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Showing posts with label Al Simmo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Al Simmo. Show all posts

Thursday, 15 June 2023

2:05 Sandown Racing Tips (16th June)

SANDOWN 2.05 

5F Class 4 9 Runners It's very unusual to find a minimum sprint where there isn't any known front running types which always puts me on the back foot, Tolstoy doesn't seem to appreciate really fast ground, Thismydream may be outclassed at this level and Coup De Force might prefer a longer distance and I would look to lay them if of value to do so. Lil Guff is my 4th top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and might have to be aware of the early pace so as not to get the pace wrong and not run to its best, What's In The Bag is my 2nd joint top rated and likes to track the leaders while Harb my other 2nd top rated is usually held up for a late run so this race might not be run to suit it, LIPSINK 3/1 is my top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and will be carrying my money but not much of it in this race that could become a messy tactical affair.

Lipsink 5/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Coupe De Force +1pt

Total 0pts

YORK 3.00 

6F Class 2 8 Runners Up to 6 furlongs for this sprint but I can only find 1 front running type so the early pace should be a decent one, Dora Penny, Radio Goo Goo and Distinguished Lady could all be outclassed at this level but the latter pair are 3yo’s so could still be capable of improving so maybe not ones I could lay confidently, while the former horse has won at this level but it was back in 2021. Crazy Luck may not want really fast ground and is another that might be outclassed at this level. My money will be riding on AL SIMMO 10/1 who is my top rated using a Salisbury rating it recorded last year and as its also the known front running type it could lead all the way in this race and the jockey has a 33% win ratio on all of the stables runners which rises slightly up to 38% when riding the stables older horses.

Al Simmo 10/1 2nd -1pt (Unlucky) 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Sunday, 27 June 2021

2:25 Pontefract Racing Tips (28th June)

PONTEFRACT 2.25 

A 13 runner class 5 race with a couple of known front runners and I think Breaking Records will be the pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame on its best time from 2020 being my joint 3rd top rated along with Round The Island who will be trying to stay on nearing the finish, I've got HURSTWOOD 6/1 as my 2nd top rated and to help its cause it being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who has 1-3 record for the stable so it might be a positive booking but I do have MR ORANGE 12/1 (EW) rated a few spots higher but this ones best time was recorded last year and so far this year it hasn't shown much but this one is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning and could be worth an each way punt. 

Mr Orange 12/1 5th -2pts 
Hurstwood 13/2 8th -1pt 

Total -3pts

LINGFIELD 3.15 

A 7 runner race with 3 known front running types and two of them Faustus and Lethal Blast are capable of winning this race from the front, I will look to lay Stake Acclaim who seems to prefer a bit of cut in the ground, Ehrmann hasn't any form on good to firm going so not sure what to expect from it, Red Alert has a time from 2018 that would make it my 2nd top rated but hasn't been in good form time wise since then, if pushed i will side with FAUSTUS 7/2 but it would only be for a small stake. 

Faustus 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Lay bet Stake Acclaim +1pt

Total +4.5pts

PONTEFRACT 3.55 

Only 6 runners but a hard race to analyse and not much to say about the race, AL SIMMO 9/4 and/or ARAMIS GREY 5/2 could set the pace to the race and the race might well be won from the front, the former is my top rated one a time from this year and is a more natural looking pacesetter while the latter is versatile with its racing tactics which does include leading. 

Al Simmo 9/4 1st +2.25pts
Aramis Grey 2nd -1pt 

Total +1.25pts

WINDSOR 7.00

I cannot find anything of value to lay in this race, the only known front runner is Zim Baby but it seems to prefer some cut in the ground, I wouldn't put anyone off backing any of, Atalantas Boy 12/1, Chairmanoftheboard 16/1, One Night Stand 9/2 or Dazzling Dan 13/2 who all have pieces of form that would put them in the mix and maybe an each way wager might pay dividends but i will be backing TINTO 7/1 who finished 2nd last time out and if able to reproduce its best from Newmarket last year then it could goon better in this race and this one has a positive looking good jockey booking. 

Tinto 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

MUSSELBURGH 7.45 

A hard race to analyse to a conclusion but I will look to lay Thrilla In Manila 15/8 favourite who did win last time out in a class 6 race but I am not convinced it will be able to reproduce it in this class 5 affair and it looks poor value at the price and another lay is Wades Magic 4/1 who doesn't seem to reproduce its best form on good to firm ground, as for the winner I will dutch 3 horses with each way bets, MAJOR PUSEY 12/1 who will one day manage to hold on when it leads, ECONOMIC CRISIS 16/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish and BLAZING HOT 16/1 another possible front runner so I hope one of them can lead all the way but also cover the angles with one I think will stay on at the finish.

Economic Crisis 16/1 2nd -1pt 
Blazing Hot 18/1 4th -1pt 
Major Pusey 12/1 8th -1pt 

Total on the day -1.25pts