1:56 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th March)

LINGFIELD 1.56 

A class 2 dash with good prize money and there's only 3 runners, what a joke, think there was only 6 ever entered for the race maybe TONE THE BARONE 10/11 scared a lot of trainers as this horse ran well again last time out in a Listed race and now dropped down in class should get back to winning ways but I have a word of caution as there isn't any known front running type in the race and with small fields the racing can become very tactical, via my ratings it should win cosily but if its a relative trot and then a mad dash for home any of the trio could win and I expect the selection will be the hot favourite, it should win but I might leave the race alone especially if its odds on. 

Tone The Barone 5/4 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.16 

A field of 9 for this class 6 dash where I can only see one known front running type, if single figure prices I would lay Bungle Bay and Perfect Symphony who might need further to show their best form while both Ellie Piper and Battle Point do better when racing on the Tapeta surface. Master Sully will need to improve time wise to win this race, Top Exhibit hasn't been in good form recently but this is a drop in class compared so that could rejuvenate it but I couldn't back or lay this one, Storm Melody is my joint 2nd top rated on recent ratings and top rated using its best 2022 rating but you have to go back to 2021 to find this ones last win and as a 10 year old it could be on the decline and time wise has got towed along in fast run races and its ratings may have flattered it, FAIR AND SQUARE 4/1 is my other joint 2nd top rated on recent ratings and is the one I expect to set the pace to the race and if allowed an easy lead it could hold on for the win as its only rated 2lbs lower than TOPLIGHT 7/2 who can deploy most racing tactics apart from front running but will be trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish and I will back them both to cover the angles.

Topflight 7/2 2nd -1pt 

Fair And Square 4/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Bungle Bay +1pt

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts 

5:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (13th February)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 Div I

A field of 9 for this division of this class 6 dash with 2 that have been known to lead before although Prince Of Rome is more of a versatile with its racing tactics and maybe only leads when nothing else wants to so it might not try to lead here. Coast might need further to show its best form but being my 3rd top rated it could run on into the frame, Munificent is my 2nd top rated and this one usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish but I doubt it will be an each way price. My top rated is AMAZING AMAYA 12/1 who tries to stay on at the finish and if able to track the early pace then could stay on for the win so has to carry some of my money but I have a feeling that BOOM THE GROOM 4/1 could be allowed to set the early pace and if able to do so being my 4th top rated it could do enough to at least make the frame but could pinch the race from the front if allowed an easy lead and the jockey has a decent 19% strike rate on the stables older horses. 

Amazing Amaya 12/1 2nd -1pt 

Boom The Groom 9/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 Div II

The make-up of this 2nd division is very similar to the first division with 1 what I would call a natural front running type and if AUTUMN FLIGHT 8/1 runs here and is allowed an easy lead it could go very well from the front and could even hold on for the win so has to carry some of my money. Fair And Square 6/1 is still a maiden after 25 races and if a single figure price I will look to lay it along with Procivity 12/1 who races as though further suits it better and has never won on an artificial surface from 8 attempts and its 1 good rating is looking like a race where it towed along in a fast run affair so is maybe best ignored. I will also be backing TOPLIGHT 7/2 who can deploy any tactics apart from leading and is from the same Stable as Boom The Groom is the 1st division so has good jockey stats. It look to me as the trainer Tony Carroll who has 2 entrants in each race thinks he can win this race and i have put forward one from each division which I think is the better prospect in each division.

Toplight 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Autumn Flight 8/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Fair And Square +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

5:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (30th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 

A class six, five furlong dash with eleven runners but not one of them appears to be a natural front running type but I am pretty sure something, probably a horse drawn near to the inside rails, will attempt to lead all the way and I'm hoping that horse might be Billy Dylan in stall 3 who is my top rated using a 2021 rating but has been a fair bit below that level this year, it has poor trainer/jockey stats but if allowed to bowl along in front could do enough to win this race  or at least make the frame. Man On A Mission 3/1 isn't well drawn in stall 9 but will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late for the win so maybe one for the lay’s list especially at the price, Glorious Charmer also looks to want further to show its best, but its rating from Southwell will be enough for me not to add to my lays list, and the same applies to Elf Rising 6/1 but this last one being a three year old I would only lay to a smaller stake. Nellie French could make the frame again here but I cant see why it should suddenly find enough to win this race. Glorious Charmer is 3rd best using Southwell's ratings with Toplight in 2nd spot and Man On A Mission in top spot, on other Tapeta ratings for this year only ive got Toplight in top spot, Glorious Charmer in 2nd top spot and Billy Dylan in 3rd top spot, on overall Tapeta figures ive got Toplight in 2nd spot with Billy Dylan in top spot. I cannot let Toplight run without some sort of bet on it but this one can be slowly away which handicaps its chances of winning. 

