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Showing posts with label Brian The Snail. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brian The Snail. Show all posts

Tuesday, 16 February 2021

3:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (17th February)


WOLVERHAMPTON 3.20 

A very competitive class 4 race but the lack of known front runners its going to be hard to analyse, a couple of them, Strong Power and Street Parade, can struggle to stay the trip if there's a fast early pace so they could go well here, Invincible Larne hasn't run on this surface before but its best time from Chelmsford would make it my top rated and would be dangerous if taking to the surface, Steelriver comes 2nd top rated on c/d times and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses so I expect it will go well but I think ALBUM 2/1 may be up to completing its hat trick but its a race where my stakes will be kept low and I do hate backing favourites especially in such a competitive affair. 

Album 2/1 2nd (-1pt) 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.20 Div I

This is the 1st division of a class 6 handicap, I will not be bothering with the 2nd division or the other 2 sprints at Wolverhampton mainly due to their not being much data to work with. If betting in this race, we recommend visiting Online Bookies to get some bookmakers reviews and offers before making a wager. Major Valentine and Mercury look likely to set the early pace the former may not really like this surface and the latter hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 but its best time from that year would see it make the frame, Mansfield is another with a good rating but again back in 2019 and has only slow recent times, DYLAN'S LAD 6/4 is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb off top spot behind KATELLI 9/2 they will both be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and being so closely rated it could come down to which one gets the clearest run when needed. 

Katelli 9/2 2nd (-1pt)
Dylan's Lad 6/4 4th (-1pt)

Total -2pts

KEMPTON 5.15 

A nice class 2 race and I hope all 8 take part, (Ghaith) has 2 slow times over this c/d and looks as though further will suit it better and i would look to lay it in this race if a single figure price but I'm not hopeful, Nigel Nott maybe outclassed here and I guess the price will reflect that, Streamline comes out 3rd best overall using a Lingfield time and the last it had a time that registered on my figures over this c/d was recorded back in 2019, the early pace may be set by May Sonic who will need to improve time wise to win this race and PREMIER POWER 9/4 who is my 2nd top rated, that time was recorded in 2020 and has run well after a break before and if leading could be hard to catch it also has good trainer/jockey stats but just in case it needs the run for fitness I will also be backing BRIAN THE SNAIL 4/1 who has been in good form lately, winning its last race and also has a positive jockey booking.

Brian The Snail 5/1 4th (-1pt) 
Premier Power 9/4 8th (-1pt)

Total -2pts 

Total on the day: -5pts
 

Thursday, 21 January 2021

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd January)


LINGFIELD 2.35 

Only 5 runners in this class 2 race, shame on trainers/owners, I think Fizzy Feet might set the pace but I doubt it can hold on and set it up for something coming from off the pace, I have joint top rated horses in ABERAMA GOLD 10/3 and BRIAN THE SNAIL 3/1 who both like to stay on strongly at the finish and it might come down to which one gets the clearest run at the right time and i will be backing them both as I cannot find anyway of splitting them. 

Brian The Snail 7/2 2nd (-1pt) 
Aberama Gold 3/1 4th (-1pt)

Total -2pts

LINGFIELD 3.10 

A class 6 race with 10 runners, that's better, there's 3 known front runners in the field, firstly I will look to lay (King Robert) who is a better prospect when racing over a longer distance, Moveonup from stall 3 could grab the rails but i think he will have to battle with Big Time Maybe for supremacy but there is only 4lbs between them, my 3rd top rated is Mercers ho has 3 c/d wins to its name but it is drawn between 2 fast starters in stalls 6 and 8 so mighty not get a trouble free run in the early stages, I've only got 2lbs between my top 2 rated horses and I will go with backing them both, COMEATCHOO 9/1 is top rated and from stall 9 it could follow the horse drawn on it inside and get a good early position and would have every chance if things go to plan but my other selection is INDIAN PURSUIT 9/1 this one likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and from stall 1 it should be able to get a good position just behind the leaders but on the rails and then stay on in the home straight. 

