Tuesday, 20 March 2018

7:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (20th March)

Horse Racing NEWCASTLE 7.15
This is a tricky looking claiming race as every horse has got some degree of a positive against its name, the only known front runner is Mishaal but on this straight course it doesn't give them much of an advantage as on a turning track, I will be going with a smallish bet on MAJOR CRISPIES 13/2 who of course is my top rated but its stable has another runner, Mujassam who on jockey bookings looks the stables more fancied horse but I've a feeling this one may need a longer trip although it did run well at Southwell over this distance, there's also a debut runner in the field so I've no idea what that can achieve which reiterates going with a smaller stake
Not a great race for a class 4 affair and only Razin Hell 20/1 known as a front running sort and it could be very dangerous if allowed to set its own pace but this straight course isn't as good for front runners compared to a turning track but it could do enough to make the frame, I've got joint top rated horses in ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 4/1 who has been in very good form lately and its drawn in stall 8 right next door to the most likely pacesetter so it should get a good tow into the race and the 3lb claiming jockey could tip the balance in its favour, the other top rated is BUCCANEERS VAULT 8/1 but this one hasn't run for 155 days so may need the run as it has done after a break before but did lose its maiden tag on its first run so maybe it can run well when fresh so I'm not really sure so I cant split them and will back both and also an each way covering bet on Razin Hell at 20/1.

Thursday, 15 March 2018

7:15 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (16th March)

Wolverhampton racing
Of this field of 13 I have got negatives against most of them and I'm looking at 4 that could feasibly win this race but my stakes will be kept low because I've not got a clue who will set the pace as there's no known front runners in the field, New Rich 6/1 would be 2nd top using a time it recorded at Chelmsford and this will be its 1st attempt on this surface so could be dangerous if taking to it and wouldn't need to improve much to win, I've got Burauq 10/1 and Ambitious Boy 14/1 as my joint 2nd top rated but both are being ridden by apprentices which would move them above my original top rated Fantasy Justifier 8/1, I cant split them confidently enough so I will look to dutch all 4 of them to make a profit whichever one wins.
7.15 Div 2
At least in this division there's a couple of known pace setters and they are housed next to each other in stalls 4 and 5 but I think they will be setting the race up for a finishing type and I've got JESSIE ALLAN 9/2 as my 2nd top rated but its stuck out in stall 13 which isn't ideal and its still a maiden after 35 attempts although its gone close a few times its trainer has a 15% win rate and the jockey is 3-9 for this stable which points to them expecting a big run, I have got AD VITAM 5/1 in top spot and it ought to be able to get a good early position from stall 1 but the trainer is 2-39 at this track and the jockey is 0-3, I will have bets on both but my stakes will be kept low.

Ad Vitam 5/1 4th
Jessie Allan 5/1 7th

6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (15th March)

Chelmsford racingCHELMSFORD 6.30
Half of this 12 runner race have been known to lead before and I've a feeling the race will be won from the front or one that's races very prominently but Mighty Zip who is my 3rd top rated may be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish, Hurricane Alert is versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-18 at this course and the jockey 0-2 which would temper my enthusiasm if it was my selection, I'm hoping from stall 2 CULLODEN 16/1 can break fast and lead all the way, the trainer has a 15% win rate at this course and the apprentice jockey has a 12% win rate for this stable which points to them expecting a big run here and hopefully a return to the winners enclosure and at the price it will have to be an each way investment.

Culloden 20/1 7th
A lovely looking race and 5 of the 11 runners have been known to lead before, Boom The Groom usually runs a gallant race but may struggle to lead all the way here, the 2 who i think could also contest the lead is Zac Brown 11/1 and Bowson Fred 10/1 and both of them have a decent chance of winning the race then add into the mix the 2 horses who will probably be staying on the strongest are Verne Castle 11/1 and Dynamo Walt 12/1 and all of this 4 have either good trainer or jockey stats or both, but most of the runners have at least a good trainer or a good jockey stat, so i will be looking to dutch all 4 of them with each way bets to show a profit whichever one of them does the business.

Tuesday, 13 March 2018

5:15 Southwell Racing Tips (14th March)

Horse Racing Southwell
The only older horse sprint race of the day and it doesn't get much worse than this one, i was thinking about leaving the race alone because of a lack of known front runners and any stakes will be kept on the low side and that's if there's any value in the price, which i doubt with its recent form for everyone to see. I think the early pace will be set by either Inlawed, who is well drawn in stall 2 but I'm not sure if this horse will like this surface but could be dangerous if taking to it because this race sure wont take much winning but SIR GEOFFREY 11/2 has also been known to lead usually over 5 furlongs but in this race he just might be able to set his own early pace and then kick to repel any late challengers and hold on for the win but as I've already said its a bad race and stakes will be kept low.

