A smallish field of 7 for this class 5 sprint where I think the early pace will most likely be set by Stalingrad but this one is still a maiden after 19 races and 8 of those have been on an artificial surface but its best rating recorded on Tapeta at Wolverhampton would give it at least a chance of doing enough to make the frame, Roshambo 6/1 is my 4th top rated but may need this run for fitness and I will look to lay it if of value to do so nearing the off, Bill Plumb 9/4 comes out 3rd on my figures and if a short priced favourite then I would look to lay it but it would need to be no bigger than 5/2 near the off to be value in my opinion. Blackjack sits in 2nd top spot and likes to track the leaders as does RHYTHM 11/2 who is my top rated and the one that will be carrying my money.
Rhythm 13/2 5th -1pt
Lay bets: Roshambo +1pt, Bill Plumb +1pt
Total +1pt
SOUTHWELL 5.13
Another 7 runner race in this class 5 dash where 4 of the runners have been known to lead before although Yimou might not be able to lead in this race but does come out 3rd best on my ratings with front running Thegreatestshowman rated just 1lb lower in 4th top spot. Of those coming from off the pace I expect Josies Kid to do best as it comes out in 2nd top spot and only 3lbs below GRANDFATHER TOM 6/5 in top spot but I expect this one will be a hot favourite, so only really of any use in a multiple bet, but I cannot see anything to oppose it with so has to be the one I back one way or another.
Grandfather Tom 11/5 4th -1pt
Total -1pt
CHELMSFORD 6.30
Just 6 runners for this class 6 dash, Spanish Angel, Vandad and Fiscal Policy might be better over further while Tomshalfbrother might need this race for fitness. Red Walls is my 2nd top rated using course and distance times and this one likes to front run but doesn't do as well when taken on early for the lead so being that MUSTAFFIZ 4/1 is rated higher, even though its only by 1lb but with the apprentice jockeys 3lb claim its now makes it rated 4lb’s lower, also likes to front run it might have to give way and then Mustaffiz should prove the stronger in the closing stages.
Mustaffiz 5/1 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -1pt
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