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Friday 17 December 2021

11:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (18th December)


I hope all 8 runners stand their ground as I am hoping to have an each way wager in this race, Fool Proof and Mals Oui Marlene have only poor recent form and I think they will be outsiders, I will be looking to lay Desert Lime 5/2 who hasn't any distance form to its name and races as though further would suit it better, Storm Melody is 4th top rated with Micks Spirit in 3rd top spot and this 3yo won last time out and could still improve but I will stick with the proven, I've got joint top rated horses in Smokey and SHAMSHON 10/1 and I am siding with the latter because its the only known front runner in the field so I am hoping its allowed a easy lead and then keep enough in reserve to repel any late challengers.

Shamshon 28/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Desert Lime +1pt

Total 0pts 


Only four runners with two of them being possible pacesetters, One Night Stand will I think be the outsider of the four, Mohareb is one that can front run and comes out 3rd best on my figures, if the two leaders go off too fast then Soldiers Minute could be the one to prosper but I will be hoping that FIZZY FEET 2/1 who has the stall one draw can get to the front and stay there till the finishing line. 

Fizzy Feet 4/1 4th -1pt

Total -1pt


Firstly I will be looking to lay Tone The Barone 4/1 who is forecast to be the second favourite in this race but I think this one is better on the Polytrack surface, Thegreatestshowman 5/1 might be outclassed in this race, Exalted Angel 11/10 is my 2nd top rated and could go well but I will be hoping another front runner in the shape of LIHOU 6/1 can set the pace to the race and lead all the way. 

Lihou 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Tone The Barone -2.25pts

Total -3.25pts


With 11 runners its the biggest sprint of the four but it is so poor I'm not sure how to bet or lay in this race, there is 3 known front runners in the race and maybe Surewecan will do best of the trio as it is my 3rd top rated but the jockey is 0-18 for the stable and the trainer only has a 5% win ratio at this course plus its 206 days since the stable last had a winner, First Verse comes out in 2nd top spot and this one usually stays on over this distance and maybe prefer a longer trip but the horse still hasn't won in 6 previous AW races and the jockey is 0-9 for the stable, top spot goes to Billy Dylan who, if its best speed figure is to be believed as it might now be looking a flukey time when it got towed along in a fast run race, would win this race more that a shade cosily and might be worth taking the risk but the horse has had 17 AW runs and has made the frame four times but hasn't won any of the 17 races, the trainer is 0-38 at this course(which has changed its surface so the past data might not be relied upon, and the jockey is 0-6 for the stable. This race might be best left alone but I might be tempted to back *BILLY DYLAN if its an each way price, maybe 7/1 isn't really an each way price as I was hoping for a *double figure price.

Billy Dylan 10/1 9th -2pts

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.25pts 

Lay bets only if single figure odds at sp.

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