Tuesday, 17 October 2017

5:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (18th Oct)

Eric Winner
LINGFIELD 5.05 Div 2
The 1st division of this race at 4.30 is very poor in the fact that there's not enough data to work with so I will be leaving the race alone but I hope I've found a nugget in this division. I've got negatives against 6 of the runners and I'm not sure what to make of Bahamian Heights chances but I won't be backing it and hope it doesn't prove me wrong in this race, Red Stripes and Red Alert have both produced reasonable times at Kempton but will need to improve if BORN TO FINISH 7/1 runs to its best time, its a hold up type and with 3 known possible pace setters it could be run fast enough so that the selection can stay on the strongest aat the end to pick them all up, the trainer and jockeys stats are both just over 15% win rates which look positives so it looks the likely winner.
A lowly class 6 affair with 10 runners and 3 front running types and a 4th that can lead but is also versatile and thats Swendab who is my 3rd top rated, ASK THE GURU 7/1 starts off as my top rated and one of the possible pace setters so has a good chance from stall 3, ARCHIE STEVENS 20/1 is my original 2nd top rated but if the 7lb claiming apprentice is worth the claim it moves this one to top spot so it looks likely the race will be won from the front and using my figures ive got to back both to show a profit whichever one does the business and maybe 2 each way wagers can show a profit.

Monday, 16 October 2017

Tuesday's Racing Tips

Having a day at the races followed by an evening at the casino so please visit our Facebook page to see Eric's tips for Tuesday.  

4:30 Windsor Racing Tips (16th October)

A nice class 4 race which looks hard to narrow down very far so I'll just mention my top 4 ratings and selections, BAHAMIAN DOLLAR 18/1 is a possible pacesetter from stall 16 and its 7lb claiming apprentice puts this one firmly in the picture of the possible winner or placed horses, FIELD OF VISION 14/1 also a possible pacesetter from stall 14 and 5lb claiming apprentice makes this one dangerous to dismiss from my reckoning, BALLYMORE CASTLE 16/1 is in stall 13 and my 2nd top rated and could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast in a battle to lead the race but top rated is JERSEY BREEZE 16/1 another possible front-runner and stall 11 is fine especially when its more than capable of changing its tactics if needing to, it's quite tight at the top of my ratings and I'm hoping I can dutch the 4 selections to show a decent profit whichever one does the business and the double-figure prices mean I will go with 4 small each way bets.

Bahamian Dollar 18/1 3rd
Ballymore Castle 16/1 Unp
Field Of Vision NR
Jersey Breeze NR

Saturday, 14 October 2017

3:15 York Racing Tips (14th October)

Racing Tips
YORK 3.15
With 20 runners its hard to be very confident but I have found an angle but any stakes will be kept low, surprisingly there's only 2 that have been known to lead before and Al Qahwa looks the most likely pacesetter from stall 12 but this one does seem to like some cut in the ground to show its best and if it's soft going then I won't be betting, Raucous and Hoof It are well weighted on their best times to be my 4th and 3rd top rated, Orions Bow comes out 2nd top and this one likes to race near the front but my top rated is UPSTAGING 12/1 who is a versatile type of its racing tactics which includes leading and it has the prime draw for those tactics in stall 20, so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here or at least long enough to make the frame and the price permits me to go with each way wager but only if the ground dries out to good or firmer.

Upstaging 16/1 7th
This Listed contest looks very hard to analyse as all but one of the runners are 3year olds but I have narrowed it down quite a bit, Pixeleen did a good time when winning last time out but may not be class enough in this race, Quench Dolly is my 4th top rated on speed figures but needs to improve to win in this class, Spiritual Lady and Classical Times look classy enough to run well here and Queen Kindly hasn't anything to prove in this class but has to give weight away here which could tilt the balance in the favour of an improving sort, EARTHA KITT 8/1 is my 3rd top rated and looks a likely contender for at least a place, THAFEERA 3/1 looks the one that's still improving with every run and has won its last 3 races progressing from class 5 into class 4 and its last win was a class 2 race and merits to be given a chance against these slightly classier animals being my top rated but my stakes will not be at full strength but it does look a very nice race to watch if the going is good or faster.

