total on the day 0pts  

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