CONCLUSION: I will go with backing two horses in this race, TOPLIGHT 3/1 who would probably be the sole bet in the race if I knew for sure it would get away on level terms but even then it still records decent ratings for the class of race the other being BILLY DYLAN 14/1 (EW) who could be allowed an easy lead in this race and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but the trainers stats here are poor as are the jockeys stats when riding for the stable but if of value to do so I would back this one each way., so it looks like two small bets.

Topflight 7/2 8th -1pt 

Billy Dylan 14/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Man On A Mission -2pts, Glorious Charmer +1pt

Total on the day -3pts

4:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10 Div I

Ten runners in this class 6 dash with 3 of them being known to lead before, there's 4 horses, Red Stripes, Pivoting, But You Said and Liberty Bay that look to have very little chance of winning this race and I expect will be outsiders. The top 4 in the weights, Our Louise 8/1, Munificent 3/1, Jack Ryan 3/1 and Waverly Star 6/1 all race as though a longer distance would suit them better, Rockley Point 20/1 is a possible pacesetter here and has the plum stall one draw which could help its cause but my money will be riding on TOPLIGHT 6/1 who can either race in midfield or be held up for a late run and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 it would be winning this race a shade cosily plus the jockey does quite well with an 18% win ratio for the stable on their older horses. 

Toplight 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 Div II

Ten runners again with again 3 of them having been known to lead before, if I'm right there's not many horses that could win this race, I expect Nellie French, Moveonup, Elf Rising and Miss Fernando to be outsiders in the betting and look to have virtually no chance of winning this race but never say never, I think the quartet of Eastern Star 8/1, The Gloaming 9/4, Embla 5/1 and Big Time Maybe 7/1 need a longer distance to show their best form. The top weight Ellie Piper 8/1 needs to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with SHAMSHON 9/2 who seems to like this course and if it comes back to its best here even from stall 9 it could lead all the way. 

Shamshon 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 5.15 

NEVER DARK is drawn in stall 8 which isn't ideal for a front running type and needs to improve time wise to win this but won last time so is in good form. 

LIHOU would be my 3rd top rated if I used its best rating from 2021 at Wolverhampton but hasnt been in good form lately but is best drawn of the known front running types in this race.

JOSIES KID this 3yo can either be held up or track the leaders its stall 5 draw might not be too bad and its my 4th top rated. 

REIGNING PROFIT is a 3yo who will most likely race in midfield in this race and then its runs on strongly at the finish and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures so maybe an each way bet. 

HUDDLETON MAC will be an outsider, it looked to need further when racing over 6 furlongs so why they have dropped it to 5 furlongs has baffled me. 

HIYA MAITE its racing style is to track the leaders and comes out in top spot on my figures and will likely have assistance from its stablemate to win this race. 

TRIPLE JAY usually likes to track the leaders but time wise it needs to improve to win this race and stall 9 isn't going to help its cause. 

JEAN'S MAITE my 5th top rated while stall 10 isn't great for a front running type it will ensure its a fast early pace to help its stablemates chances. 

MURBIH this 3yo who won last time out has been known to lead and stall 4 isn't a bad draw in this race but its time only just registered on my figures. 

PRIMO a 3yo who won last time out but it was a very slow time and didn't register on my figures, raised in class here but could be an improving youngster. 

SUMMARY: With four known front running types in this dash it should be fast and furious, I'm not sure I can see anything worthwhile to lay in this race. As for the winner my money will be riding on HIYA MAITE 11/2 who won last time out and seems to like a fast pace to aim at which it should get here where i expect its stablemate will ensure the pace is fast and from stall 7 it could get a good tow into the race if it follows its stablemate towards the rails, it has good trainer stats with a win ratio of 15% at this course over the last 5 years but since the switch to the Tapeta surface the win ratio climbs to 32%, the jockeys win ratio is 19% for the last 5 years but climbs to 28 for just the last year so everything points to connections expecting it to run a big race here.

