(FREEBIE) This race would be a nice one if I knew where the early pace was going to come from, the bottom three don't look like the likely winners, Joe packet is third top rated from a time recorded last year at Salisbury, second top is the three-year-old Inclination who usually races prominently and its best time was recorded at this course and distance which also applies to FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 100/30 and it's dropped down in class here from its two runs this year and it can be held up or track the leaders and I'm hoping the race doesn't become tactical and my theories are made to look all wrong.
Friday, 26 August 2016
Thursday, 25 August 2016
8:00 Hamilton Winning Racing Tips (25th Aug) DOWNLOAD THE LADBROKES APP HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)
(FREEBIE) - Knockamany Bends looks the most likely leader and the race won't take the world of winning but I have got five runners that have done better times but any horse that gets an uncontested lead is always dangerous, Chookies Lass my fifth top rated and Amber Crystal my fourth top rated both look like they do better over a longer trip but the former does move from fifth to third when you take off the apprentices allowance, Indastar did a time in 2015 that puts it third top but hasn't been able to repeat that time since, Rock Canyon is second top rated but this one might not want the ground to be too firm, top spot goes to Mystical King who has another chance to break its maiden tag but after twenty-three attempts is this a horse that will finish close in a fast time and then do the same in a slowly run race, I think therefore I have to go with backing both MYSTICAL KING each way at 33/1 and my top rated and ROCK CANYON 9/4 my second top rated but only if the going is good, as usual, any soft in the going and all bets are off.
Wednesday, 24 August 2016
7:15 Wolverhampton Winning Racing Tips (25th Aug) GREENHOUS DAF WOLVERHAMPTON HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)
(FREEBIE) -This race looks likely to be better for doing lay bets than win bets so any stakes will be kept on the low side, State Of The Union and Sir Geoffrey have been known to lead before but what links these two together is that they are both better horses over a shorter trip so if they both try to set a slow pace up front they might battle too hard and blow away both of thems chances, Honcho has also led before but this one looks to be a better horse on a slower surface which could mean three horses battling to make it a slowly run race and defeating the objective, Arlecchinos Rock is third top but still a maiden after thirteen runs, Jack The laird is my second top rated despite looking to need further to show its best and yet my top rated SERAPHIMA 25/1 hasn't done much so far this year but all of its runs have been over five furlongs and this step back up to six furlongs might be just what it needs to spring back to form and from its best time it is very well handicapped in this race and an each way price.
Tuesday, 23 August 2016
(FREEBIE) - A ten-strong field for this 0-75 handicap on soft going so the ground needs to dry for Eric to be interested here. This contest over 5f is open to horses aged three-year-old and older. Looks an open contest with Seamster heading the market. Four of these runners have led before but Bahango may prefer a slower surface and Culloden may not want it to be on the firm side, Innocently is fourth top and Captain Dunne is second top which looks like it being a fast early pace, Danzeb is third top rated who can either be held up or track the leaders but top spot goes to PERFECT WORDS 12/1 who prefers to be prominent without actually leading and stall three should be fine and will then try to stay on strongly at the finish and it did record its best time over this course and distance and another that's big enough in price for me to go with an each way bet.
Yes, a change of photo to reflect a hot, sunny day.
Yes, a change of photo to reflect a hot, sunny day.
Monday, 22 August 2016
(FREEBIE) - A 0-75 rated handicap for three-year-old and older. Keep an eye on the going which is at present described at good. [No bet if there is soft in the description]. Eric is betting against the hot favourite Lapilli who was held in very high regard by William Haggas at two. Only six runners but not as easy to solve as I first thought, Fine n Dandy is the only known front runner but only fourth best on times, the topweight Lapilli is a three year old that could be a possible danger, INDIAN TINKER 5/1 starts off as second top but a five pound claiming apprentice moves it above the original top rated NOBLE ACT 10/3 and I have these two a few pounds ahead of the others and the top weight would have to show dramatic improvement to win this so I can only go with backing both to show a profit whichever one wins.
Saturday, 20 August 2016
4:10 Chelmsford Winning Racing Tips (21st Aug) TOTEPOOL LIVE INFO DOWNLOAD OUR APP HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)
(FREEBIE) - Quite a nice class four sprint with twelve runners and a couple of known possible pace setters and this pair ought to ensure its a fast run race, First Bombardment could be a bit of a hidden danger and I've also got three horses marked down as possible lays, IT MUST BE FAITH 12/1 looks to be the most likely leader in the race, it has been known to lead and its got the prime draw in stall one so I assume the tactics will be to try and win the race from the front and being my third top-rated it could do just that, second top rated is Desert Strike who is a versatile type when it comes to its running style and has been known to lead before but stall eleven isn't going to help its cause and will need a degree of luck from out wide but never say never but top spot goes to DYNAMO WALT 9/2 who I tipped up last time it ran and won and a repeat of that time would win this race and stall two should make it capable of getting a good early position from which to attack but I'm going with the two of them just because I think the front runner may be even better over further so if it's allowed to set its own pace and then kick it could lead all the way and I'm hopeful by backing them both I've found the winner.
