Tuesday, 19 December 2017

2:00 Southwell Racing Tips (19th December)

Expert Racing Tips
SOUTHWELL 2.00
This is a very complex race with only 9 runners, Handsome Dude and Letmestopyouthere could be potential hidden dangers as they haven’t run on this surface but some of their turf form suggests this surface may well suit them. Mujassam moves into 2nd spot with its 7lbs allowance for the apprentice jockey, who does quite well for the stable, TRICKY DICKY 3/1 is the only known front runner in this race and its got stall 1 so it ought to be able to gain control on the rail and then be very hard to catch and it could possibly pinch the race from the front, I’ve only got CROSSE FIRE 16/1 with a better figure and this one is suspect at this distance if there’s a fast early pace but with just the 1 front runner it might not be that fast so I will be going with backing the 2 horses to hopefully cover both angles, obviously I will back Crosse Fire each way at the price but the other one isnt much value but it does have a chance of leading all the way in this race.
SOUTHWELL 3.30
This race isn’t much better as there are potential dangers lurking around mainly in the shape of Apricot Sky and Kody Ridge, there are 3 known pacesetters and luckily the draw doesn’t matter over this straight 5 furlong course, Red Stripes is one of them and my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-10 here and the jockey 0-6 for the stable which doesn’t bode well, Gnaad is my 3rd top rated and looks as though it could make the frame here as long as from stall 1 it’s too far away from the early action which looks likely to come from stall 7 and higher, my top rated is another possible front runner here and if BROADHAVEN HONEY 5/1 gets the lead from the highest stall this 3-year-old could prove very hard to catch and if reproducing its best time ought to lead from start to finish.

Monday, 18 December 2017

3:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (17th December)

3:10 WOLVERHAMPTON -
Major Crispies decent trainer and jockey stats but timewise not in my top 3 and from stall 12 I would look to lay it.
Big Lachie is usually held up for a late run and hopefully, from stall 4 it can get a clear run as it's my top rated but the jockey is 0-7 for this stable, it has to be a bet.
Plucky Dip may need a longer distance to show its true worth and may not be able to catch the leaders here so another that I would look to maybe lay.
Kingsley Klarion has good trainer and jockey stats but its another that may need further and its housed just inside a fast starter which isn't ideal.
Field Of Vision always looks a better horse over a shorter distance although it does not run over this course and distance a lay in my books and has poor trainer and jockey stats.
A Sure Welcome is actually my 2nd top rated and they have employed a jockey who is 1 from 3 for the stable to ride this 3-year-old so must have a chance.9
Hamish McGonagall looks as though this distance is too short but it can finish fast and is 3rd best on my figures, so chances to make the frame if getting a clear run from stall 10.
Air Of York hasn't shown much at this course and distance since 2015 but it does have an interesting jockey booking, it has been known to lead before and stall 3 could be ideal here.
Perfect Symphony hasn't any course form but does look as though its a better horse over a shorter trip and another I would lay.
Poppy In The Wind recorded a fastish time at Newcastle in 2016 but it may struggle to stay the distance if its a fast run early pace but has a positive jockey booking.
Run With Pride hasnt run here in the last 2 years and even then a longer trip may be required for it to show its true worth.
Picks Pinta is 0 from 9 on the all-weather tracks and has a slow time from this course and distance and may need further and a lay in my book.
CONCLUSION
Theres 6 runners i would look to lay in this race and theres 2 others i would add to the list if they didnt have good jockey stats which leaves me with 3 that i think could win the race, Hamish McGonagain my 3rd top rated ought to be staying on if it gets a clear run from stall 10 and could at least make the frame, A Sure Welcome usually likes to track the leaders and it could get a tow along here as long as its not forced to race wide on the bends. My top rated is BIG LACHIE 9/1 a 3 year old who is normally held up and from stall 4 could get on the rails just behind the leader coming out of stall 3 and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

NR: Big Lachie

Saturday, 16 December 2017

4:35 Newcastle Racing Tips (16th December)

Racing Tips
NEWCASTLE 4.35
11 runners with 4 who I think have the race between them and the rest will have to improve to win this race so I will look to lay all 7 of them, there's 3 possible pacesetters, Roy's Legacy, Novabridge and Something Lucky, plus the 1 most likely to come from off the pace in Windforpower as my 4. I've got SOMETHING LUCKY 7/2 as my top rated and therefore the selection, it was unlucky last time out when slowly away and weighted to make amends here.

