1:50 Newcastle Racing Tips (25th June)

NEWCASTLE 1.50 

This is a very competitive class 2 sprint with just one known front runner amongst the 12 of them, Rolph Rembrandt 8/1 may be better over a shorter distance, the jockey is 0-3 for the stable but the stable does have a 25% strike rate at this course with their older horses, the going might not be right for Tipperary Tiger 17/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm going, Raatea 8/1 might need further for it to show its best, Be Proud, Strike Red and Kind Review have pieces of form that would give them a chance here and could be possible each way bets but my money will be riding on IF YOU DARE 9/1 who is the one I think will set the pace to the race and ought to prove hard to catch plus it has good trainer/jockey stats. 

If You Dare 16/1 3rd +3pts 

Total +3pts

NEWCASTLE 2.25 

What a cracking looking Group 3 sprint with 12 runners and just Magical Spirit 25/1 known as a front running type but I doubt it can do enough to win this race but it could possibly make the frame if others fail to produce their best, there are a few who might be outclassed at this level, Edraak 8/1, Judicial, Annaf and Sense Of Duty 2/1, the last 2 being 3yo’s so I would be reluctant to lay them even though the latter is forecast to be the favourite I'm not sure if it will be of value to take the risk and lay it, only the betting will solve that. I will be siding with SPYCATCHER 9/2 who can either be held up or track the leaders and with a clear passage when it mounts its challenge will give it a decent chance here. 

Spycatcher 9/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHESTER 3.10 

I usually hate Chester as a betting prospect but with only 6 runners the draw hopefully won't have too much impact on this race, Bossipop 9/1 hasn't produced much time wise recently and may need further to show its best form so might be worth laying if the price is right, a single figure price, its tight at the top of my speed figures but with GLORY FIGHTER 7/2 being the one most likely to set the pace to this race from stall 4 and comes out top on my figures, so if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and with good trainer/jockey stats it looks like the connections are at least expecting it to go well here. 

Glory Fighter 7/2 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Bossipop +1pt 

Total 0pts

DONCASTER 7.00

A rather complicated class 4 sprint with only Equiano Springs 9/1 known to front run before and could do enough from the front to at least make the frame and with some clever riding it could possibly steal the race from the front, Dazzling Dan 16/1, Pockley 10/1 and Temple Bruer 9/1 are closely rated on my speed figures, Hiya Maite 10/3 is making its handicap debut and could be a it of a hidden danger and to be honest I haven't got a clue what will win this race so the best way to make a profit might be by laying something instead and I will side with laying Desert Doctor 9/1, which I did think would be much shorter in price, who might either prefer a longer distance or a slower surface and maybe both, it also has poor jockey 0-5 stats while the trainer is 1-30 with their older horses at this course.

Lay Bet Desert Doctor +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +3pts

6:45 Southwell Racing Tips (18th February)

SOUTHWELL 6.45 

IF YOU DARE 2/1 is one that could set the pace to this race and with only 6 runners the draw should have very little if any effect, it has good trainer/jockey stats and comes out top rated on course and distance times since the change of surface.

BERGERAC 5/1 is usually a hold up type and recorded a good speed figure on its only AW distance run, enough to make it my top rated using that Wolverhampton time and it should have a good target to aim at in this race.

TIPPERARY TIGER 11/4 has good trainer/jockey stats but only comes out 3rd best on Tapeta times from elsewhere but its speed figure for this course and distance leaves it with a bit to find so maybe one to lay at the price. 

DAVE DEXTER 16/1 its 40 runners and 103 days since this stable last won a race and I think this horse needs a longer distance to show its best form and I wouldn't be surprised if its the outsider in this race. 

FINE WINE 15/2 the trainer is 1-30 for the last 2 weeks so not in the best of form and over this distance it hasn't got a recorded rating as it doesn't stay the sixth furlong in a fast run race and I will look to lay it with the make-up of this race looking likely to be fast from the off. 

TEMPLE BRUER 4/1 the jockey is 0-15 for the stable, its 61 days since the stable last had a winner from 29 runners during that time and their record is 1-27 with their older horses here, the horse is 0-9 on AW tracks although it has been placed in 4 of them so maybe another one to lay. 

SUMMARY: Typical its the only older horse sprint for the day from 2 meetings and its a class 3 race so we end up with 6 runners at least there is some known front running types amongst them. Firstly I will look to lay Fine Wine as I think there will be a fast early pace and that will stretch this ones stamina to breaking point, I would also lay Dave Dexter if its a single figure price, which I doubt while the poor trainer/jockey stats put me off the chances of Temple Bruer,Tipperary Jack needs to improve a bit time wise but does have good trainer/jockey stats but I doubt it can win this race if the other two run to their best, i think the early pace will be set by IF YOU DARE 2/1 who is my top rated on just course and distance times and ought to prove hard to catch, I haven't managed so far found a link between times on this new surface and the other 2 Tapeta suraced courses so I therefore cannot discard BERGERAC 5/1 who is my top rated on those 2 other courses and usually runs on at the finish so this race might be run to suit it but the jockeys 1-15 record is a little off-putting but I will have to go with the two bets to cover both of the angles of a front runner type and a finishing type.

Abandoned due to storm Eunice.