Friday, 19 August 2016
8:50 Chelmsford Winning Race Tips (20th Aug) BOOK TICKETS ONLINE AT CHELMSFORDCITYRACECOURSE.COM HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-55)
(FREEBIE) - A very poor twelve runner class six affair and I have honestly got negatives against every horse in the race and only three of them have run fast enough to feature on my figures, there's only CADLAND LAD 8/1 who I would class as the most likely pace-setter in this race plus its also my top rated, but, it's still a maiden after thirteen races but has been placed second or third in five of its six races on the all-weather tracks, so could feasibly quite easily lead all the way in this race but I'm not convinced when a horse starts to look like the proverbial bridesmaid and never the bride, Wattaboutsteve is my third top rated and this one usually tracks the pace setters, my second top rated is ANGEL FLORES 7/1 and the trainer does well at this course as does the trainer/jockey combination and this one I've marked down as either not liking this surface or it's a hidden danger so I'm going with the latter and will back them both so making a profit whichever one wins the race.
Thursday, 18 August 2016
(FREEBIE) - This looks a very good race for a class five affair but I still find five that I would be happy to lay if the prices were low enough, I've got two front runners but neither are in my top four so maybe they will just set the race up for a finishing type, Ask The Guru is well weighted for its best time which puts it in the third spot but may be better over further and would need to have a fast run race to make its stamina come into play, Dishy Guru is second top from a time recorded last year and hasn't been in that level of form so far this year but if running here it might be one to note as it's also run Thursday at Chepstow but top rated is LONG AWAITED 16/1 who has generally been running in higher class races and this drop down might revitalise it but it hasn't won for quite a while but I hoping there's some value in its price and double figures would be ideal and hope it's ready to strike here and luckily it's big enough to go with an each-way wager.
The 2016 running of the Melbourne Cup could contain a very strong northern hemisphere challenge, with Order of St George, Big Orange, Wicklow Brave and last year’s second Max Dynamite all under consideration for the Melbourne Cup tips.
With a prize fund of over six million Australian dollars, it is easy to see why there is such an interest from British and Irish trainers, despite the obvious ordeal of traveling horses across the world. The strict quarantine rules in Australia mean that horses have to be in the country from late September, meaning that for many of them they could miss out on easier targets at home.
Order of St George was a brilliant winner of the 2016 Ascot Gold Cup last June, and Aidan O’ Brien is reportedly waiting for the publication of the weights for the two-mile handicap before deciding on a target for his charge. Also under consideration is the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp in October, so connections will have a tricky decision to make as the time approaches.
Irish Champion National Hunt trainer Willie Mullins is also keen on improving on last year’s second place with Max Dynamite, and may well target the race with his improving Wicklow Brave, fresh from a third-placed finish in the Goodwood Cup. His conqueror there was the Michael Bell-trained Big Orange, who is also under consideration depending on the publication of the weights.
The date for the publication of the weights is September 13th, with the Irish St Leger the weekend before looking to be the last real opportunity for a Melbourne Cup contender to run in the Northern hemisphere. For the likes of Wicklow Brave, who is at the lower end of the handicap, that race might prove crucial in determining if he is allocated a weight that would guarantee him a run, with Willie Mullins being quoted as saying, "He could probably do with going up by a couple of pounds. With his current rating he would be right on the edge of getting in, I think, and it would be a big risk to take him there, with the cost and everything else, if you're not sure you're going to get a run.”
The Melbourne Cup was famously won twice by Irish trainer Dermot Weld, with Vintage Crop (1993) and Media Puzzle (2002). Those wins have paved the way for a stream of international contenders to challenge for the cup, and the home team will have their hands full to retain the crown, following their success last year with Prince of Penzance.
Tuesday, 16 August 2016
4:40 Chepstow Winning Racing Tips (17th Aug) DRIBUILD DASH (Round 6 Of The Chepstow Sprint Series) Handicap (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)
(FREEBIE) - Only seven runners and three of them have been known to lead before and another three that like to race prominently it could be a fast run race, Dreams Of Glory and Balliol are two of the pace setting types and are my fourth and third top rated, second top is Jaganory who likes to track the leaders, I've got DISHY GURU 16/1 as my top rated but this horse has only had one run this year and that was on the all weather in February so it is a risky wager but this one has been known to spring back to form without warning and is the only horse in the race that is known to be held up so if they go off too fast in front this one could be the one to benefit but any stakes will be kept to the low side.