5 Furlongs Class 4.
POP DANCER usually races in midfield or held up for a late run but needs to improve time wise to win this race so one I could lay.
DUSKY PRINCE is my 3rd top rated using just Southwell ratings but only 4th best on other Tapeta ratings should be staying on at the finish but most likely too late for the win.
BELLAGIO MAN hasn't any form over this distance on an artificial surface as I think it needs further to show its best form so this distance may see it finishing but too late to win the race.
DOUBLE DEALING hasn't any distance form on Tapeta apart from Southwell but that rating is a good few spots off my top ratings.
LIHOU is the only known front running type in the race and being my 2nd top rated it could go very well especially if allowed an easy lead.
YAAHOBBY is my top rated on ratings from all 3 Tapeta courses and could get a good tow into the race being drawn next to the likely pacesetter.
SUMMARY: The only sprint for me today and a poor turnout for this class four race of just six runners. If the early pace is set by LIHOU 2/1 and its allowed an easy time up front it could possibly lead all the way here so I will have to back it to some degree but on my figures it could get caught by YAAHOBBY 7/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish, my bets will probably be tilted in favour of my top rated but if either wins i will come away with a profit.
Lihou 11/4 1st +2.75pts
Yaahobby 16/1 5th -1pt
Lay bet Pop Dancer +1pt
Total on the day +2.75pts
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