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Tuesday 18 April 2023

7:00 Kempton Racing Tips (19th April)


Nine runners for this class 5 sprint where I can see 2 known front running types, firstly I will be looking to lay Redredrobin who races as though a longer distance would show it to its best and will be staying on at the finish but most likely too late for the victory. The top weight Lilkian is my 4th top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Winnetka (now a non-runner) who is my 3rd top rated is also one of the likely pacesetters in this race and might be worth a covering bet on it just in case it leads all the way, I've actually got joint top rated horses and the first one Bethersden Boy recorded its best rating on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and its best Polytrack rating would see it struggling in this race. My main bet will be on the other probable pacesetter in the shape of SWISS PRIDE 8/1 and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and I do like the jockey booking although it will be his 1st ride for this stable. 

Swiss Pride 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 


A field of 12 for this class 6 sprint where I can only see Della Mare marked down as a front running type and normally that would see me giving it every chance but its best form has come on the Tapeta surface and its best on Polytrack recorded over this course and distance would see it getting caught and finishing out of the frame if the others run to their best as its only 5th top on Polytrack ratings and the betting will decide whether I lay this one or not, another one I will be laying if its of value to do so is Dulcet Spirit (now a non-runner) who races as though it needs further before it can show its true worth. I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in My Opinion and Woe Betide (now a non-runner) the former being a hold up type while the latter likes to track the leaders so both will be trying to stay on at the finish, Nubough 7/2 is my 2nd top rated and this is another hold up type so will need some luck to get a clear path when trying to stay on nearing the finish but my money will be riding on GHERKIN 9/1 who can race in midfield or track the leaders, the trainer has an overall strike-rate of 10% but with just the stables older horses it rises to 18%, the jockey also has an overall 10% win ratio for the stable but it jumps up to 33% when riding the stables older horses so lets hope he can add to his tally in this race.

Gherkin 9/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

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