The early pace in this race could be set by Razzam and if allowed a soft lead then it could be dangerous and might do enough to at least make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price according to the early tissue prices, Momaer has also led before but this distance looks a bit too short for it but did record a decent rating on turf at Leicester over this distance so I'm not quite sure what to expect from this horse so not a bet or lay on it. International Girl and Le Beau Garcon could struggle to stay this distance if there's a fast early pace which I expect will happen in this race. Alcazn and Water Of Leith are capable of producing good ratings but in lower class races than this class 4 affair. My money in this race will be riding on HELLO ME 11/2 who will most likely track the leaders waiting to pounce nearing the finish and then prove the stronger, the trainer has a 23% win ratio with their older horses at this course which hopefully is a pointer to the stable expecting it to run a very big race here.
Hello Me 11/2 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.45
From stall 2 Walking On Clouds might attempt to lead all the way in this race and being my 3rd top rated it could possibly do enough to make the frame but it has never won at this level before so i doubt it can lead all the way for the victory, Space Cowboy can also front run but only if its allowed to set its own usually slower pace but I doubt that will happen here with 2 others that have been known to lead before if nothing else wants to, Mum's Tipple comes out in 5th top spot on my figures and races as though further would suit it better so should be staying on nearing the finish but maybe too late to win, Good Earth could lead if nothing else wants to set the pace but can struggle to stay this distance in a fast run race but despite that still comes out 4th best on my ratings, Strong Power usually races in midfield or at the rear of the field and then stays on stoutly towards the end of the race but hasn't been in good form lately, top of my own unique charts is ARAMIS GREY 16/1 (EW) who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics but I expect from stall 5 it will slot in just behind the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and if an each way price then that would be a bonus.
Aramis Grey 16/1 3rd +3pts
Total +3pts
Total on the day +2pts
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