3:35 Newcastle Racing Tips (12th January)

NEWCASTLE 3.35 

A class five dash with just 7 runners and 2 known front running types amongst them Another Angel is one of them but has been in woeful form recently and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in the betting so too big to be of value to lay but I could lay Idoapologise if its a single figure price as it needs to improve time wise and further seems to suit it better as its never won over today's distance. Ruggles has one good rating over this course and distance but that rating might have been a bit of a fluke maybe where it got towed along in a fast run race and a possible lay if of value to do so. Kraken Power has only 1 win to its name from 31 races and I'm not sure if it prefers a longer distance or a different surface to show its best so might be one of value to lay, I'm not sure what to expect from Wee Fat Mac so I can't back or lay this one. As for the winner of this race I'm looking towards MODULAR MAGIC 5/1 who is my 2nd top rated horse and also the other known front running type and with an easy lead it could lead all the way as I've rated it just 1lb below INDIAN SOUNDS 5/1 who seems to like tracking the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish and they both finished 4th last time out indicating a return to form was imminent. 

Modular Magic 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Indian Sound 5/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Kraken Power -2.75pts, Idoapologise +1pt 

Total -3.75pts

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way wager in the field, I will be looking to lay Suzi's Connoisseur if its a single figure price as it hasn't won a race since 2019 and it might need this run for fitness as its last run was just over a year ago. Dark Design looks the most likely one to set the pace to this race and as always if its allowed an easy lead it could prove very dangerous and could even win the race but ratings wise it needs to improve a good few spots, Company Minx is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders so could go well and might be worthwhile looking at an each way bet. My money will be riding on SHAMSHON 3/1 as its my top rated and the trainer has a 25% win ratio in apprentice jockey races and can either be held up or track the leaders either way it should be staying on at the finish. 

Shamshon 3/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.00

A nice class 3 race over the minimum distance and as usual at this level a poor turnout of just 6 runners where 4 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for the class. Papa Don't Preach and Double Dealing would both need to improve time wise to win this race and they are the 2 that are not known to front run so I doubt either will get into the race. Harb is my 4th top rated and needs to improve on the clock to win here, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Impeach and Atiyah but my top rated horse MISS NAY NEVER 8/11 has the stall 1 draw and I expect it to get away smartly and gain control on the rails and then prove too hard to catch in the closing stages its won its last 2 races and has been found the ideal opportunity to complete the hattrick in this race and its a course where the trainer has a 30% win ratio with their older horses and the jockeys strike rate is 18% when riding for the stable.

Miss Nay Never 5/4 1st +1.25pts

Total +1.25pts

Total on the day -3.5pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 

Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 

Coley's Koko 

Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30

A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 

*NR

Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts

The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts

2:40 York Racing Tips (23rd July)

YORK 2.40 

Fifteen runners in this class 2 sprint with 2 known front running types and Hyperfocus is one of them and my 4th top rated so could do enough from the front to make the frame, I will look to lay Mondammej 9/1 who is a better horse over shorter distances another lay is Silver Samurai 5/1 who doesn't like good to firm ground but there is rain forecast so the ground might be ok for it, Music Society is my 3rd top rated but is taking on better horses here, Gabriel The Devil doesn't seem as good as it once was but could go well here if able to repeat its best rating from 2021, my money will be riding on LUCKY MAN 9/1 (EW) who will either race in midfield or be held up and then finish with a flourish as the finish approaches, its best rating was recorded over today's course and distance, has a nice looking jockey booking so could be a nice each way bet. 

Lucky Man 14/1 2nd +2.5pts 

Lay bet Silver Samurai +1pt

Total +3.5pts

NEWMARKET 3.42 

A nice field of 8 for this class 3 race, I can see a couple of horses, Alligator Alley and Society Lion, who look likely lays,the former has never won at today's distance and hasn't been in good form recently and the latter may be better when racing over further, Pure Dreamer and Oso Rapido are my joint 3rd top rated just 2lbs behind Chipstead who sits in 2nd top spot, the top rated SMEATON'S LIGHT 8/1 (EW)is also the only known front running type in this race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish to win this race and if all 8 take part I will back it each way. 

Smeaton's Light 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 3.57 

A poor class 4 race with just 5 runners, I can see reasons why not to back all of them as 2 of them might prefer a longer distance 2 others have not been in good form lately which leaves me with MISS NAY NEVER 4/1 who has been known to lead so if leading here could lead all the way but its rating only just registered on my figures so the race wont take much winning and my stakes will be keep low. 

Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

ASCOT 5.20 

In this class 2 race there is 3 known front running types in this field of 10 and two of them Lynns Boy and King Of Stars are in my top 4 ratings, in 4th and 3rd top spots, I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay, Live In The Moment comes out in 2nd top position so could make the frame, I've got JAWWAAL 8/1 (EW) as my top rated using a time recorded last year at Haydock and a repeat of that rating would win this race nicely but this is a much tougher course so as a bit of insurance I will look to back it each way to a small stake. 

Jawwaal 16/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SALISBURY 6.30 

My 4th top rated horse The Deriant looks the likely pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame, the bottom 3 have very little to recommend them but will be biggish prices, Haseef and Minhaaj may prefer a longer trip, Hattie C and Q Twenty Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so could be each way bets in this race but I will be backing WE’RE REUNITED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey has a 23% winning ratio for the stable. 

We're Reunited 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 7.30 

Just 7 runners with 2 front running types Michael's Choice and Secret Handsheikh who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, the bottom 3 in the handicap have shown very little worthwhile form recently and might be worth laying one, two or all three of them, Delegate This Lord hasn't shown much time wise lately so I will be backing STRIKE 11/2 who recorded its best rating over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning quite smartly.

Strike 11/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bets Michael's Choice -3.5pts, Secret Handsheikh +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day 0pts