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Saturday 17 June 2023

2:10 Chester Racing Tips (17th June)

CHESTER 2.10 – 

5f –Class 3 – 8 Runners With 4 front running types it should be a true run race and at this course a lot of races are won from the front, I'm not sure if Speedacus is capable of leading here from stall 3 while Ancient Times has got stall 10 also both need to improve time wise to win this race, I think the 3yo Absolutelyflawless 15/2 will be better when racing over further so might be worth laying if a single figure near the off. Vespasian is my 4th top rated and Lihou is 3rd top and are a few spots behind my top 2 ratings but is a front running type and stall 8 might not be ideal in the make-up of this race but could do enough to make the frame, Leodis Dream is that 2nd top rated horse and likes to track the leaders but could get squeezed out in the early stages from stall 7. My top rated is COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who has its ideal conditions for the 1st time this year and its best rating recorded last year was over todays course and distance and it looks as though this race has been its target and has been prepared for this race so hopefully it can lead all the way from stall 4. 

Copper Knight 9/2 8th -1pt

Lay bet Absolutely Flawless +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHESTER 4.30 – 

6f – Class 4 – 10 Runners I can see 3 front running types and Cuban Breeze and Bezza's Lad from stalls 6 and 9 should make sure there's a fast early pace, if Follow Your Heart is a single figure price i would look to lay it as it either wants a longer distance or maybe some cut in the ground or maybe a bit of both while Ramon Di Loria finds this distance too far for it on fast ground. Ventura Express is my 4th top rated but I'm not sure if this turning track will suit it and from stall 5 its drawn between 2 fast starters so could get squeezed out, Roman Dragon is 3rd top using a course and distance rating from last year and from stall 2 it ought to be able to get a good position on the rails just behind the leaders, Ballyare is capable of recording a fast time but maybe not on good to firm ground at this level or at this distance. My money will be riding on TOUSSAROK 11/1 (EW) who is drawn in stall 4 and should be able to get away quickly and gain control of the all important rails position needed at this course, with its best ratings coming from Brighton and Goodwood it should be able to handle this track and at a double figure price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Toussarock 12/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

YORK 5.25 – 

6f – Class 4 – 15 Runners In big fields here the draw favours those drawn low which wont help the cause of Abate, who is my joint 2nd top rated using a 2021 rating, completing its hattrick of wins but with only 1 other known front running type it might not be too much of a handicap and could possibly at least make the frame, I'm not sure if there's anything of value I can put forward as a lay but the betting might show me an opportunity but I will have to wait and see, Muscika is capable of running well, its my top rated using just this years ratings, and is my 4th top rated overall only rated 1lb higher than Rathbone in 5th top spot who from stall 3 could be the one to set the pace and if gifted an easy lead it could at least make the frame as its my top rated on just this years ratings, Showtime Mahomes is the other joint 2nd top rated using a Yarmouth rating from last year and is drawn in stall 1 which might be an advantage, Many A Star comes out in top spot using a 2021 rating recorded at Yarmouth that year and hasn't had many opportunities since then with ideal conditions. Its a tricky race and I will probably go with dutching 3 horses in this race with each way wagers, RATHBONE 22/1 who could lead all the way from stall 3 with very little competition for the early pacesetters role, SHOWTIME MAHOMES 14/1 who seems to like these courses without many if any undulations and MANY A STAR 20/1 who could go better than its form figures suggest because of the lack of ideal conditions and even then my stakes will be kept low.

Rathbone 22/1 7th -1pt 
Showtime Mahones 14/1 9th -1pt 
Many A Star 20/1 Unp -1pt

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -5pts

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