5:30 Southwell Racing Tips (6th April)

SOUTHWELL 5.30 

A field of 10 for this class 6 dash where I can see 3 front running types and this race ought to be won from the front as long as they don't battle each other too hard and then fade nearing the finish and if they do exactly that then Nellie French 12/1 my 3rd top rated or The Tron 7/1 who is my 2nd top rated could prosper and catch the leaders well inside the final furlong but there is only 1lb between this pair so it might be down to luck which one of them goes best. Han Solo Berger 15/2 will be one I will lay if its a single figure price as it hasn't been in good form recently and might be a better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface. Lynn's Boy my 4th top rated likes to front run so could go well but my money will be riding on THRILLA IN MANILA 25/1 who hasn't shown its best form in its 2 runs this year but if able to reproduce its best 2022 course and distance rating it would win this race a shade cosily so if getting to the front it could be hard to catch. 

Thrilla In Manila 33/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet: Hans Solo Berger -8pts

Total -9pts

SOUTHWELL 8.00 

A full house of 14 for this class 6 sprint where I can see 2 known front running types and as they are my 3rd and joint top rated horses a lot of this field won't become competitive in this race. If Alkido 10/1 is a single figure price near the off I will be laying it as it would need to improve time wise and may not stay the distance with a fast early pace which looks more than likely in this race. Autumn Flight 15/2 and Gisseles Izzy 9/2 are my 5th and 4th top rated with just 2lb’s between them but would need others to falter to make the frame, Gunnerside 12/1 in stall 2 is my 3rd top rated and one of the possible pacesetters and with its 3lb claiming apprentice on board it is only 2lbs below my joint top rated pair Jenever 7/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly nearing the finish so with a perfect run it could dead heat with USTATH 10/1 but this one from stall 4 is the other known front running type and if getting the fractions right could lead all the way.

Ustath 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -10pts

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (16th March)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A field of 8 for this class 5 amateur jockeys race and the word amateur automatically means my stakes will be kept to a minimum, there isn't any known front running types in this race which is always a worry, I will look to lay Shalaa Asker 4/1 who struggles to stay this distance with a fast early pace, so the race could play into its hands but if its held up as usual then it might find the leaders not tiring near the finish because I'm pretty sure one or more will set the pace and they might then go off too fast, so that's why a race is harder to analyse without any known early paced types. Hit Mac is my 3rd top rated and also seems to be better over further so ought to run into a place here. If Lilkian 9/4 could reproduce its best 2021 rating then it would be joint top rated but has been well below that level since then, i will be backing EL HOMBRE 6/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and the stable has a reasonable 17% win ratio in apprentice jockey races. 

El Hombre 6/1 5th -1pt

Lay bet: Shalaa Asker -2.25pts

Total -3.25pts 

SOUTHWELL 8.10 

A field of 13 for this class 6 dash and 4 of them have been known to lead before, I'm not sure there will be anything of value to lay in this race, The Tron races as though further would suit it better and is 3rd best on my figures so could run on strongly enough to make the frame, Brandy Station comes out in joint top spot and likes to track the leaders so could do enough to make the frame but might not be able to catch USTATH 3/1 who is my other joint top rated so as it should have 1st run on its main contenders it could lead all the way and just hold on for the win. 

Ustath 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

I doubt I can find an each way bet but I hope all 8 runners take part so as to give 3 places for anyone who does bet each way. Dalby Forest 9/2 might be better when racing over further it will be staying on at the finish but I think too late for the win and will be one to lay if a single figure price and the same applies to Crimson Sand 9/1. Alafdhal is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Saaheq 16/1 would be top rated if I used a Lingfield rating it recorded in 2022 but it usually needs a run for fitness after a break so today’s race might not be its target and I think it will one of the outsiders in the race, my money will be riding on ANGLE LAND 3/1 who is the only known front running type in the race and I expect it will lead from start to finish.

