2:20 Newcastle Racing Tips (13th January)

NEWCASTLE 2.20 

SCALE FORCE hasn't any form over this course and distance and might prefer further plus I am not sure this surface will suit it but I think it will be an outsider. 

TISTAAHAL has only ran four times but hasn't won a race and the trainer is 0-13 in the last 2 weeks and another that I think will be a double figure price. 

KAAFY has only 1 run over this course and distance which didn't register on my figures and I think a longer distance will suit it better so I would look to lay it at 11/2. 

SWISS CONNECTION 4/1 comes out in third top spot on my figures and could make the frame being one of two known front runners in the race and the one I think will set the pace. 

UBAHHA doesn't make my top four time wise but is the other known front running type but the trainer is 0-13 in the last two weeks and didn't register on my figures from a run at Wolverhampton but will probably be an outsider in this race. 

BLAZING HOT 3/1 has relatively low speed figures on this surface at both Newcastle and Wolverhampton and one I will look to lay it especially at the price. 

FOR PEAT'S SAKE 7/1 comes out top rated on my figures when i take the apprentices 7lb claim into consideration it could have a fast pace to aim at that it likes. 

STROXX 7/1 has decent jockey stats but its seventy days since the stable last had a winner and that's from forty seven runners and may prefer a longer distance and I would look to lay as long as it stays a single figure price. 

ORIENTAL LILLY 9/1 has only slow times since 2019 and this eight year old may be on the decline as showing nothing of worth since that year and another I would lay if it stayed on a single figure price. 

SUMMARY: I will be looking to lay Kaafy who is still a maiden after 7 runs and may need further to show its true worth, Blazing Hot has been in form but they have been slow run races and might get outpaced in this race so another one I will look to lay, my 4th top rated horse Stroxx is still a maiden after 13 races but could make the frame but I'm not sure it can get the win, Swiss Connection is my 3rd top rated and being a front runner it could prove hard to catch for a lot of these, Oriental Lilly is a hold up type who comes out 2nd best but that was using a 2019 time and has been way below that level lately so my money will be riding on FOR PEAT'S SAKE 7/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and i might have a smaller covering bet on SWISS CONNECTION 4/1 just in case it gets an easy lead and keeps enough in reserve to repel any late challengers.

5:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (4th December)

NEWCASTLE 5.15 6f Class 3 

The bottom 3 in this handicap maybe outclassed at this level in terms of winning the race but could run ok, the two 3yo’s Juan Les Pins and Gowanlad could also run good races but would need to improve time wise to win this race but that's not out of the question, I will split my bet in this race with 2 selections, ASTRO JAKK 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on dourly at the finish is my top rated on just 2020 c/d times which is usually a positive for its chances and the jockeys record of one win from two rides makes me think they are hoping/expecting to follow up here from their win last time out but I am also interested with the top weight MOHAREB 13/2 who hasn't any c/d form this year but it has a time from 2019 that would make it a big contender for the race and this is a drop in class for it, even in stall 9 in the make-up of this race it could lead or at least contest the lead and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch. 

Astro Jakk 10/1 1st (+10pt) (Betfair SP 16.39)

Mohareb 13/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: +9pts

 

NEWCASTLE 7.15 6f Class 5 

There's at least 5 horses that have only poor recent form but they all look to be outsiders looking at the tissue prices plus the 3 at the bottom of the weights may not be of this class of horse so that's over half the field on my shouldn't be able to win list, if only it was that easy, Exchequer, Pearl Of Qatar and Prophecy have all been known to lead if nothing else wants to and maybe the middle one will do best of those running from the front if deploying those tactics in this race, my top rated on just 2020 c/d times is NUBOUGH 9/2 who will be carrying some of my money, it is usually found running either in midfield or held up for a late charge but I will also be backing FRIENDLY ADVICE 16/1 (EW) who is dropped in class to run in this race and if able to reproduce its best Wolverhampton time at this course would have a decent chance of getting back to winning ways and at the price has to be given as an each way wager.

Friendly Advice 16/1 2nd (+3pts)

Nubough 9/2 th (-1pt)

Total: +2pts

Total on the day: +11pts

1:15 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th June)

NEWCASTLE 1.15 

A nice looking but competitive class 2 race with 14 runners, a few lightly raced sorts who could still improve in time, with a couple of frontrunners it should be a true run affair and one of them is Gunmetal who is the favourite on the early tissue prices but it hasn't run on the AW before so not sure what to expect, the other is Giogiobbo who could do enough to make the frame, I will look to lay (Glen Shiel + Tabdeed) on Thursday I had a horse down as one to dutch and thought at the time it might be better if running in this race and it was withdrawn to run here so I will be backing STAXTON 7/1 who can either track the pace or be held up for a late run and it should hopefully be finishing to good effect here. 

Staxton 7/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Glen Shiel -4pt, Tabdeed +1pt

Total: -4pts

NEWCASTLE 1.50 

A Group 3 affair with a couple of 3yo at the bottom of the weights but price wise they don't seem to be fancied and I didn't rate them good enough at this stage of their careers, the horse to catch my attention, also my top rated is, MUBAKKER 5/2 who hails front the all-powerful M.Stoute stable and it won nicely on its last run at the beginning of this month and it looks plenty good enough to follow up here. 

Mubakker 5/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 2.25 

I will start off with a couple I want to lay (El Hombre + Magical Spirit) who both look as though a longer distance would suit them better, it's pretty close on my ratings looking at each horse top ratings, Copper Knight, Ornate, Caspian Prince, Lord Riddiford and Cowboy Soldier are all capable of running big races, I will back 2 in this race to cover the angles, firstly OUTRAGE 22/1 (EW) could be one to battle to lead and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but just in case they go off too fast and tire I will also back ENCORE DOR 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly in the closing stages and with a clear run could get back to winning ways and this one is my top rated but at the prices, I will have to do both of them with an each-way wager. 

Outrage 50/1 Unp (-2pt)

Encore D'Or 16/1 8th (-2pt)

Lay bets: El Hombre +1pt, Magical Spirit +1pt

Total: -2pts 

REDCAR 4.35

I hope the thunderstorms don't affect the going, a very competitive race for a class 6 affair, I will look to lay (Comptons Finale + Swiss Connection) horses that could run well if on a going day are, Bashiba, Longroom, B Fifty Two, Henley, Undercover Brother, Leo Minor and Landing Night, but I will be backing BOUDICA BAY 7/1 but my stakes won't be at full tilt but it will hopefully be staying on strongly at the business end of this race.

Boudica Bay 7/1 1st (+7pts)

Lay bets: Compton Finale +1pt, Swiss Connection +1pt

Total: +9pts

Total on the day: +2pts