Sir Geoffrey 9/1 5th

Grand National Riding Tips

Grand National 2018
The Grand National is the top and most exciting steeplechase events on the calendar and is considered the ultimate test for horses and riders. Held at the Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool, entrants will race over 4 miles and 514 yards, and jump a total of 30 large fences over two laps. With a prize fund of over £1 million and 40 entries from the finest trainers and owners in the land, the Grand National is always one to watch. This year, the event is on April 14th.

It’s not only the riders that get excited. The Grand National also happens to be one of the top sports betting dates. Those who usually do not bet will try their chances, whether by studying the favourites or by guessing on the names that they like.

There were 105 initial entries revealed in January, and since then, not much has changed in the markets, though odds have risen and fallen slightly based on recent results. Last year’s winner One For Arthur is out with an injury and not on the list, but there are plenty of others to choose.

Remember, at this stage, all betting is ante-post. So, you will not receive a refund if your horse doesn’t run. You are betting on whether a horse will make the final cut, as well as whether they will overcome their handicap to win the event.

A word on handicaps. Each horse is given a weight to carry based on their rating, form and other statistics. This is supposed to level the playing field and give every horse a chance to win, but, some competitors will be more likely to overcome the weight and win than others. Keep in mind that you are betting based on whether a horse can win despite their handicap.
Blaklion is the favourite to win the Grand National this year, with 10/1 odds on BetStars. The Nigel Twinston-Davies entry was one of the favs last year, too, but fell short and eventually faded to a 4th place finish.

The nine-year-old has gone from strength-to-strength since then, including a nine-length win at the Becher Chase at Aintree. Blaklion has proven he has the stamina to pull off a Grand National win this year and the experience, jumping the extraordinarily large fences at Aintree.

Total Recall has cemented his place as the second favourite to win the Grand National, with 14/1 odds as it stands. The horse has made significant improvements since joining Irish trainer Willie Mullins last summer and has since had success in the Munster National, Ladbrokes Trophy and most recently, at the Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown.

Another runner that is potentially good for a bit of an outside bet is Definitly Red, one of the few horses recommended on the Grand National website. He was a big favourite in 2017 but was put out of action following a missed leap on the infamous Becher’s Brook. A Grade 2 win at Aintree in December proved that Definitly Red still has what it takes, and a more recent victory in the Cheltenham Cotswold Chase saw Red’s odds tighten up a bit. It would have been better to get in for a bet when Definitly Red had 20/1, but as it stands now, he is touching on the second favourite with 14/1 odds.

Monday, 12 March 2018

3:05 Southwell Racing Tips (13th March)

Southwell Racing
This is a nice class 4 race but not one i can be very confident about because there's 4 runners that have no form to work with and could be hidden dangers especially when I've only got 3 marked down as known front runners and 2 of them, Afandem and Dandy Highwayman are in those that could be dangerous, the other front running type is ANGEL PALANAS 6/1 who is my top rated and its trainer has a 23% win rate at this course and this 7lb claiming apprentice has a 2-10 record on this stables older horses which points to them expecting a big run and if it gets to the front it could be very hard to catch, I will be having a bet but my stakes definitely wont be at full strength.

Angel Palanas 6/1 6th
This is a drop to class 6 but looks a good race but this race also has a couple of unknown quantities but i think i can find an angle here, Socialites Red is my 3rd top rated but its 16 run maiden on the all-weather tracks, Archie Stevens is 2nd top and the only known front runner in the race and although the draw doesn't matter over this straight 5 furlong course it should give my selection KINGSTREET LADY 5/2 a good tow into the race from stall 2 and it ought then to stay on the stronger at the finish.

Kingstreet Lady 7/2 1st
Only Dream Ally is known as the only front runner in this field of 8 and its got the stall 1 draw so I'm guessing it will attempt to set the pace but my top 3 ratings are all from the same stable, Little Kingdom is 3rd top with a jockey record of 0-2 but its only 1lb behind Hadley who’s jockey is 0-12 for the stable while my top rated is WINDFORPOWER 6/1 and this ones jockey has a 19% win rate for the stable so I'm guessing its the stables number one string and the one expected to win this race from their point of view but that's if they are all allowed to run to their best.

Windforpower 6/1 1st

Cheltenham Festival 2018: Un De Sceaux Can Retain Crown as Ryanair Chase Cutting Up

Sprinter Sacre
In the short but sweet history of the Ryanair Chase – added to the Cheltenham Festival in 2005 – only one horse has won consecutive renewals so far.