Angle Land 4/1 1st +4pts

Lay bets: Crimson Sand +1pt, Dalby Forest +1pt

Total +6pts

Total on the day +1.75pts

2:35 Southwell Racing Tips (21st January)

SOUTHWELL 2.35 

Typical a nice class 3 race with decent prize money and only 7 runners are entered, *Spirit Of Nguru might need further to show its best and with no known front runner in the race it might not be run to suit it so maybe worth laying, I have got JUSTCALLMEPETE 5/4 as my top rated on course and distance ratings, it has won its last 3 races and has been stepped up one level in class but it seems to be an improving horse and has to have every chance of completing the four-timer in this race. 

*NR

Justcallmepete 5/4 1st +1.25pts

Total +1.25pts

LINGFIELD 3.22 

Lord Riddiford, La Roca del Fuego and The Bell Conductor have been known to lead before but i think the top weighted The Bell Conductor who has won 4 from 5 races its had on an artificial surface but is now racing off an official rating of 95 which might be above where its capable of winning so I couldn't back it. Silky Wilkie seems a better horse over a longer distance but will be staying on nearing the finish but whether it will get there in time I'm not sure but it would be enough to at least put me off backing it. STRONG POWER 9/2 is usually held up for a late run where it stays on powerfully nearing the finish and has been racing in higher class affairs compared to this class 3 race and has good trainer/jockey stats which is usually a positive and will be carrying my money. 

Strong Power 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 3.45 

This is one of those poor class 6 stakes races where they all carry the same weight, there's 12 runners with just one known front running type amongst them and that one could lead all the way here. I think Paddy K and Danah Star might need further to show there best so I will lay them if of value to do so along with Gorgeous General who is better over a shorter trip, I will be backing USTATH 2/1 who has led before and has the stall 1 draw in this race so if getting to the front and gaining control of the rails could lead all the way but the race sure wont take much winning so any stakes will be kept low, it finished 2nd yesterday, Friday, so if turning out here so quickly then connections must be expecting it to go one better here. 

Ustath 2/1 1st +2pts

Lay bets Paddy K +1pt, Danah Star +1pt 

Total +4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A field of 12 for this class 5 sprint where i can see 3 horses, Araifjan, Rebel Redemption and Muscika that have led before and they are fairly closely rated so any of the trio could lead but if Rebel Redemption is allowed an easy lead it could do enough to at least make the frame but stall 12 isn't ideal, but I think they will be setting the race up for a hold up type, Beauzon is my 4th top rated with El Hombre sitting in 3rd top spot and 2nd spot is taken by Porfin so any of them could make the frame if reproducing their previous best ratings but I have SARAH'S VERSE 16/1 (EW) rated top using a course and distance rating from last year, its been awhile since the stable last had a winner but the apprentice jockeys only previous ride for the stable resulted in a win so I'm hoping for the same here but at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Sarah's Verse 20/1 3rd +4pts 

Total +4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 Div I

This 1st division of a 0-50 stakes race is very poor even for the class and in all honesty the race is probably best left alone, none of them have been in great form recently but something has to win the race. Oxygen Thief recorded a rating from this year at Chelmsford which would put it in 4th top spot but it only just registered at the very bottom end of my ratings and may be better over further. Lesha is my 3rd top but this surface isn't its favourite but could still make the frame, Tommytwohoots is my 2nd top rated on a course and distance time it recorded last year so could go well here but CREEK HARBOUR 6/1 has a rating from 2021 which is way better than anything else recorded by anything else in this race, it has been running over longer distances and has only had one course and distance run since then but the apprentice jockey is 0-6 when riding for this stable but this horse has been known to lead before and if deploying those tactics here it could possibly lead all the way but the betting will decide whether i think its value enough to take the risk of backing it. 

Abandoned due to fog 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div II 

The top weight At Your Service would have a decent chance if able to reproduce its best 2021 rating but its not ran for 529 days and its form had tailed off prior to its layoff so might need this run for fitness. I expect that Inaam will be to the fore in the betting after it finished 3rd last time out over 7 furlongs and weakened close home, it is the only horse in the race rated 50 so that might also restrict its price but I think its a much better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface and will look to lay this one. The early pace could be set by VIEWFROMTHESTARS 6/1 who is ideally drawn in stall 2 to lead and if getting to the front and reproducing its best course and distance rating from 2022 it could get back to winning ways.

