7:00 Kempton Racing Tips (19th April)

KEMPTON 7.00 

Nine runners for this class 5 sprint where I can see 2 known front running types, firstly I will be looking to lay Redredrobin who races as though a longer distance would show it to its best and will be staying on at the finish but most likely too late for the victory. The top weight Lilkian is my 4th top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Winnetka (now a non-runner) who is my 3rd top rated is also one of the likely pacesetters in this race and might be worth a covering bet on it just in case it leads all the way, I've actually got joint top rated horses and the first one Bethersden Boy recorded its best rating on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and its best Polytrack rating would see it struggling in this race. My main bet will be on the other probable pacesetter in the shape of SWISS PRIDE 8/1 and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and I do like the jockey booking although it will be his 1st ride for this stable. 

Swiss Pride 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

KEMPTON 8.00 

A field of 12 for this class 6 sprint where I can only see Della Mare marked down as a front running type and normally that would see me giving it every chance but its best form has come on the Tapeta surface and its best on Polytrack recorded over this course and distance would see it getting caught and finishing out of the frame if the others run to their best as its only 5th top on Polytrack ratings and the betting will decide whether I lay this one or not, another one I will be laying if its of value to do so is Dulcet Spirit (now a non-runner) who races as though it needs further before it can show its true worth. I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in My Opinion and Woe Betide (now a non-runner) the former being a hold up type while the latter likes to track the leaders so both will be trying to stay on at the finish, Nubough 7/2 is my 2nd top rated and this is another hold up type so will need some luck to get a clear path when trying to stay on nearing the finish but my money will be riding on GHERKIN 9/1 who can race in midfield or track the leaders, the trainer has an overall strike-rate of 10% but with just the stables older horses it rises to 18%, the jockey also has an overall 10% win ratio for the stable but it jumps up to 33% when riding the stables older horses so lets hope he can add to his tally in this race.

Gherkin 9/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

1:50 Brighton Racing Tips (6th August)

1:50 BRIGHTON 

A strange race there's 9 runners but no known front running types but I have got negatives against the names of 6 of the runners and if knew for certain there would be a fast early pace I would look to lay, Red Alert, Ghepardo and Cappananty Con who all look better over shorter distances, the bottom weight The Lacemaker hasn't been in good form lately but does have a time from 2020 that would see it as my 2nd top rated but I would need to see some sign of a revival before putting any money on it plus the trainer is 0-9 at this course, GHERKIN 7/2 comes out top rated on just 2021 times and that time was recorded over this course and distance but my top rated is QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 6/1 and if able to repeat its best time from 2020 it would win with a bit in hand 

Queen Of Burgundy 6/1 5th -1pt 

Gherkin 7/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Cappananty Con +1pt, Red Alert +1pt, Ghepardo +1pt

Total +1pt

3:00 BRIGHTON 

A field of 12 with 2 known front runners amongst them, I'm not sure if I can trust a time recorded earlier this year over this c/d but if it wasn't a fluke time then the top 2 will have this race between them with a fair bit in hand, I will look to lay Tyger Bay if its a single figure price, SIR OLIVER 6/1 is my 3rd top rated and it was done over this course and distance sot has to be respected, TIN HAT 14/1 (EW) comes out 2nd top using a time from last year from Newmarket and could make the frame, BATCHELOR BOY 20/1 (EW) comes out my top rated again using a course and distance time but i will be backing all of my top 3 rated horses and each way bets where the price permits. 

Sir Oliver 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Batchelor Boy 25/1 7th -2pts 

Tin Hat 22/1 8th -2pts 

Total -5pts

3:45 MUSSELBURGH 

An 8 runner race with 3 pace setting types, I will look to lay Sunday Sovereign 6/1 who likes some cut in the ground to show its best, Ornate and Wrenthorpe will make sure there's a decent early pace and I've only got 2lbs between them on my ratings but they would have to improve time wise to win this race, Makanah, Embour and Mokaatil are my 4th to 2nd top rated using this years times so they could have each way chances but I will be backing JABBAROCKIE 6/1 who is the 3rd possible pacesetter and my top rated so if getting to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch. 

Jabbarockie 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sunday Sovereign +1pt

Total 0pts

BRIGHTON 5.10 

Twelve runners with just King Crimson known to like to lead but i doubt it can hold on for the win in this class 6 race, I will look to lay Breezyandbright 9/2 who might need further to show its best and has poor trainer/jockey stats with 3yo’s, Our Man In Havana, Wild Flower and Something Lucky have times that would make them competitive and could battle to make the frame but my money will be riding on AQUADABRA 22/1 (EW) who’s best time from 2021 makes it top rated for just this year and its 2020 time makes it top rated on overall figures and being drawn next door to the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger at the finish and at the price has to be an each way bet. 

Aquadabra 33/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bet Breezeyandbright -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts

7:38 NEWMARKET

Just 7 runners and no known front runner amongst them which is always a bugbear in my analysis, I would look to lay the 3 at the bottom of the handicap, Yimou 9/2, Green Power and Dewey Road, if they are single figure prices and I have a negative against each one of them, Dancinginthewoods is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but its only 4th top on overall figures, Soar Above and Abate haven't got recorded times for this year but come out joint 2nd top rated on my overall figures, BEYOND EQUAL 9/2 who comes out top rated on 2021 figures and its best time from 2020 makes it top rated on my overall figures.

Soft ground - no bet as advised 

Total on the day -11.5pts

NOTE: THE GOING HAS BEEN GIVEN AS GOOD AT THE THREE MEETINGS I AM INTERESTED IN BUT WITH HEAVY SHOWERS FORECAST PLEASE CHECK THE GOING BEFORE PLACING ANY BETS AND ANY SIGNS OF SOFT GROUND THEN IGNORE MY FIGURES AND ANALYSIS.