5F Class 4 9 Runners
It's very unusual to find a minimum sprint where there isn't any known front running types which always puts me on the back foot, Tolstoy doesn't seem to appreciate really fast ground, Thismydream may be outclassed at this level and Coup De Force might prefer a longer distance and I would look to lay them if of value to do so. Lil Guff is my 4th top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and might have to be aware of the early pace so as not to get the pace wrong and not run to its best, What's In The Bag is my 2nd joint top rated and likes to track the leaders while Harb my other 2nd top rated is usually held up for a late run so this race might not be run to suit it, LIPSINK 3/1 is my top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and will be carrying my money but not much of it in this race that could become a messy tactical affair.
Lipsink 5/1 4th -1pt
Lay bets: Coupe De Force +1pt
Total 0pts
YORK 3.00
6F Class 2 8 Runners
Up to 6 furlongs for this sprint but I can only find 1 front running type so the early pace should be a decent one, Dora Penny, Radio Goo Goo and Distinguished Lady could all be outclassed at this level but the latter pair are 3yo’s so could still be capable of improving so maybe not ones I could lay confidently, while the former horse has won at this level but it was back in 2021. Crazy Luck may not want really fast ground and is another that might be outclassed at this level. My money will be riding on AL SIMMO 10/1 who is my top rated using a Salisbury rating it recorded last year and as its also the known front running type it could lead all the way in this race and the jockey has a 33% win ratio on all of the stables runners which rises slightly up to 38% when riding the stables older horses.
Al Simmo 10/1 2nd -1pt (Unlucky)
Total -1pt
Total on the day -1pt
No comments:
Post a Comment