Something Lucky 7/2 5th
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 Div 1
I've got Firesnake 9/1 and Night Shadow 16/1 down as possible dangers so a couple of covering bets maybe best, then i would look to lay 11 others leaving me with just the selection HISAR 2/1, it likes to track the leaders and has led from a long way out before as well and stall 1 looks ideal here but the price is a bit skinny.






Hisar 2/1 1st
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45 Div 2
I've got 2, Mossy Lodge and Pulsating as possible winners and my main bets, I'm not sure, so maybe small covering bets on Jorvik Prince, Warba and Princess Way just in case they can show their potential, the rest I will look to lay but its a race where it looks as though small stakes is the order of the day and maybe concentrating on the lays might be best in this race as I'm just not very confident.
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15
Competitive 9 runner race, I've marked 3 down as lays, 2 Suzi's Connoisseur and Coronation day that i would have small covering bets on just in case they win, Barracuda Boy and Rajar would be covered with slightly bigger covering bets and my 2 main bets are SEEKING MAGIC 8/1 and FAST TRACK 3/1 and if pushed to narrow it to one bet then I would go for the latter.

Fast Track 7/2 4th
Seeking Magic 10/1 7th




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Friday, 15 December 2017

7:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (15th December)

Racun g TIps
7:45 Chelmsford -

PEARL SPECTRE comes out 4th top and looks as though further would suit it better and a lay for me in this race. (lay8/1)

HUMAN NATURE hasn't any form at this distance on this surface and has been running over further lately so may get outpaced but if it comes down to stamina it could be in contention so maybe has to be a covering bet just in case at 11/2
SIR OTTOMAN hasn't any course form and its best from Kempton leaves it outside my top 4 but has a positive jockey booking and at 16/1 I would be having a small covering bet.
HIGHLAND ACCLAIM top rated on course and distance times and also on turf times, it has been known to lead before and has got stall 2 with a usually held up horse on it's inside and at the price, 25/1, it has to be worth each way wager
SIEGE OF BOSTON has any form on this surface at this distance and looks as though a longer trip is better for it so I would lay it at 9/1.
NAUTICAL HAVEN won at this distance in a slowish time on grass and this is its aw debut but has been way off form since being gelded and a lay at the price 10/1.
JOHNNY CAVAGIN hasn't any form on this surface and distance and it appears that this surface is unlikely to suit its running style, it would be a lay but at 20/1 its, not a value lay.
BORN TO FINISH my 2nd top on c/d times and comes out top using Kempton times so should be thereabouts at the finish but there's not much value at 5/2 but it has to be considered as a possible threat.
BAHAMIAN HEIGHTS 3rd top and its 7lb claimer could move it to 2nd spot and likes to contest the lead and could make the frame but not much value in each way bet at 9/2.
DEEDS NOT WORDS has had 1 run over c/d which was poor also a slow time at Kempton so maybe this surface doesn't suit it and has to be a lay at 10/1.
SUMMARY: Of the 10 runners I've got 5 I would maybe look to lay, 2 that I would have small bets on to cover my main bets, I would have to back both Born To Finish and Bahamian Heights just in case HIGHLAND ACCLAIM didn't reproduce its best but I'm hoping for stall 2 the selection can get the lead against the rails and then kick when coming off the bend for an all the way victory and at the price has to be done as an each way wager.

Highland Acclaim 20/1 7th

Thursday, 14 December 2017

7:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (14th December)

Chelmsford Racecourse Tip
CHELMSFORD 7.45
Union Rose hasn't any surface form and its best time and a relatively slow time on Tapeta at Wolverhampton and only joint 3rd best on turf times so this race might be beyond it unless others fail to deliver.
Monumental Man is 2nd top on c/d times and for a front-runner, its got the prime stall 1 draw and the jockey has got a 24% win rate for the stable which looks a positive booking.
You're Cool comes out top rated using c/dtimes and its one of 6 in this race that has been known to lead before and with such a small field the draw might not be too important. Rosina hasn't any form on this surface and its recent form has been quite poor and I would look to lay this runner.
Juan Horsepower hasn't any form over this c/d and its best time from Lingfield wouldn't see it winning this race but it is from a strong stable so I'm not sure what to expect from it in this race.
Mr Pocket would come out 3rd top using c/d times and its best turf time would see it sitting on the top of the pile and the stable does well with its 3year olds at this course but it is mixed ages in this race.
Penny Dreadful would come out 2nd top looking at its times on grass but its times here and Lingfield would find it wanting and I would be looking to lay it.
SUMMARY: Only 7 runners in the only sprint of the day and even then I can't narrow it down to any less than 2 selections, with 6 of them having led before it could be a really fast run race but there's not really a hold up type to take advantage if they go off too fast and cut each other's throats. I will go with backing both MONUMENTAL MAN 15/2 and YOU'RE COOL 5/2 two front runners coming from either side of the draw which could hamper others chances and Mr Pocket could be a big danger if taking to this surface. I'm not sure what to expect from Union Rose and Juan Horsepower but the other pair I think will struggle in this race.