Hiya Maite 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

2:55 Southwell Racing Tips (1st November)

SOUTHWELL 2.55 

A full house of 14 runners where I think the early pace could be set by Mokaman who happens to be my 2nd top rated so should do enough to at least make the frame, its not been in good form lately so not one I could rely on but might be worth an each way punt, I think Primo will be better when racing over further and might be of value to lay in this race, Rose Bandit who usually races in midfield in the early stages of a race is my 3rd top rated so could run on into the frame, my top rated using both course and distance ratings and the other 2 Tapeta courses is TOPLIGHT 5/1 who usually races in midfield or is held up at the back for a late run and the jockey has a reasonable 15% win ratio for the stable on their older horses. 

Toplight 8/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet Primo -4pts

Total -5pts

SOUTHWELL 5.00 Div I

A ten runner race where the biggest problem is the lack of known front running types so any stakes are automatically lowered, this race might not be run to suit Jackmeister Rudi who might need further to shine, Bayraat is making its handicap debut but will need to improve upon what its shown in its 3 races to date to win this lowly race but never say never, Wee Fat Mac, Griggy, Hilarys Boy and Variety Island are my 5th to 2nd top rated, in order, they are all very closely matched on their speed figures with only 5lbs between them but if CAPTAIN VALLO 8/1 can reproduce its best rating from 2021 at Newcastle it would be winning this race a shade cosily so has to be the one I will be backing. 

Captain Vallo 8/1 1st +8pts

Total +8pts

SOUTHWELL 5.30 Div II

Nine runners in this 2nd division but this times there is some known early paced types with Della Mare is the only one with a rating over today's course and distance so could go well and Big Impact who recorded its best rating at Wolverhampton and is my 2nd top rated on Tapeta rating but not recorded here at Southwell so either or both could make the frame, Gherkin looks better on Polytrack while Tantastic can find this distance too far with a fast early gallop and both could be possible lays in this race. Secret Equity is my 3rd top rated using Tapeta ratings from elsewhere but my money will be riding on STARSONG 9/4, this 3yo won last time out and looks to have been found a good opportunity to follow up here. 

Starsong 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

NEWCASTLE 7.15 Div I

Ten runners in this class 6 sprint, the 3yo One More Dream won last time out in a relatively slow run race and will need to improve time wise but these youngsters can improve dramatically from race to race, if there is a fast early pace Macho Pride might struggle to stay the distance but with only Rockley Point, my 3rd top rated using a 2021 rating, known as a front running type this race might not be run at a fast gallop from the off so I'm not sure I can lay anything with confidence, Yaahobby is my 2nd top rated and is another 3yo so it could improve further but I will be backing LADY CELIA 10/1 (EW) in stall 9 who is usually held up for a late run and those drawn middle to high can have an advantage on this course and at the price it has to be an each way punt. 

Lady Celia 10/1 6th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.45 Div II

This 2nd division seems the weaker of the 2 races, there's only Miss Calculation who had led before but that was only on sufferance and may have to do so again here but I don't think this is its favoured surface so may be worth laying along with Kath's Toyboy for the same reasoning. Most of the runners look quite poor and I can only see MY BOY JACK 9/4 as a possible bet, I think it will the favourite to win this race but it hasn't won from 14 runs with 6 of them being on an artificial surface but its rating is quite a few spots above the 2nd placed horses rating and looks well in according to my figures but the lack of a win is a major danger signal.

