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Wednesday 12 January 2022

2:20 Newcastle Racing Tips (13th January)


SCALE FORCE hasn't any form over this course and distance and might prefer further plus I am not sure this surface will suit it but I think it will be an outsider. 

TISTAAHAL has only ran four times but hasn't won a race and the trainer is 0-13 in the last 2 weeks and another that I think will be a double figure price. 

KAAFY has only 1 run over this course and distance which didn't register on my figures and I think a longer distance will suit it better so I would look to lay it at 11/2. 

SWISS CONNECTION 4/1 comes out in third top spot on my figures and could make the frame being one of two known front runners in the race and the one I think will set the pace. 

UBAHHA doesn't make my top four time wise but is the other known front running type but the trainer is 0-13 in the last two weeks and didn't register on my figures from a run at Wolverhampton but will probably be an outsider in this race. 

BLAZING HOT 3/1 has relatively low speed figures on this surface at both Newcastle and Wolverhampton and one I will look to lay it especially at the price. 

FOR PEAT'S SAKE 7/1 comes out top rated on my figures when i take the apprentices 7lb claim into consideration it could have a fast pace to aim at that it likes. 

STROXX 7/1 has decent jockey stats but its seventy days since the stable last had a winner and that's from forty seven runners and may prefer a longer distance and I would look to lay as long as it stays a single figure price. 

ORIENTAL LILLY 9/1 has only slow times since 2019 and this eight year old may be on the decline as showing nothing of worth since that year and another I would lay if it stayed on a single figure price. 

SUMMARY: I will be looking to lay Kaafy who is still a maiden after 7 runs and may need further to show its true worth, Blazing Hot has been in form but they have been slow run races and might get outpaced in this race so another one I will look to lay, my 4th top rated horse Stroxx is still a maiden after 13 races but could make the frame but I'm not sure it can get the win, Swiss Connection is my 3rd top rated and being a front runner it could prove hard to catch for a lot of these, Oriental Lilly is a hold up type who comes out 2nd best but that was using a 2019 time and has been way below that level lately so my money will be riding on FOR PEAT'S SAKE 7/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and i might have a smaller covering bet on SWISS CONNECTION 4/1 just in case it gets an easy lead and keeps enough in reserve to repel any late challengers.

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