Abandoned due to fog 

Total on the day +4.25pts

12:50 Southwell Racing Tips (20th January)

SOUTHWELL 12.50 

This is one of those lowly stakes races where the highest official handicap rating fifty and in this race there's only one horse rated that highly and that is USTATH 11/2 who hasn't shown anything of note recently but as its the only known front running type in this race it could bounce back to form so has to carry some of my money just in case it leads all the way and is my top rated but in such a poor race my stakes will be kept low. I don't think its a race where its advisable to be laying anything but i will be backing MUTABAAHY 10/1 in this race as it hasn't any course and distance form to its name but is my top rated using a time it recorded in 2021 at Wolverhampton, so I will covering the angle of front running type and those with ratings from different courses by backing them both. 

Ustath 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Mutabaahy 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 5.45 

Most of the 9 runners have the same racing style of tracking the leaders but none of the runners are natural front running types which always makes analysis difficult, I can also see a trio of horses, Bellagio Man, Maritimes Rules and Motawaazy who race as though they would do better over further so unless one of them decides to set a decent early gallop the race might not be run to suit them. Primos Comet has a fast time to its name but its last win on an AW track was back in 2019, Modular Magic is top rated using just course and distance ratings and might be a short price because of finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run affair. Bert Kibbler could go well here and won its last 2 races but they were over a year ago so not sure if it will be fit enough to do itself justice but if fully fit it could at least make the frame. My money will be riding on DUSKY PRINCE 9/1 who finished 3rd last time out and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim becomes my top rated so could get back to winning ways here. 

Dusky Prince 10/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.45 

Another race with 9 runners but at at least there is 1 known front running type in this race. Delta Romeo hasn't any form in England to work with so not sure exactly what to expect but I think it might be a better prospect when racing over a longer distance but I'm not confident enough to put it forward as a lay . The early pace could be set by Gowanbuster but has only slow times to its name since 2021 but did finish 2nd last time out so is in good form. I think any bet in this race will be risky but maybe a small punt on ORIENTAL LILLY 10/1 (EW) might pay dividends but also leaving the race alone wouldn't be a bad decision but if a double figure price it might be worth an each way punt. 

Oriental Lilly 12/1 5th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -5pts

4:05 Chepstow Racing Tips (22nd August)

BRIGHTON 1.00 

A 6 runner race where half the field have been known to lead, Porfin 7/2 who won last time out may be better over further and could get outpaced here at the minimum distance, Haveoneyerself 9/2 and Newyorkstateofmind 5/1 have both been in poor form recently and would need to improve time wise to win this race, Shamshon 15/2 seems a much better prospect in lower class races which leaves me with Street Parade 9/4 who is my 2nd top rated and is one that likes to lead as does my top rated horse POP DANCER 4/1 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove hard to catch.

Pop Dancer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHEPSTOW 4.05 

The usual poor grade 6 stakes race where the top official rating is just 50 and only 3 of the runners are rated that high, Thegreyvtrain is my 3rd top rated but has been fading near the finish in every race lately and I doubt that will change here but it could make the frame if others falter, Mr Pc 9/2 and Fossos 8/1 are my 4th top rated and the latter is a front running type while the former is one of the 3 horses rated 50 so they could both run ok here, Notra Maison 5/1 is another 50 rated horse and my 2nd top rated so it could make the frame if reproducing its best, the 3rd and final horse rated 50 is the 3yo HATTIE C 12/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and comes out in top spot on my speed ratings and a reproduction of its rating 2022 rating at Salisbury would see it return to winning ways and at the price I have to go with an each way wager. 