Eartha Kitt 8/1 1st
Thafeera 3/1 Unp

Class 4 on the all-weather should be good but there's five 3-year-olds in the race of which 3 could be hidden dangers, Parnassian, Whirl Me Round and Tropical Rock, another possibly hidden danger could be Show Stealer who hasn't run before on this surface at this distance but if transferring its best time on good to firm ground to here it could go well, my 2 against the field are going to be RELATED 10/1 who has a more than respectable time to its name over this course and distance from last year, I'malsoo looking at JAMEERAH 20/1 who also did a very good time last year but this time on this surface but at Chelmsford and if it can do the same there has to be competitive, both of my top 2 need to reproduce something from 2016 and have something to prove so once again my stakes won't be that high but hopefully 2 each way bets will pay dividends.

Meeting abandoned

Friday, 13 October 2017

5:45 Kempton Racing Tips (13th October)

Kempton Racing Tips
This is quite competitive for a class 7 race and I've got 7 of the 10 runners rated within 6lb's, half the field have been known to lead before, Lady Joanna Vassa has got the prime draw in stall 1 which helps its cause, Justice Rock who is my joint top rated is in stall 2 and may get squeezed out early and I think that will negate the 7lbs the apprentice claims and that could well end its chances but it isn't a front-runner so could stay on if getting a clear run, Joshlee is my 3rd top rated and looks as though a longer trip will suit it better so should be staying on if it gets a clear passage, top rated is BUBBLY BAILEY 25/1 who is a front-running type and stall 3 looks good enough for it to either lead or contest the lead from the off and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but all of these are quite inconsistent so any stakes will be kept low but I'm hoping a small each way bet will pay some dividends.

Bubbly Bailey 33/1 9th
Up to class 4 for this race and again a competitive affair with 5 of the 9 runners having been known to lead before it ought to be a fast run affair, there are conflicting figures for some of these between different courses which muddies the waters, there's only one horse with any course and distance times and that's COME ON DAVE 15/2 who can front run and stall 4 isn't too bad but there is a couple of runners nearer the rails that also like to lead but they might not be quick enough to grab the rails if the selection gets away to a good start, it also comes out top rated using times from Chelmsford which bodes well so if it does get to the front it could lead all the way for victory. At the prices, I might well go with each way double on the 2 races.

Come On Dave 11/1 3rd

Wednesday, 11 October 2017

8:25 Kempton Racing Tips (11th October)

Kempton racecourse
This class 3 conditions race only has 8 runners but its very hard to know what to expect, the top 4 are all dropped in class to run here but 3 of them look as though a longer trip would suit them better and I haven't got a speed rating for any of the 4 and looking at the tissue prices they will be the 1st 4 in the betting with Dougan is my top rated 5th on the tissue prices, maybe the race is best left alone. KEMPTON 8.25
RUN WITH PRIDE is 0-11 on the all-weather tracks and is only 1-22 with all its runs including a slow time on this surface and distance at Chelmsford.
BILLYOAKES hasn't any course form and its best from Chelmsford would still leave it a few pounds off top spot so it could possibly make the frame but I'm not sure if it can win here.
FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN comes out as my top rated and they have booked a good 5lb claiming apprentice to aid their chances and from stall 4 it ought to get a good early position from which to attack late on.
NOBLE DEED comes out 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on dourly at the finish so ought to make the frame.
KYLLUKEY is a front-running sort and has got stall 3 but its times put it a few pounds away from the top rated so I doubt this will be its day but never say never.
EVENING STARLIGHT is versatile with its tactics and will need some luck from a stall 12 draw.
EXQUISITE RUBY is a 3year old who could be a possible danger from stall 1 as it likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish.
ATLANTA BELLE another 3year old and this one is my 3rd top rated it usually likes to race prominently but stall 11 isn't ideal.
LUCKY CLOVER a versatile sort where tactics are concerned and I will expect it to try and be prominent early from stall 2, it's my 4th top rated so could sneak a place.
FIKHAAR is a possible front-running 3-year-old but has no form here and it needs to improve on its Chelmsford time to win this race.
FRANK COOL can race prominently or be held up and it's just outside my top 4 and stall 9 isn't going to help its chances.
MAGS WELL another 3year old who hasn't made the frame in any of its previous 8 races but would need to improve vastly to win here.
SUMMARY: I quite expect Lucky Clover stall2 and Kyllukey stall3 to vie for the lead which will hopefully allow the selection FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 7/1 get a good early position just behind the leaders either on the rail or 1 off from the rail and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Fairway To Heaven 7/1 3rd

