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Tuesday 29 November 2022

3:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th November)


HIT MAC 11/4 is making its handicap debut but will need to improve on what its shown so far to win this race and looks way to short in the betting in my opinion so maybe a lay.

MUNIFICENT 5/1 will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race and being my 3rd top rated it could possibly make the frame. 

WAVERLEY STAR this 3yo hasn't made the frame in any of its previous runs on an artificial surface and will be an outsider in this race. 

BIG TIME MAYBE 5/1 could quite easily be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 4th top rated so could do enough to make the frame here but I'm not 100% sure it can win the race. 

YOULLOVEMEWHENIWIN will need to be able to track the leaders here as it stays on at the finish but may need a longer distance to show its true worth. 

TOPLIGHT 12/1 can be held up at the rear or race in midfield and then stay on at the finish and is my 2nd top rated so could make the frame but hasn't been in good form lately hence the price. 

SHAMSHON 10/1 is more than capable of winning this race as its my top rated, the trainer and jockey both have decent strike rates and likes to track the leaders.

MAN ON A MISSION hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and may be better over further but being a 3yo it could still have some improvement to come. 

DUKE OF FIRENZE can either race in midfield or track the leaders but would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

PRIVELEGE has only poor surface form to its name and a longer distance would certainly help its cause. 

SUMMARY: If Big Time Maybe 5/1 sets the pace to the race as I expect it could go well and many of the others wont be able to become competitive if it sets the right pace, the betting will as usual be the deciding factor as to whether there's anything to lay or not in this race. SHAMSHON 10/1 (EW) might be an 11yo but its still capable at this level to win a race and has every chance here if it gets a clear run when it mounts its challenge and the price is just about value to back each way.

Shamshon 10/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Hit Mac +1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

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