Hattie C 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pt  

SOUTHWELL 6.40 

A class 6 race with 9 runners over the minimum distance with two known front running types, the top weight So Grateful 2/1 might need further to show its best and at that price I would be prepared to take the risk and lay it, Harrogate 7/1 will be staying on at the finish and could run on into a place so might be worth an each way bet, Duke Of Firenze hasn't been in such good form so far this year but its best rating from 2021 would see it make the frame, Mews House 8/1 has been known to lead before but time wise it would need to improve to win this race but could be a another contender to make the frame, Birdie Bowers 15/2 who is my 2nd top rated is the one I think will set the pace to this race and could make the frame from the front but I will be backing USTATH 5/1 who finished 2nd last time out behind Birdie Bowers but is weighted here to reverse the form and is my top rated using just course and distance times since the new surface was laid at the end of last year.

Ustath 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet So Grateful -0.8pts 

Total -0.8pts 

Total on the day -1.8pts

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

A class five race over the five furlong dash distance with 10 runners and four known front runners which is always helpful, I will look to lay Street Life 8/1 who may need this run for fitness and maybe better on the Polytrack surface and You're Cool 5/1 won last time out in a class 6 race and it does it best in lower class races, Qaaraat 10/3 finished 2nd last time out but that was in a class 6 selling race and another that may struggle now up in class, Secretfact, Grandfather Tom and Dark Side Prince have been known to lead before but I am hoping that RED WALLS 9/1 can get to the front and if doing so it could prove hard to catch and might be of value especially if an each way price. 

Red Walls 18/1 9th -2pt 

Lay bets You're Cool -2.75pts, Street Life +1pt 

Total -3.75pts

CATTERICK 3.30 

I can see 3 runners that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run race, I can see 4 runners that will be big prices but I'm not sure I can see anything that I can lay that will represent value, Stronsay has got a decent speed figure and it finished 2nd last time out so could be a danger but the trainer is 1-38 at this course and the jockey is 0-8 for the stable which is a bit off-putting, I will be having a small bet on USTATH 9/2 who is the one I think will set the pace to the race and if leading it could prove hard to catch. 

Ustath 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

MUSSELBURGH 3.50 

This at first glance is a nice looking class 4 race, there's only 6 runners but worse than that there's no known pacesetters in the race, Alebegone 5/2 might be outclassed at this level as might the bottom weight Rory 13/2 who also hasn't been in good form lately, John Kirkup might prefer some cut in the ground to show its best, The Thin Blue Line 5/2 might prefer further to show its best so this race might not be run to suit it, Rose Bandit is my 2nd top rated so could go well but my money will be riding on PRIMO'S COMET 5/1 who doesn't want the going to be too fast so it should be ideal and the jockey has a decent record for the stable.

Primo's Comet 12/1 6th - 1pt

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5.75pts

5:30 Southwell Racing Tips (25th February)

SOUTHWELL 5.30 

This 8 runner race looks very intriguing, the draw doesn't mean much over this straight 5 furlong course but the only known front runner, Spirit Power is drawn in stall 1 but hasn't any recent c/d form, the trainer has a 17% win ratio and the jockey has a 22% win rate for the stable, Smokey has a time from Lingfield that would make it top rated overall but with no form on this slower surface I'm not sure how well it will go, Qaaraat will run its usual race if in the mood but its not one to rely on, Global Melody has 2 wins and 2 places from its 6 c/d runs and could go well in this race, Dynamo Walt is maybe getting a bit old nowadays but could go ok, I will split my stakes between PASSIONAL 6/4 who seems to have a positive jockey booking and has won its only previous race over this c/d and USTATH 13/2 who has won twice been placed once from just 4 previous c/d attempts, the former will be held up for a late run while the latter will try to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish 

