A field of 12 for this class 3 sprint where I can see 4 horses that have been known to lead all they are all in my top 4 ratings, looking for something to lay I think Adeb 11/2 will be better when racing over further so might be worth taking on in this race and it looks the only one that might be of value to lay. Emperor Spirit 12/1 is my 4th top rated, its front running type and has the plum stall one draw so has to be on the shortlist of potential winners so maybe an each way punt is the way to go,, Aberama Gold 12/1 in stall 3 comes out in 2nd top spot but that is using a Tapeta rating recorded at Southwell and its best on this Polytrack surface is a good few spots below that level but I expect it will be an outsider in this race, TOLSTOY 7/1 is my 3rd top rated and could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and then fade nearing the finish so this one might be worth an each way interest. If WALKING ON CLOUDS 11/2 can repeat its best rating from Southwell this year it would be winning this race with a bit to spare but it has never run on this Polytrack surface before but has made the frame or won in eleven of its twelve races on an artificial surface and if taking to this surface could lead all the way but it is raised in class which means any stakes will be kept low and I will be backing them both hoping I've got the angles covered.
If Walking On Clouds 11/2 7th -1pt
Tolstoy 7/1 8th -1pt
Lay bet Adeb +1pt
Total -1pt
NEWCASTLE 4.45
With 11 runners for this class 2 sprint the early pace will most likely be set by DILIGENT HARRY 4/1 who is my 3rd top rated so could prove hard to catch for most of its opponents and if allowed an easy lead it could go even better so will be carrying some of my money. Annaf 11/4 seems to prefer racing where they go around a bend so the early pace isn't so frantic so might get outpaced here and be worth taking on but anything else that I would look to lay will most likely be too big in price so not represent any value in laying them. If this race was at Wolverhampton then Strong Power 40/1 would be my 2nd top rated and an each way wager but its best at this course has been quite a bit lower so I won't be backing or laying this one, some of my money will be also be riding on MUM'S TIPPLE 9/1 (EW) who is my top rated and likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and if an each way price then all the better.
Giligent Harry 4/1 1st +4pts
Mum's Tipple 9/1 4th -2pt
Lay bet: Annaf +1pt
Total +3pts
Total on the day +2pts
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