An 8 runner class 6 stakes race with just Moveonup known as a front running type and is my 3rd top on Tapeta ratings for 2022 and 2023 but would drop to 4th top if Billian takes to this surface as its Wolverhampton figure would put it 3rd top spot. I would look to lay Tahonta if its a single figure price as I think it needs further to show its best and this race might not be run to suit its racing style. Youllovemewheniwin seems a better horse on the Polytrack surface which would make it my 2nd top rated on overall figures but it does come 2nd top on just recent (2022-23) Tapeta figures so could go well here but my top rated is REAL ESTATE 5/1 (EW) it comes out top using its best 2022 rating and further ahead if it can reproduce its best 2021 rating, admittedly its not been in great form recently but it is one of those horses that can spring back to form without any prior indication of a return to form so I'm hoping it will be worth an each way punt.
Real Estate 5/1 (EW) 1st +6pts
Lay bet Tahonta +1pt
Total +7pts
LINGFIELD 3.55
Nine runners for this class 5 dash with a couple of probable pacesetters, Man On A Mission 11/4 has won its last 3 races and has been raised a total of 11lbs which might find it out in this better race but it will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late here for the win here with the make-up of this race, *Level Up 7/1 will also be trying to stay on at the finish but again maybe too late so maybe worth laying both of them. Micks Spirit and Lilkian are my joint 3rd top rated horses and they are only rated 1lb lower than Hey Ho Lets Go in 2nd top spot all 3 like to track the leaders but Lilkian can be held up for a strong finish so any of them could make the frame but my money will be riding on PABLO DEL PUEBLO 7/2 who won last time out over this distance at Kempton and if able to repeat that rating it here it could lead all the way to follow up here, the trainer has been in good form in the last 2 weeks and the jockey has a good strike rate when riding for the stable.
Pablo Del Pueblo 7/2 2nd -1pt
Lay bet Man On A Mission +1pt
Total 0pts
Total on the day +7pts
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