This is a very competitive class 2 sprint with just one known front runner amongst the 12 of them, Rolph Rembrandt 8/1 may be better over a shorter distance, the jockey is 0-3 for the stable but the stable does have a 25% strike rate at this course with their older horses, the going might not be right for Tipperary Tiger 17/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm going, Raatea 8/1 might need further for it to show its best, Be Proud, Strike Red and Kind Review have pieces of form that would give them a chance here and could be possible each way bets but my money will be riding on IF YOU DARE 9/1 who is the one I think will set the pace to the race and ought to prove hard to catch plus it has good trainer/jockey stats.
If You Dare 16/1 3rd +3pts
Total +3pts
NEWCASTLE 2.25
What a cracking looking Group 3 sprint with 12 runners and just Magical Spirit 25/1 known as a front running type but I doubt it can do enough to win this race but it could possibly make the frame if others fail to produce their best, there are a few who might be outclassed at this level, Edraak 8/1, Judicial, Annaf and Sense Of Duty 2/1, the last 2 being 3yo’s so I would be reluctant to lay them even though the latter is forecast to be the favourite I'm not sure if it will be of value to take the risk and lay it, only the betting will solve that. I will be siding with SPYCATCHER 9/2 who can either be held up or track the leaders and with a clear passage when it mounts its challenge will give it a decent chance here.
Spycatcher 9/2 Unp -1pt
Total -1pt
CHESTER 3.10
I usually hate Chester as a betting prospect but with only 6 runners the draw hopefully won't have too much impact on this race, Bossipop 9/1 hasn't produced much time wise recently and may need further to show its best form so might be worth laying if the price is right, a single figure price, its tight at the top of my speed figures but with GLORY FIGHTER 7/2 being the one most likely to set the pace to this race from stall 4 and comes out top on my figures, so if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and with good trainer/jockey stats it looks like the connections are at least expecting it to go well here.
Glory Fighter 7/2 2nd -1pt
Lay bet Bossipop +1pt
Total 0pts
DONCASTER 7.00
A rather complicated class 4 sprint with only Equiano Springs 9/1 known to front run before and could do enough from the front to at least make the frame and with some clever riding it could possibly steal the race from the front, Dazzling Dan 16/1, Pockley 10/1 and Temple Bruer 9/1 are closely rated on my speed figures, Hiya Maite 10/3 is making its handicap debut and could be a it of a hidden danger and to be honest I haven't got a clue what will win this race so the best way to make a profit might be by laying something instead and I will side with laying Desert Doctor 9/1, which I did think would be much shorter in price, who might either prefer a longer distance or a slower surface and maybe both, it also has poor jockey 0-5 stats while the trainer is 1-30 with their older horses at this course.
Lay Bet Desert Doctor +1pt
Total +1pt
Total on the day +3pts
No comments:
Post a Comment