Passional 6/4 2nd -1pts

Ustath 13/2 7th -1pt

Total -2pts

SOUTHWELL 7.00

Only 8 runners but another very intriguing race, Zylan trainer stats 16% wins, jockey stats 20% wins, its won 6 and placed 4 times from 13 c/d runs and time wise it makes my top 4 ratings it likes to lead and has the plum stall 1 draw,, Lord Oberon trainer stats 23% wins, jockey 38% wins its won both of its c/d runs but time wise may need to improve to win this race, Rock Sound trainer stats 40% wins, jockey stats also 40% wins and its best time from 2019 makes it my 2nd top rated, Garth Rockett trainer stats 27% wins, jockey 43% wins it hasn't any form over this course and its best time from Chelmsford would make it 2nd top rated overall, Katheefa has relatively poor trainer/jockey stats but has a time from 2019 that puts it in top spot, Alsvinder is the only other known frontrunner in this race, has ok trainer/jockey stats but would need to improve time wise to win, Medicine Jack hasn't any course form and would need to improve for the switch to this surface to win the race, Exceassable trainer stats 24% wins, jockey stats 23% wins and is top rated on just recent c/d times, a lot of connections look as though they fancy their chances in this race I will go with 2 horses to win from off the pace, if i was 100% sure that EXCESSABLE 4/1 was up to this class of race it would be my sole selection but i will have to back a 2nd horse in the shape of ROCK SOUND 7/2 who likes to stay on at the finish of races.

11:35 Southwell Racing Tips (27th November)

SOUTHWELL 11.35 

There's only 7 runners and I still cant narrow it down to one selection and its a race where I will back the one I think will lead and one that likes to run on at the finish, Red Stripes is a possible leader but its form since after the lock down has been quite poor and it wont get an easy lead here, I'm hoping the early pace will be set by SLOWMO 5/1 who has a rating from Newcastle that would make it my top rated but its one c/d run in 2018 resulted in a slow time so not 100% sure what to expect, the other horse I will be backing is ARZAAK 2/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here. 

Slowmo 13/2 1st (+6.5pts) (Betfair SP 8.44)

Arzaak 9/4 4th (-1pt)

Total: +5.5pts

SOUTHWELL 1.40 

This race is very close at the top of my ratings, Moveonup and Requinto Dawn are joint 4th top rated and could be trying to stay on at the finish while Dirchill and Crosse Fire will be trying to win from the front being my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses but I will be backing PUCHITA 13/2 who is my top rated and that speed figure was recorded this year and I do like it when this apprentice rides for the stable as he has a 17% win ratio on their older horses. 

Puchita 17/2 3rd (-1pt) 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 2.45 Div I

This is a poor looking race with a very limited amount of data to work with but the top weight does catch the eye, its due to run Thursday but I think this would be a much easier task for USTATH 9/4 to win its 4th race in a row and if it does run both days I will be backing it unless its too short a price. 

Ustath 9/4 4th -1pt

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 3.20 Div II

This 2nd division is a little better in the amount of data I've got to work with, I have to say its not a race to be getting too heavily involved in betting wise and there looks to be very little early pace in the race, Trevie Fountain finished 2nd last time out but it was in a slow run affair, Phantasmal, Le Manege Enchante, The Golden Cue, Dors Toyboy and Hellofagame all have speed figures very close to each others and could run well but i will be relying on FIRST EXCEL 9/2 who has been known to lead when nothing else wants to, which could be the case here, and has a time over this c/d in 2019 that would see it winning this race cosily but the jockeys record of 0-12 is a little off-putting, I was hoping it would be an each way price so I hope it drifts a bit.

First Excel 7/1 3rd +0.4pts

Total +0.4pts

Total on the day +3.9pts

3:00 Newcastle - Free Horse Racing Tips (20th October)

NEWCASTLE 3.00 

With 6 races today each race will be a short summary hopefully with all the essentials, there isn't much data to work with with a lot of these runners so any stakes will be kept low, Gunmetal could be one of the pacesetters here and my 4th top rated on c/d times, Wild Edric my 3rd top rated and Deputise in 2nd top spot both recorded their best times at Wolverhampton but I have BRIAN THE SNAIL 14/1  (EW) as my top rated and I am hoping this one will be an each way price, it has a decent jockey booking making me think they are expecting a good run. 