Tuesday, 10 October 2017

Harry Angel odds on for success in the Champions Day Sprint Stakes

Harry Angel
Champions Day is looming ever closer, and for those wanting to place a bet before the flat racing season draws to an end, the Qipco Champion Sprint Stakes is second only to the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes in terms of profile. One man who is looking forward to the race as much as anyone is trainer Clive Cox, whose three-year-old colt Harry Angel is the odds-on favourite, following a spectacular four-length win at Haydock last month.

Cox told reporters: “He’s come out of the Haydock race absolutely super and I’m very pleased with him.” The question on every punter’s lips is whether any of the other runners have a chance of causing an upset.

Caravaggio a tempting gamble

If any horse knows how to spoil the party for Harry Angel it is Caravaggio, and the online betting sites are only too well aware of the fact. While most are quoting even money at best on Harry Angel, the leading horse racing betting sites have Aidan O’Brien’s three year old as best of the rest, with typical odds of around 4/1.

Last year’s winner The Tin Man should not be overlooked, and trainer James Fanshawe is confident he can do it again. Bookmakers are offering 6/1 odds. Elsewhere, the much-fancied Librisa Breeze looks an ever more compelling shout, with odds lengthening to 14/1 if you shop around. Karl Burke’s four-year-old filly Quiet Reflection could be back to something close to her best after a troubled year and is being offered at 8/1.

Cox untroubled

Clive Cox remains confident, however, that Harry Angel will have enough in the tank to take on all comers. While the surprise defeat at the hands of Caravaggio at Royal Ascot this summer was troubling, he feels that his colt has made significant progress since then. Any demons created by the loss should certainly have been exorcised by the victory at Newmarket in July when he left his nemesis in his wake.

Cox was full of praise for his competitors, remarking that it was great to see Quiet Reflection back in action and that Caravaggio and The Tin Man were sure to provide stiff competition. Yet there was a look of steely confidence in his eye as he said that despite having great respect for all the other runners, he “would not be swapping Harry Angel for anything.”

An outside shot

If anyone is to cause a real upset, Blue Point is definitely one to keep a weather eye on. The three-year-old bay colt is another from the Godolphin stable and kept Harry Angel honest in both their encounters at Royal Ascot. True, he was left in a distant fourth when they met again in the Sprint Cup, but he was coming off a break and was well below his best.

Trainer Charlie Appleby feels the Sprint Stakes could be his moment to prove what he is really made of. With some bookmakers offering 16/1, there is little doubt that many could be tempted.

7:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (10th October)

Newcastle Racing Tips
NEWCASTLE 7.30 Div 1
With 14 runners and 6 that can lead it should be a true run race and Noah Amor is my 4th top rated and the trainer also has my top-rated horse First Bombardment this one usually likes to track the pacesetters but hasn't been in good form lately so I'm not sure if I do them both or leave both alone, Crosse Fire also likes to race prominently and is my 3rd top rated but in 2nd top spot I've got FRUIT SALAD 10/1 and the both the trainer and jockey have very good winning percentages, so I will go with backing the selection but I will probably also have 2 small bets on the D.O'Meara horses just in case they can control the result between them.

Fruit Salad 10/1 6th
NEWCASTLE 8.00 Div 2
Only 2 known front-runners in this division, Dundunah is one of them and this 3-year-old could be dangerous if getting an easy lead but I doubt that will happen here, Henley is my 3rd top rated and should be staying on at the finish as it always looks as though further would suit it better but the race might not be run at a flat out fast pace from start to finish so it may struggle to reach the leaders, APROVADO 8/1 is my original top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders and has stall 1 so should be able to get a good early tow into the race by tracking BONDI BEACH BOY 33/1 who is my 2nd top rated and is the other front-runner housed in stall 4 but its got a good 3lb claiming apprentice taking the ride and that allowance move it to joint top spot he's only ridden once before for this stable and that resulted in a win so I hoping it could lead all the way here.

