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Thursday 10 November 2022

3:50 Newcastle Racing Tips (11th November)


A very competitive looking class 4 dash where the early pace could bet by either Khabib 5/2 and or Twilight Madness 5/2 and maybe the latter will do best as its drawn nearer to the better side of the course in stall 8 but maybe a better horse over further so the former could get an easy lead and then be more dangerous and could make the frame but neither are each way prices and maybe worth laying at the prices on offer. Be Proud 12/1 who likes to track the leaders is my 3rd top rated and coming out of stall 6 it could make the frame, Ballyare 14/1 is a hold up type of horse and my 2nd top rated so could make the frame with a clear run but I will be putting my faith on *OUR ABSENT FRIENDS 15/2 who won well 2 runs ago when winning over this course and distance admittedly in a class 6 race but this lightly raced 4yo who has only ran 5 runs and could be an improving sort who can be excused its run last time out over 6 furlongs and is quickly dropped back in distance to run here. 


Lay bet Twilight Madness -2pts

Total -2pts


A 13 runner class 6 apprentice jockeys handicap with just 2 known front running types amongst them. I will look to lay both Minhaaj and Rose Bandit as they can both struggle to stay this distance in a fast run race which might happen here. Kath's Toyboy and Big Impact are my joint 4th top rated horses and the latter is one of the known front runners but from stall 12 it might use up too much of its energy to get to the front and then fade nearing the finish, Griggy who is my 3rd top rated is another that doesn't want a really fast early pace and believe it or not the same applies to Fylingdale who comes out in 2nd top spot so my money will be riding on the other likely pacesetter in the shape of VIEWFROMTHESTARS 14/1 (EW) and if this one gets to the front from stall 6 it should prove very hard to catch but at the price I will take some insurance with an each way wager. 

Viewfromthestars 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Rose Bandit +1pt 

Total -1pt 


An apprentice jockeys class 6 handicap with 13 runners and just one known front running type amongst them. I'm not sure if there's anything worthwhile to lay in this race as I expect they will all be double figure prices. Camachess and the 3yo Mumcat are my joint 3rd top rated horses but the former hasn't been in good form lately but the latter could make the frame, in joint top spot I've got Astrophysics and ARAIFJAN 6/1 the former's trainer has been 0-29 in the last 2 weeks and its had 40 runners since its last win so my money will be riding on Araifjan who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics which includes leading so I'm hoping from stall 3 it can get away smartly, gain control of the rails and the pace and lead all the way to victory. 

Araifjan 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt  

Eric said: Good for promotion, 5.30 race had joint top rated horses 1st 25/1 + 2nd 5/2, also had joint 3rd top rated and said Mum's could make the frame finished 3rd at 13/2...f/c=144.60...t/c = 481.43


A 11 runner race where the early pace could be set by Boom The Groom or more likely by Eternal Halo 15/2 but I doubt either can hold on for the win although the latter could go well if allowed an easy lead. I will look to lay Fristel 13/2 who races as though a longer distance will be needed to show its best form and the same applies to Q Twenty Boy 15/2. Sir Rodneyredblood 9/2 could go well if reproducing its best figure from Chelmsford, the 3yo Level Up 5/1 could also go well looking at its rating from that course but isn't really an each way price. My money will be riding on YAAHOBBY 14/1 (EW) who ran well when 3rd two runs ago at Newcastle but hasn't ran here before which is a worry, it should be staying on at the finish and from stall 2 it ought to be able to get on the rail just behind the leaders ready to attack late on in the race and a juicy price so an each way bet seems best.

Yaahobby 14/1 1st +16.8pts 

Lay bets Q Twenty Boy +1pt

Total +17.8pts

Total on the day +13.8pts

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