You're Cool 5/2 3rd
Monumental 15/2 5th

Tuesday, 12 December 2017

12:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th December)

Betting on a white Christmas
LINGFIELD
12.00--Think this race could be won from the front as there's 3 known front-runners and they are drawn in the inside stalls, not sure Kyllukey stall 1 will be allowed to set its own slightly slower pace, Wild Flower stall 2 hasn't any c/d form but has done an ok time at Chelmsford, top weight INDIAN AFFAIR 6/1 is my top rated and if getting to the front should prove hard to catch.





Indian Affair 6/1 1st
12.30-- This race won't take much winning and there's a couple of front-runners to make sure there's a decent early pace but I think they will set ip up for a finishing type, Compton Prince is 2nd top rated but in stall 2 it could get squeezed out in the early stages and that may give the advantage to BILLYOAKES 3/1 who might from stall 8 be able to get an early prominent position from which to stay on strongly at the finish.

Billyoaks 13/2 3rd
1.00-- a very competitive 7 runner race and ive only got Rosabelle who I can discount from my list, Very Honest is the only known frontrunner and if getting an easy lead could well pinch this race from the front and hes only 1lb below Pretty Bubbles and the topweight Show Stealer has an equal rating from a Kempton time, so I will go with these 3 but maybe leaning in favour of VERY HONEST 4/1 who im hoping can win this from the front and if anyone can do it then Luke Morris has to be one of them.

Very Honest 9/2 3rd
2.10-- a nice class 2 race with over half of the 9 runners have been known to lead before so this could be fast and furious, Come On Dave has done a fast time but in a couplke of grades lower and I doubt it can be as competitive from stall 8, ZAC BROWN 16/1 from stall 2 could get control of the rails and thats worth a few pounds and its only rated 1lb below ROYAL BIRTH 9/1 who can also front run but stall 9 isnt ideal but im going with doing both of them each way to get a profit.

Royal Birth 9/1 2nd
Zac Brown 16/1 8th
3.15-- I can see Mossgo setting the pace in this race despite being in stall 7 and it's my 3rd top rated so could do enough to at least make the frame, Temple Road is well weighted and comes out 2nd best but my top rated is SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 10/1 who is versatile with its racing tactics and in the make-up of this race it could easily get prominent early from stall 10 and then prove the stronger and the price permits me to go each way.

Sandfrankskipsgo 20/1 5th
WOLVERHAMPTON (Abandoned)
3.50--Roys Legacy is my 3rd top rated and 1 of 3 possible pace setters so could easily make the frame, YOUR GIFTED 11/1 is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb off top spot and could be the one to profit if they go off too fast, SOMETHING LUCKY 11/4 is top rated and a possible pace setter, although he doesnt, have to lead he is stuck out in stall 11 which isnt ideal but also not a deal breaker in the makeup of this race so I will go with backing my top 2 to profit if either does the business.
4.20-- with so many 3year olds in the race its hard to be very confident but I might be tempted to having a small bet on ZENOVIA 7/2 if there's any value in the price but when I say a small bet I do mean small.
4.50-- 2nd division of this race is a little better but still not something to be betting too heavily on, Kyllach Me looks a likely leader and stall 4 is ok, being my 3rd top rated it could easily make the frame but maybe not hot hold off all challengers if the 2 above him run to thier best, Ambitious Boy comes out 2nd top and ought to be staying on at the finish and very often looks as though further would suit it but top rated is WEDGEWOOD ESTATES 6/1 but isnt the most consistant but 1 of its only 2 wins has come at this course and distance and the race won't take much winning.

