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Thursday, 23 June 2022

1:00 Doncaster Racing Tips (24th June)

DONCASTER 1.00 

The bottom 3 in the handicap look to have very little chance of winning this race but never say never, but I doubt they will be of value to lay, there isn't any known pacesetters in this race which always makes things very hard to analyse to a conclusion, Dark Shot 50/1 and Good Earth 3/1 can both struggle to stay this distance in a fast run affair but may be ok with the make-up of this race but I have two horses that are a good few spots ahead of the rest of the field using my own unique speed ratings and there is only 1lb between them, After John 13/2 has poorish jockey stats while the trainer is 0-19 with their older horses at this course so I will back HAIL SEZER 11/2 who can be held up or race I'm midfield the top class jockey booking looks a positive move and this will be his first ride for the stable. 

Hail Sezer 11/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

YARMOUTH 4.05 

A field of 7 for this race with only Haveoneyerself known to lead and could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead, there is three 3yo’s in the field who could improve without warning which has put me on the back foot and the formlines are so tangled I'm not sure what will win this race so maybe the best way to go to make a profit is to lay something, I have marked down 2 horses that I could lay, Colombre 3/1 who may need a longer distance on good to firm ground to show its best form while Grandfather Tom 9/2 has been running ok lately but may find itself outclassed at this level. 

Lay bets Colombre +1pt, Grandfather Tom +1pt 

Total +2pts 

YARMOUTH 4.40 

Only six runners with one known pace setting type amongst them, the bottom 2 in the handicap look to have virtually no chance of winning this race, I would look to lay Snow Berry who has won at this distance but only in a slow time and hasn't been in good form recently and also has poorish trainer/jockey stats, I only have 1lb between my 2 top rated horses and my 2nd top rated is Amor De Mi Vida 8/11 and that price looks way too short in my opinion so I will go with AISH 4/1 who is my top rated and also the only known front runner in the race so if leading and setting its own pace it could lead all the way for the victory. 

Aish 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Snow Berry +1pt 

Total 0pts

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

A field of 11 with just Mews House 15/2 known as a front running type but it would need to improve time wise to stay ahead all the way for the win but could possibly be an each way bet but would need others to falter, I will look to lay the top weighted Runnin Wild 11/2 who may need further and has poor trainer/jockey stats, Bunnian is my 3rd top rated but hasn't been in good form lately, Tanasoq is capable of producing a good speed rating but usually in a lower class six race, I will be putting my money on GLORIOUS RIO 5/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish it has good jockey stats and is drawn close to the likely leader so will hopefully get a good tow into the race.

Glorious Rio 14/1 7th -1pt 

Runnin Wild -2.25pts 

Total -3.25pts

Total on the day -2.25pts

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