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Wednesday 30 November 2022

6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (1st December)


Ten runners in this division where I will be looking towards laying Blackjack 5/1 who may need further and *Our Louise 10/1 who is still a maiden after 15 runs as long as they are single figure prices near the off. Praise Of Shadows 16/1 is my 3rd top rated and could make the frame, on course and distance ratings Real Estate 8/1 is outside my top four ratings but its best rating from Lingfield is good enough to make it my 2nd top rated but I will be hoping the top weight ARAIFJAN 3/1 can get away smartly and at least contest the lead if not actually leading but with not much other known early pace from stall 8 it could get to the front and if leading should prove too hard to catch if it can reproduce its best rating from last year here. 

Araifjan 3/1 1st +3pts 

Lay bet Blackjack +1pt

Total +4pts


This division looks a little weaker with only 4 of the runners having recorded a speed rating plus there isn't any known front running types so who will set the pace I don't know so any stakes will have to be kept low. Alafdhal is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders and stall 2 should be ok for it, Admirable Lad who is going for a fourtimer is my 2nd top rated it also likes to track the leaders and has the best of the draw in stall 1 so they just might battle to lead hoping to make their draws count but I will be hoping that COMPANY MINX 12/1 (EW) from stall 8 can get a decent early position from which to attack later on in the race and did hint at a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out but the stable hasn't been in top form lately and I will be much happier if its an each way price. 

Company Minx 14/1 9th -2pts 

Total -2pts  


A class 4 dash with 7 of the 11 runners having been known to lead before and they might go off too fast and set it up for one of the 4 that wont be trying to lead. I'm not sure there will be anything of value to lay in this race but the betting will be the deciding factor for that idea. As for the winner, I'm not sure what will lead or what can prevail the longest I just think they will push each other too hard and fade nearing the finish but Expert Opinion and Red Walls can produce good ratings they are usually in lower class races, the 3yo Cabeza De Llave 8/1 will be trying to stay on at the finish and races as though further would suit it better but this race could be run to suit it so might be worth an each way interest but I will be backing HELLO ME 14/1 (EW) who is forecast to be an outsider and if so looks the value call in the race, it has won 4 times and been placed twice in the 9 runs its had on an artificial surface so could go well here and has to be an each way bet at the price. 

Hello Me 16/1 6th -2pts 

Total -2pts


Another 5 furlong dash with 2 known front running types amongst the 12 runners, I will look to lay Embla 10/1 if its a single figure price near the off, who may need further to shine and the same applies to Man On A Mission but being a 3yo this latter one could still improve, Red Stripes my 4th joint top rated and Ubahha my 3rd top rated are the ones I expect to set the early pace and either could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt but which one I've no idea. Storm Melody is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and a reproduction of its best 2021 rating would see it make the frame here but hasn't been near that level this year so I will take a bit of a punt in this race and go with an each wager on IESHA 9/1 (EW) who hasn't been in good form lately but is a horse that can spring back to form without prior warning and it did record its best rating earlier this year, the stable hasn't been in great form lately but i'm hoping it will be a double figure price to make it worth the risk.

Iesha 18/1 8th -2pts

Lay bet Man On A Mission +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

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