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Monday, 11 December 2017

1:00 Southwell Racing Tips (11th December)

Southwell Horse Racing Tips
SOUTHWELL 1.00
This claimer sure isn't anything to get excited about but of the 11 runners I've got negatives every single one of them but 2 of them escapes from being scrapped altogether. Morache Music is 0-5 on the all-weather but hasn't run here before and could be a possible danger if taking to the surface and looking at some of its form on turf it could quite easily take to this track. The only horse with a recorded speed figure in this lowly grade is SARABI 14/1 and this one finds this distance a bit too far if there's a fast early pace but that looks unlikely here with only the top-weighted 3-year old Peachey Carnehan known to lead before, (so I guess this horse must have a chance if allowed to set its own pace) but I'm not sure this surface will suit this horse. Any stakes will be kept low but hopefully, I can back all 3 to show a profit whichever one wins but my main bet will be an each way wager on the main selection at the price.

Sarabi 25/1 8th
SOUTHWELL 3.30
Theres a few front runners in this 5 furlong race and 8 of the 13 runners I have got negatives against their names, ive marked down 3 runners who I doubt can win but im not sure and 2 of them could be potential dangers but sticking with the proven, Coiste Bodhar and Krystallite are from the Scott Dixon stable, they have both recorded decent times but only when towed along in a fast run race and im not sure I could rely on either of them to produce those figures to win a race so the call has to be with ARCHIE STEVENS 9/2 who has proven itself that it can win if given the opportunity and its running here under a 6lb penalty before it gets re-assessed so the stable/connections must be hopeful of a follow up the win in this race. Eric tipped Archie Steven at 22/1. Read the article here. He's been in excellent form this month. Review Eric's Winner.

Archie Stevens 9/2 2nd

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Saturday, 9 December 2017

5:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45
Zapper Cass hasn't run on this surface before but this is a drop in class for it, it might prefer a longer trip but I'm not sure this race will be run to suit it.
Invincible Ridge is my joint top rated and in stall 1 it ought to be able to get a decent position on the rails ready to attack late on and has decent trainer + jockey stats.
Major Crispies hasn't any recent course form and on its Newcastle time, it needs to improve to win this race.
Blazed is in form and has good trainer/jockey stats but I'm of the opinion this horse is better over a shorter trip but there's not too much early pace in this race.
Deeds Not Words my joint 4th top rated and has good jockey/trainers stats and it could get a good early position in the makeup of this race.
Duke Cosimo hasn't any form at this course and would need to improve on its Newcastle best to win here but could make the frame from stall 3.
Trotter not in my top 4 ratings but does like to track the leaders so stall 4, in this race, could be a bit troublesome.
Rapid Ranger is versatile with its racing tactics and could lead from stall 7 if nothing else wants to and being my 3rd top rated could make the frame or more?
Awesome Allan likes to race prominently but stall 5 might not be ideal in this race if the above horse goes across to the rails but does have good jockey stats.
Bondi Beach Boy hasn't been in good form lately and doesn't really get home over 6 furlongs unless it's a slow early pace.
A Sure Welcome is the other joint top rated and won nicely in a 3year old only race last time out and might even be able to improve even more but is out in stall 13.
Mysterious Glance hasn't shown much recently and looks one to need a shorter distance to show its worth but I doubt it will shine here.
Seraphima has a poor 1-38 record and hasn't been in form at all recently, it did record 1 good time when towed along in a fast run race but that now looks a fluke.
SUMMARY: Theres only RAPID RANGER 9/2 in this field who is known to lead and if doing so from stall 7 could squeeze up those housed nearer the rails and it's my 3rd top rated and if getting to the front might be quite hard to pick up and a lot may not get involved in the race, so looking for what else can get involved it might be best to look for something drawn wider or a hold up type and my top 2 fit the bill, A SURE WELCOME 14/1 who likes to track the leaders is in stall 13 but in this race may be able get prominent early and maybe worth an each way wager, INVINCIBLE RIDGE 7/1 is in stall 1 and a hold up type so if getting a clear run along the rails it ought to be staying on strongly at the finish and could then easily stay on to make the frame or better . I honestly cant narrow it down any further and will go with backing all 3 of them to show a profit whichever one does the business.


