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Sunday 24 July 2022

2:10 Ayr Racing Tips (25th July)

AYR 2.10 

A class 6 race which doesn't look to have much depth too it, I think the early pace could be set by Earn Your Stripes 5/1 but time wise this one would need to improve a good few spots so might be worth taking on with a lay bet, Maple Jack 9/2 ran on over this distance in a slow run race and might struggle to stay the distance if there's a decent fast paced early gallop, Sir Benedict 16/1 is my 3rd top rated and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish and could be worth an each way punt, Absolute Dream 7/1 comes out in 2nd top spot and has achieved within 1lb the same rating for last year and this year so it could go well here and might be worth backing each way but my money will be riding on ELLADORA 10/1 (EW) who has good trainer and jockey stats making me think connections are expecting it to go well here and a repeat of its time from Hamilton this year would be good enough to win this race and at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Elladora 10/1 8th -2pts 

Earn Your Stripes +1pt

Total -1pt 

AYR 4.25 

A field of 13 runners with a couple of front runners amongst them, the only lay that I can see that might be of value to do so is Jet Set Go 6/1 who may need further to show its best form but its also a 3yo which I am not keen on laying as they can improve without warning but I think this one was flattered when it finished 2nd last time out in a relatively slow run race and it probably wont be able to pick up the leaders in this race, Red Allure 3/1 and Captain Corcoran 12/1 are my joint 3rd top rated horses and the latter is one of the front runners in the race so if allowed to dictate a slightly slower pace it could do enough to at least make the frame so might be worth an each way interest, the 3yo Jungle Bee 6/1 is my 2nd top rated horse but if BRAZEN BELLE 25/1 (EW) can reproduce the rating it achieved at Ripon earlier this year it would win this race with a little bit too spare but the poor trainer/jockey stats are a little bit off-putting so my stakes will be kept a bit lower than normal but at the price I have to back it and hopefully an each way punt will pay dividends. 

Brazen Belle 25/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bet Jet Set Go +1pt

Total -1pt


This looks like a competitive race with just 5 runners, Airshow might need a bit further to show its best form and may stay on too late to catch the pacesetter but it does come out 2nd best on my figures so could win if the better rated one doesn't reproduce its best, I had to go back to 2020 to find Hey Ho Lets Go best speed rating which would make it my 3rd top rated and only 1lb below the 2nd top spot position, my top rated horse is SPRING BLOOM 11/4 who is also the only known front running type in the race so if allowed to set the pace the others may struggle to peg it back in the closing stages. 

Spring Bloom 11/4 1st +2.75pts

Total +2.75pts

FFOS LAS 6.50 

Not a great race and not much I can say about most of the runners and I was going to leave the race alone until I had all the data written out in my own version of shorthand (nothing like the original) and noticed that my top rated horse *SYMBOL OF HOPE 5/2 is the only known front running type in the race but it is also the favourite and I will be hoping it leads from start and then prove too hard for the others to catch.


Total on the day +0.75pts

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