Aprovado 12/1 6th
Bondi Beach Boy 33/1 4th

Monday, 9 October 2017

8:25 Kempton Racing Tips (9th October)

Kempton Racing Tips
BORN TO FINISH is a hold-up type but its best time puts it outside my top 4.
HIGHLY SPRUNG may need a longer trip than this on the all-weather where its 0-5 because it's easier and it may get outpaced.
RED ALERT will need to be held up to get this distance as it looks better on a shorter trip. HIMSELF is the opposite this one may need further to show any worthwhile form.
MAAZEL didn't record a fast time at Newcastle over this distance and also may need further.
DONT BLAME ME this is a potential pacesetter but it may not be fast enough to lead in this race.
VERY HONEST another possible pacesetter and my 4th top rated and is nearest the rail of those known to lead.
KOWAIYESS could possibly be a danger but it only recorded a slow time over this trip on good going on the turf.
DEBONAIRE DAVID usually likes to track the leaders and comes out 3rd best on my own speed figures so could pick some up as the finish looms and make the frame.
BIG LACHIE may need a longer trip to show its best but its one I couldn't lay but defo not on my list of possible winners.
MISHAAL my top rated and a possible front-runner and stall 5 may be good enough for it to at least get a good position if not actually lead.
HIGHER COURT stall 6 for this possible front-runner and my 2nd top rated so ought to be thereabouts for the whole race.
SUMMARY: With 4 possible pace setters this could be a fast run race when all 4 of them are in my top 6 ratings, I'm hoping that MISHAAL 11/2 can from stall 5 get to the front to either lead all the way or at least contest the lead, the trainer has a decent 15% win rate here at Kempton which looks a positive but it is a tightly handicapped race with only 4lbs between the topweight and the bottom weight so my stakes won't be at full power.

Saturday, 7 October 2017

2:05 Newmarket Racing Tips (7th October)

Of the 14 runners I've got half of them marked down as possible pacesetters, there's no bias here with the draw so that doesn't eliminate any of them, also 9 of the runners are 3year olds, Gravity Flow is my 3rd top rated and represents the older horses and is a possible front-runner, my 2nd best rated is the 3year old RELY ON ME 11/1 who is a possible pacesetter and from stall 9 should be able to go whichever side has any advantage but 5 of the 7 known front-runners are drawn high in stalls 9-13 so maybe that's where to be, the jockey has a decent 15% win rate for this stable so that looks a positive booking but I have got ROSE BERRY 14/1 rated higher and it's being ridden by a good 3lb claiming apprentice which looks a positive move but it is his 1st ride for this stable so no stats to work with, it usually likes to track the leaders and from stall 6 it can cover any moves, the only downside is the poor 0-18 record of the trainer at this course but that might be just coincidence as its harder to win at the top courses, I will go with backing both with an each way bet to cover both angles.

Rose Berry 20/1 6th
Rely On Me 11/1 Unp
This I nice competitive race but only Seeking Magic is known as a front-running type but I doubt it will win but could do better than its 6th top rating suggests and could make the frame from the front, Gentlemen is my 4th top rated and it could go well here, WATCHABLE 12/1 has done a fast time at Newcastle but hasn't run here but it would still need to improve a few pounds to win this race but that's quite possible with a 7lb claiming apprentice on board who has a 13% win rate for the stable but the stable does also have HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 15/2 running in the race who is my 3rd top rated, GO FAR 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and once again an apprentice is given the ride to help its cause, that still leaves KING ROBERT 8/1who is my top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, I cant reduce my list of possible winners so will be looking to back all 4 to show a profit whatever does the job.

Watchable 22/1 4th
Highland Acclaiim 50/1 Unp
Go Far 10/1 Unp
Of the 17 runners there's just 4 that are front-running types and JACK LUEY 33/1 from stall 9 looks the most likely to do best of those at the front being my 2nd top rated but if getting to the front it could prove very hard to catch for most of these and only IMPERIAL LEGEND 12/1 has recorded a faster time so if the going is good or faster I will be going with 2 bets to cover both angles and show a nice profit whichever tactic proves best.

Imperial Legend 12/1 7th
Jack Luey 33/1 Unp