Rapid Ranger 9/2 1st
A Sure Welcome 14/1 2nd
Invincible 7/1 Unp


Friday, 8 December 2017

5:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (8th December)

Chelmsford Racecourse Photo
CHELMSFORD 5.45
Zipedeedodah a possible front-runner from stall 2 and in my top 5 ratings, the apprentice booked is having their 1st ride for the stable.
Dundunah out in stall 10 and I'm not sure this surface suits it and it may struggle in this race and nothing positive in the trainer/jockey stats.
Berryessa could find itself squeezed out early in the race from stall 6, timewise not in my top 5 so may struggle to catch those ahead of it.
Bahamian Heights is in my top 5 and the only one that's not known as a pacesetter and with a bit of luck could get a good early position and benefit if they all go off too fast.
Yorkee Mo Sabee hasn't any form on this surface and it looks as though it needs a longer distance to show its best form so not for me here.
Penny Dreadful isn't in my top 5 and also looks as though a longer distance would suit it better, stall 8 isn't any help.
Swendab got a prime draw in stall 1 but this one can get lit up if taken on for the lead but is my 3rd top if doing its best.
Red Stripes the 4th possible pacesetter here in stall 7, it may need a degree of good fortune but could be in the mix at its best.
Mighty Zip another horse that may need further to show its true worth but it's outside my top 5 and could struggle in this race.
SUMMARY: Wow! On paper this like it will be a very fast run affair with 3 known front-runners in the field and all 3 of them are in my 4 top ratings. Red Stripes in stall 7 may struggle to get across and I'm not sure the jockey booking is a positive with a 0-5 record, Swendab may get taken on for the lead which can result in this one burning up its energy early on and then fading, ZIPEDEEDODAH 10/1 in stall 2 could challenge for the lead and could upset the horse on its inside with its tactics I just hope it doesn't go too fast for its own good but at the price its maybe worth an each way bet. The other possible winner could be BAHAMIAN HEIGHTS 7/2 who isn't a front-runner, it will need to get a good early position in stall 4 from which to attack later in the race and could be the one to benefit if the front-runners cut each other's throats but price-wise it's a bit on the low side but I thought 4/1-5/1 would be the best I could hope for so I will go with backing the 2 horses to cover the angles of a front-runner and a finishing type.



Bahamian Heights 7/2 1st
Zipedeedodah 10/1 5th

Thursday, 7 December 2017

6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (7th December)

Chelmsford Racing Tips
CHELMSFORD 6.30
Not the best class 4 race but im hoping ive found a glimpse of a chance to find the winner, ive looked at the 3 courses with this surface which only added one more to my top 4 ratings at this course, Captain Lars is my 2nd top rated and could make the frame, BORN TO FINISH 10/3 is 4th top and has decent trainer/jockey stats so could make the frame but it comes out top rated on both Lingfield and Kempton times so could win, Jameerah is top rated and likes to track the leaders but will need a fair amount of luck from stall 14 and the trainer is 0-8 at this course, Nezar is my 3rd top rated and the trainer has a 15% win rate here with a jockey who has only won 4% of the time for this stable but CAPPANANTY CON 9/1 is from the same stable and this jockey has a good 16% win rate for the stable and this one is 2nd top rated using Kempton times and this 3year old could still be able to improve but it is also the only known front running sort in the field and if getting to the front it could be very hard to catch, I think the winner will come from the five horses mentioned and I hope ive gone with the right two to show a profit whichever one does the business and as usual if the prices permit me would go with an ew wager.

Cappananty Con 9/1 1st
Born To Finish 7/2 2nd
Exacta £40
GREAT TIPPING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

CHELMSFORD 9.00
This class 7 race is as poor as they can get, ive got negatives against most of the runners, Whaleweigh Station 3rd top rated and known to lead before but stall 11 to overcome, MERCURY 5/1 has very good trainer and jockey stats but stall 10 isnt ideal if it intends to lead as its done before but I can't discard it, so I will have a smallish bet but I was hoping it would be an ew price, LOUIS VEE 16/1 another possible pace setter and its got stall 1 so I expect it will try to lead all the way along the rail and they have employed a decent 7lb claiming apprentice to help their cause and it looks a positive booking as hes ridden for the stable once before resulting in a winner so I will go with a smallish ew bet to show a profit if either does the business.

Mercury 5/1 1st (Amazingly 15/1 on exchanges)
Louis Vee 16/1 8th