It’s not that the prestige or prize money of this championship contest over an intermediate trip of almost 2m 5f isn’t attractive, but more connections tend to get ideas above this station.
While that wasn’t the case with sole dual Ryanair winner Albertas Run, who had already been tried and found wanting in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, this race has largely been won by younger horses aiming to step up in future.
Look no further than 2009 victor Imperial Commander who returned to the Festival 12 months later and tasted Gold Cup glory. Cue Card, winner of the 2013 renewal, is back in the Ryanair five years on as a popular and beloved veteran nearing his swansong, but his intervening campaigns saw him aimed at the Cheltenham centrepiece.
The average field size of this contest from 13 previous renewals is just 11. This year, it could be below that number for the sixth time because the Ryanair is cutting up. All to the good if you’re one of those punters backing last year’s winner Un De Sceaux, who heads the Cheltenham betting 2018.
Trained by Irish master Willie Mullins, Un De Sceaux put in a bold and impressive round of jumping while making most of the Ryanair running 12 months ago. He was certainly value for more than the winning margin.
It was one of the most eye-catching performances of the 2017 Festival. Although another year older now and aged ten, Un De Sceaux’s credentials are as solid as ever and he’s helped by a number of high-profile withdrawals even before the five-day declarations this year.
While Cue Card remains engaged for Colin Tizzard, stablemate Fox Norton – conqueror of Un De Sceaux in the Irish Champion Chase over 2m at last season’s Punchestown Festival – is out of the Ryanair through injury.

Ascot Chase winner Waiting Patiently, meanwhile, had been a leading contender to give northern trained horses a rare Festival winner, yet connections have opted to skip Cheltenham in favour of the Aintree Grand National meeting.
The fourth home in that key Ryanair trial, Top Notch, also misses out. Handler Nicky Henderson reports nothing is medically wrong with the Simon Munir and Isaac Souede owned gelding, but he isn’t himself at Seven Barrows.
Another to disappoint in the Ascot Chase, Coney Island, also misses Cheltenham after pulling up in that previous run. Trainer Edward Harty is instead looking to get him back on track at the Punchestown Festival.
Leading rivals with claims of challenging for Un De Sceaux’s crown have fallen by the wayside. The Ryanair will cut up even further as other entrants also have Cheltenham engagements in other Festival contests.
All the while, Un De Sceaux has done nothing wrong in two starts this season, including readily landing a third consecutive Clarence House Chase at Ascot. But for Sprinter Sacre, who had too much for him in the 2016 Queen Mother Champion Chase, he’d have a flawless record at Cheltenham too.
Un De Sceaux thus looks a great bet for the Festival and back-to-back Ryanair Chase crowns despite the sentiment surrounding Cue Card.

Sunday, 11 March 2018

8:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (12th March)

Eric Winner
Once again there's a distinct lack of known pace setters in this division but i have got big negatives against 6 of the 9 runners, Multi Quest is my 3rd top rated and will try to track whoever decides to lead, Firesnake is my 2nd top rated and in theory the 5lbs the apprentice jockey claims it would move it to top spot but her 7% win rate for the stable doesn't inspire me with confidence when my original top rated KRAZY PAVING 6/4 has a trainers record of 1-5 and the jockey is 3-9 for this stable which hopefully points to them expecting a big run here, and the poor price shows that everyone is expecting it to go well here too.

Krazy Paving 11/4 4th

Who Will Be Crowned Cheltenham 2018 Top Jockey?

Cheltenham Top Jockey 2018
All eyes will be on Cheltenham next week when the greatest show on turf returns for another four days of exhilarating action. All the biggest names in jumps racing will descend on the famous course for the Festival and we can all look forward to some intense battles developing. Ireland look to have the edge on England in the Prestbury Cup stakes, but it will be tight, while a three-way battle is set to develop in the leading trainer stakes between Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliott and Nicky Henderson. But the contest to be named top jockey is never quite as open, because Ruby Walsh has been utterly dominant in recent years. Can anyone stop him this time around? Here we run through the leading contenders:

Ruby Walsh

The 38-year-old Irishman has been named top jockey at the Cheltenham Festival for the last five years in a row, cementing his status as the greatest of all-time at this meeting. He landed three winners in 2004 and claimed his first top jockey prize, and won it again in 2006. Robert Thornton edged ahead of him in 2007, but then Walsh’s supreme dominance began. He won four top jockey titles in a row between 2008 and 2011, and set a record with seven winners in 2009. He lost out to Barry Geraghty in 2012, but has since won five on the trot, and in 2016 he equalled his record with another seven winners. During that time he has won everything worth winning, including the Gold Cup, Champion Chase, Champion Hurdle and Stayers’ Hurdle.

Walsh’s participation in this year’s event was in severe jeopardy after he broke a leg when Let’s Dance fell at Punchestown in November. But his recovery has gone well and he returned to action this week, just in time to get a bit of race fitness up ahead of the Festival. He is given the greatest chance of landing the most winners at Cheltenham once again in the spread betting lines seen below: https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/horse-racing/cheltenham.