Indian Pursuit 9/1 2nd (-1pt)
Comeatchoo 14/1 7th (-1pt)

Total -2pts

CHELMSFORD 6.15 

Another class 2 race with a poor turnout of just 6 runners for the 12k prize money, there is a couple of known front runners so it should be a true run race, I think Marnie James might need this run for fitness plus the trainers record here is 0-33 so maybe one to lay as will be Rovanlemi who may need further to show its best, Tone The Barone and Nigel Nott are joint 3rd top rated on recent form and both like to track the leaders but both of the front runners have higher ratings, Lord Riddiford is 4th rated on recent times but 2nd overall but my money will be riding on LEODIS DREAM 7/1 the other front running type and if it gets to the front it should prove hard to catch and the jockey booking catches the eye as its a 28% winning ratio on the stables older horses.

Leodis Dream 7/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total on the Day: -5pts 

Monday, 19 October 2020

3:00 Newcastle - Free Horse Racing Tips (20th October)


NEWCASTLE 3.00 

With 6 races today each race will be a short summary hopefully with all the essentials, there isn't much data to work with with a lot of these runners so any stakes will be kept low, Gunmetal could be one of the pacesetters here and my 4th top rated on c/d times, Wild Edric my 3rd top rated and Deputise in 2nd top spot both recorded their best times at Wolverhampton but I have BRIAN THE SNAIL 14/1  (EW) as my top rated and I am hoping this one will be an each way price, it has a decent jockey booking making me think they are expecting a good run. 

Brian The Snail 14/1 1st (2pts) +17.5pts

Total: +17.5pts (Betfair SP 15.05)

KEMPTON 4.35 

Not a bad looking class 5 affair with a couple of known front running types, Secretfact 4th top and Katherine Place 3rd top are both in their positions using c/d times from 2019 so could battle to make the frame if reproducing their best, I've actually got joint top rated horses in King Robert who recorded its best time this year but stall 9 might not be ideal for it with the make-up of this race so I will be banking on AUTUMN TRAIL 9/1 who is one of the known pace-setting types and has the ideal draw in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here and does have good trainer 17% and jockey 22% stats. 

Autumn Trail 9/1 1st (1pt) +9pts (Betfair SP 4.6)

Total: +9pts

NEWCASTLE 4.40 Div I

This is a race where I'm glad there isn't any bends to go round so the draw wont be a vital ingredient in the race, all of my 4 top ratings are using Wolverhampton times, Three Card Trick is 4th top and a possible pacesetter, Phoenix Star is 3rd best should be trying to stay on at the finish as will One One Seven my 2nd top rated but I will be shouldering USTATH 16/1 (EW) with my money and is another possible front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Ustath 18/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts
 

NEWCASTLE 5.10 Div II 

A race with little data to work with and it was one i was going to leave alone until I saw a glimmer in the gloom, Oriental Relation is 3rd top rated and could possibly front run, Roaring Rory is 2nd top rated and will be held up to get the trip if there's a fast early pace but I will have a small each way bet on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who is the other one that could lead and if getting to the front it could do enough to hold on to at least a place so at the price an each way bet. 

Rockley Point 28/1 6th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 5.40

 For a class 6 affair this looks very competitive and there should be a fast early pace in this dash and most of the early paced sorts are drawn high and for my bet I hope they don't cut each others throats trying to lead, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Arcavallo and Slowmo and both are possible pacesetters along with LORD OF THE GLEN 5/2 who is rated 2lbs better and has been in tip top form lately and will be carrying my money. 

Lord Of The Glen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt  

KEMPTON 6.40 

This is a very competitive class 4 race but the lack of known front runners does muddy the waters, Street Parade has a time from Wolvhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but that is a different surface so I'm not sure what it will here the same applies to Wiley Past and Phuket Power, Juan Les Pins is 3rd top on just 2020 times with Saaheq sitting in 2nd top spot, I will be backing STRONG POWER 9/2 this 3yo is my top rated on 2020 times and over all times and usually stays on strongly at the business end of the race.

Strong Power 13/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +20.5pts