Brian The Snail 14/1 1st (2pts) +17.5pts

Total: +17.5pts (Betfair SP 15.05)

KEMPTON 4.35 

Not a bad looking class 5 affair with a couple of known front running types, Secretfact 4th top and Katherine Place 3rd top are both in their positions using c/d times from 2019 so could battle to make the frame if reproducing their best, I've actually got joint top rated horses in King Robert who recorded its best time this year but stall 9 might not be ideal for it with the make-up of this race so I will be banking on AUTUMN TRAIL 9/1 who is one of the known pace-setting types and has the ideal draw in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here and does have good trainer 17% and jockey 22% stats. 

Autumn Trail 9/1 1st (1pt) +9pts (Betfair SP 4.6)

Total: +9pts

NEWCASTLE 4.40 Div I

This is a race where I'm glad there isn't any bends to go round so the draw wont be a vital ingredient in the race, all of my 4 top ratings are using Wolverhampton times, Three Card Trick is 4th top and a possible pacesetter, Phoenix Star is 3rd best should be trying to stay on at the finish as will One One Seven my 2nd top rated but I will be shouldering USTATH 16/1 (EW) with my money and is another possible front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Ustath 18/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

 

NEWCASTLE 5.10 Div II 

A race with little data to work with and it was one i was going to leave alone until I saw a glimmer in the gloom, Oriental Relation is 3rd top rated and could possibly front run, Roaring Rory is 2nd top rated and will be held up to get the trip if there's a fast early pace but I will have a small each way bet on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who is the other one that could lead and if getting to the front it could do enough to hold on to at least a place so at the price an each way bet. 

Rockley Point 28/1 6th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 5.40

 For a class 6 affair this looks very competitive and there should be a fast early pace in this dash and most of the early paced sorts are drawn high and for my bet I hope they don't cut each others throats trying to lead, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Arcavallo and Slowmo and both are possible pacesetters along with LORD OF THE GLEN 5/2 who is rated 2lbs better and has been in tip top form lately and will be carrying my money. 

Lord Of The Glen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt  

KEMPTON 6.40 

This is a very competitive class 4 race but the lack of known front runners does muddy the waters, Street Parade has a time from Wolvhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but that is a different surface so I'm not sure what it will here the same applies to Wiley Past and Phuket Power, Juan Les Pins is 3rd top on just 2020 times with Saaheq sitting in 2nd top spot, I will be backing STRONG POWER 9/2 this 3yo is my top rated on 2020 times and over all times and usually stays on strongly at the business end of the race.

Strong Power 13/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +20.5pts 

7:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (29th September)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.10 

In this field of 11 runners there is seven 3yo’s who could still improve without warning and i would normally give this race a wide berth but sitting near the bottom of the handicap is TURANGA LEELA 25/1 (EW) who admittedly hasn't shown anything worthwhile in its 2 runs of this year but i am hoping it needed those 2 runs to gain fitness, it has a c/d time from last year, 2019, it is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who is having her debut ride for the stable but she has 7 wins to her name, and a repeat of that time would make it hard to catch seeing its a front running type of horse and at the price it may be worth taking a risk with an each way punt.

Turanga Leela 33/1 6th (-2pts) 

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.40

For a class 6 race this isn't too ban an affair, there's some early pace in the race which is always a bonus in helping to analyse any race although many times my plans have been scuppered by something changing its usual racing style and also that usually fails to work, Global Hope will be among the favourites for this race but its times have been relatively slow, even when winning, the top weight Youre Cool looks a better proposition over shorter distances but does have a time from way back in 2015 that would make it my 4th top rated overall, Sfumato is the only horse with a recorded time from this year since the lockdown so has to be respected but that time isn't good enough to make my top overall figures. Both my 3rd top rated Tomshalfbrother and 2nd top rated Blessed To Empress are in their positions using times from Chelmsford which is a different surface and neither have ran over this c/d before so not sure what to expect of them, my money will be riding on USTATH 11/2 who is my top rated using a c/d time from 2019 while its sole run over the c/d this year was poor, normally stall 10 isn't ideal but in the make-up of this race i cannot see any reason why it shouldn't get out smartly and either lead or contest the lead from the off and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.

Usatath 7/1 9th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -3pts