Much of Walsh’s success has been tied in with that of his boss, Mullins, who has been similarly dominant in the leading trainer stakes at Cheltenham. Mullins parted ways with Michael O’Leary’s Gigginstown Stud before last year’s Festival and subsequently lost out on the leading trainer title to Elliott, so if Mullins does not land enough winners this year Walsh will be in trouble. But Mullins has more ante post favourites, joint favourites and second favourites than any other trainer heading into the Festival – including Footpad, Un De Sceaux and Getabird – so he should taste plenty of success and Walsh deserves to be the frontrunner in this market.

Barry Geraghty

Geraghty is the second most successful jockey in the history of this meeting, with 36 wins, and he was the last man to stop Walsh landing the top jockey title. He missed out on the Festival last year with an injury, but he will be back with a vengeance this time around. When Sir Tony McCoy retired in 2015, Geraghty took over as the retained rider for JP McManus, who is by far the most successful owner in Cheltenham history. As such, Geraghty will enjoy a string of big name rides this year. He will partner the heavy favourite in the Champion Hurdle, Buveur d’Air, on Tuesday and if he wins, it could set the tone for the Festival, so he looks an interesting choice at 5/1 to be named top jockey.

Jack Kennedy

After splitting with Mullins, O’Leary became Elliott’s main owner and that partnership has proved extremely successful. Elliott won the leading trainer award at last year’s Festival, and he is in with a great chance of successfully defending it this year. Elliott’s top talent – including Apple’s Jade and Cause Of Causes – will be shared between teenager Kennedy and Davy Russell. The bookmakers think Kennedy will outshine Russell and they have him as the third favourite. He won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle aboard Labaik last year at the age of 17, and he appears to enjoy the trust of Elliott, so Kennedy should enjoy an even more fruitful Festival this time around.

The Rest

Russell is currently leading the race to be named champion jockey in Ireland this season and he is the 10/1 fourth favourite to finish top of the pile at Cheltenham. That is a compelling price on a man that seems to have established himself as O’Leary’s favourite pilot. Russell has ridden a winner at Cheltenham every year since 2006, landing 18 victories in total, and he will be desperate to cap a great season by seizing the top trainer award. Nico De Boinville looks an interesting option at 12/1 as he is Henderson’s retained rider and the Englishman has the heavy favourite in the Champion Chase, Champion Hurdle and Gold Cup.

Noel Fehily will ride the likes of Our Duke and Special Tiara, so he is in with a chance, and what about Robbie Power at 50/1? He will be aboard Sizing John, Supasundae, Finian’s Oscar and possibly Don’t Touch It, so you never know. Walsh deserves to be the favourite but there are plenty of stars in the mix and they are all in with a chance of success, so it should prove to be another thrilling Festival.

Saturday, 10 March 2018

4:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (10th March)

Wolverhampton Racing Tips
This class 2 race ought to be a nice race but I can find reasons to discard 5 of the 9 runners, Nautical Haven has a good time from Chelmsford which would see it go very close here but only produced a slow time on its only run at this course and it looks to be the stables 3rd string and maybe in the race to ensure there's a fast early pace which would help its stablemates NAADIRR 11/2 chance of winning and just in case that one doesn't lead the stables 3rd runner Human Nature has also been known to lead, the 2 likely challengers looks to be Lancelot Du Lac and Suzis Connoisseur, the selection didn't run over this c/d for in 2017 and if it can reproduce its time from 2016 it would be enough to win here and it has won after a break before and i hope it can do so again in this race.

Naadir 17/2 6th
A claiming race that could be a good 7 runner affair, I can find reasons not to back, Archie Stevens, Newstead Abbey and Strictly Carter, I don't know what to make of Monumental Man as it could set the pace, I have SILVANUS 4/1 as my top rated and will be my main bet but it has a poor jockey stat which tempers my confidence, CAPTAIN LARS 6/5 is 2nd top and has very good trainer/jockey stats but those odds don't represent value and 3rd top is POINT NORTH 20/1 who also has good stats to back up its claims so i will back these 2 as smaller cover bets.

Captain Lars 11/8 1st
Silvanus 8/1 4th
Point North 20/1 5th
Quite competitive race for class 5 and I think Bernies Boy may set the pace but maybe not do enough to repel the challengers, Tavener has only slow times at this c/d but could be dangerous if getting to the front but maybe this course doesn't suit it best, I have only narrowed it down to 3 probables in this race, Big Lachie 7/2 hasn't any course form to work with but its Kempton time would definitely give it a chance, I've got Desert Fox 11/4 and Lanjano 13/2 as my joint top rated on c/d times recorded this year and both have got good trainer/jockey stats, I will split my bet between this pair and then a covering bet on the other horse in bold.