My Boy Jack 9/4 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Kath's Toyboy -4pts,  Miss Calculation +1pt

Total -4pts 

Total on the day -0.75pts

7:30 Southwell Racing Tips (4th October)

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

Quite a complex race with form lines over today's course and distance and also over the distance at Wolverhampton and Newcastle and the fact that there doesn't appear to be any known front runner in the field doesn't help matters, the 3yo Prayer Matt has a rating from on turf which would make it my top rating but the horse is still a maiden after 14 races but did make the frame in 6 of those races so might be an each way proposition but whether it can break its duck I doubt it, The Tron 7/1 likes to stay on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit it and the same could apply to Maybe Tonight 6/1, there are others that could be laid but I doubt they will be of value to lay, Khulu is my 2nd top rated using only course and distance ratings since the Tapeta surface was laid here, I will go with backing 2 runners in this race, firstly TOPLIGHT 7/1 who comes out in top spot using either Wolverhampton or Newcastle times and has won 3 times before on the AW, secondly there's COOL SPIRIT 22/1 who comes out in top spot on just course and distance ratings but the stable hasn't had a winner for quite a while now else it might well have been my only selection in this race, without a guaranteed earlier fast early pace my stakes will be kept low.

Toplight 7/1 5th -1pt 

Cool Spirit 22/1 Unp 

Total on the day -2pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (5th May)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

I can find 5 front running types in this field of 10 that have been known to lead before so it should a fast gallop from the off but with this many front runners it very often sets it up for something coming from off the pace as the front runners tire nearing the finish.

Dandy Speirpoint could be a danger from the front if its fast enough to keep up with the others here because this horse looks a better prospect over a longer distance but if getting outpaced it might not be speedy enough to pick up the leaders. 

The 10yo You're Cool would have won this race 2 or 3 years ago but seems on the decline nowadays.

The betting will be the deciding factor of whether I have any lays in this race but looking at the early tissue prices I can only see one that's forecast to be a single figure price.

As for the winner I will split my stakes between 2 horses, firstly HEY HO LET'S GO 9/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish and secondly TOPLIGHT 15/2 who is usually held up for a late run when there's a fast early pace and then run on strongly in the latter stages of the race, so I have hopefully got both angles covered.

Toplight 20/1 5th -1pt 

Hey Ho Let's Go 8/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts 

6:30 Wolverhapton Racing Tips (16th October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

Only 7 runners in this class 4 race but I cannot find anything of value to lay as I think both Amor De Mi Vada and Aunt Agatha will be the two biggest outsiders, I think the early pace might well be set by Algheed who I think might need a longer trip to show its best but I doubt it will tear off hell for leather and hope then to outstay the field so it could be a hard call to say what will happen with this one, ARAMIS GREY 9/4 has been known to lead before if nothing else wants to so could make sure it is a decent early gallop and is my top rated on just 2021 course and distance times and its best time from Chelmsford also makes it top rated but that's a different surface but if getting to the front in this race it could prove hard to catch, RESTLESS ENDEAVOUR 6/1 has only a slow time from its sole course and distance experience but its best time from Newcastle which makes it my top rated on this Tapeta surface and it has won going round a bend before so there's no reason why it shouldn't like this course, DUBAI HOPE 15/8 is making its handicap debut after winning last time out here but over 7 furlongs, I do think this shorter trip could see it in an even better light and has faded before over 7 furlongs so this drop back in trip just might serve it well but I expect it will be the favourite, so I will hopefully be able to dutch all 3 runners to make a profit from the race as I cannot narrow it down to anything less than the three highlighted. 

Dubai Hope 7/2 1st +3.5pts + EX £11.40

Aramis Grey 5/2 2nd -1pt 

Restless Endeavour 6/1 6th -1pt

Total +1.5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 

A 10 runner race where I can see 3 which are front running types but I think they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace, I will look to lay both Brazen Belle 5/2 and The Gloaming 13/2 if they are single figure prices which they are forecast to be, I think the former may be better over further and just might get outpaced in this race and the same applies to the latter and this one is also hasn't won or been placed in a race on any of the All-Weather tracks from six previous attempts, my money will be split between TOPLIGHT 7/1 (EW)  who is my top rated on just this years course and distance times and will probably be my main bet as the trainer does well at this course with its 3yo’s but I do have BILLY DYLAN 20/1 (EW) rated higher but it hasn't been in great form lately and the trainer is 0-34 in the last 5 years at this course and the jockeys 0-7 for the stable is enough to put me off backing this one on its own and I am hoping I can have 2 each way bets in this race with my stakes tilted heavily in favour of Toplight.

Billy Dylan 22/1 2nd +3.4pts

Topflight 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets: Brazen Belle +1pt, The Gloaming +1pt 

Total +3.4pts

Total on the day +4.9pts