Tuesday, 28 February 2017

2:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (28th February) Sprint Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+)

Horseracing
MOSSGO — comes out 2nd best on my figures but it seems mainly to be a horse that can make the frame whether it's a fast or slow run race and its best time were recorded chasing a fast pace, so could make the frame but I'm doubtful it can win this race and 11/4 is poor value.
ANNIE SALTS — doesnt make my top 4 and for a possible front runner stall 9 isn't ideal and it needs others to falter for it to even make the frame but I doubt quite good enough to win and I'm surprised it's as low as 5/1.
PICANSORT — can be held up or track the leaders and from stall 3 it could possibly get a good early position from which to attack nearing the finish, I think the horse is fit enough to reproduce its best but don't quite make my top 4 so could struggle to win this race but could possibly make the frame but 5/1 isn't quite big enough for that bet.
POWERFUL WIND — has only produced poor form on latest runs on the all-weather tracks and going back as far as 2013 its best time wouldn't put it in my top 6 and another that seems to produce its best times when getting towed along in a fast run race but I don't think it can win here.
DESERT STRIKE — is versatile with its running style which includes leading and from stall 2 that could well be its tactics here and being my 4th top rated it could easily do enough to hang on for a place and 6/1 would show a profit if getting placed.
PHAROH JAKE — can either be held up or track the early pace setters and has 2 possible front runners in the stalls surrounding its own stall 8 but if it can get a tow along it could stay on strongly at the finish and is my top rated.
HOT STUFF — won its maiden last time out on its 14th start, it was a poor race and the time was very slow but it could have given the horse some confidence but I doubt it is good enough to win this race on that performance.
FRANGARY — is 0-8 on the all-weather tracks but hasn't run here at Lingfield before and its time on this surface at Chelmsford was slow which doesn't bode well for its chances in this race.
RED FLUTE — has been drawn widest of all in stall 10 but it is my 3rd top rated horse and has shown its fitness for this year and if getting a run it could still make the frame but at 28/1 it looks as though they think it won't overcome the poor draw.
RUBHEIRA — is a 16 run maiden, in fact, its never even made the frame in a race so far and in this race, it looks virtually impossible that will change.
SUMMARY: With 6 of the 10 runners having been known to lead it could be a battle to get control at the front and the favoured rails position but it might be my 4th top rated Desert Strike from stall 2 that gets to the front 1st and it could then stay there long enough to make the frame but would need others to falter to hang on for the win, Red Flute my 3rd top rated could struggle from stall 10, Mossgo in 2nd top spot hasn't won since August 2015 and its times are usually recorded when it either goes off too fast in front or when it gets towed along in a fast run race, top of my list is PHAROH JAKE 6/1 who is coming out of stall 8 and therefore may need some degree of luck but if getting the breaks it could be staying on the strongest of them all, the 7lb claiming apprentice taking the ride has won twice for the stable so I'm hoping he's good enough to get things right but it isn't a race where I would be betting too heavily.

Pharoh Jake 8/1 4th

Monday, 27 February 2017

2:55 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th February) Sprint Distance Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+)

racing tips
An 11 runner class 5 race with 7 of them having been known to lead before it looks likely to be run flat out for the class, I've got joining 4th top rated with Bahango in stalll1 and Miracle Garden in stall 3 and both are possible pacesetters, then I've got co 2nd top rated horses with Cruise Tothelimit from stall 2 who is another possible front runner, Powerful Dream my other 2nd joint top could be the 1 to prosper if they go too fast in the battle for the lead and cut each other's throats but my top rated is RED STRIPES 16/1 who has finished 6th on all 3 runs this year but the best of those was when running over this course and distance and didn't get a clear run that day and it's another possible front runner and isn't drawn too badly in stall 4 and I'm hoping it can either get to the front or very prominent and then stay on for the victory but it is a very competitive race so a degree of caution has to be advised with any stakes but I do think the price available is more than generous and I will be going with an each-way wager.

Red Stripes 16/1 10th
3:55 Wolverhampton -
A very nice looking class 2 race with 13 entrants and rather unusually for a sprint race there's only Mishaal known as a front-running sort and normally stall 9 isn't ideal but if its the only 1 that tries to lead then I could be ok and I have marked it down as possibly being able to improve on what its shown so far so who knows how good it will run, Fast Track and Steelriver are my joint 3rd top rated horses and both can be held up while the latter can also track the pace setters and both of them come from the same stable and on jockey bookings the former looks their first choice, in 2nd top spot is King Robert who usually races prominently and could follow the possible leader across to the rails to get a good early position, my top rated is UPAVON 10/1 who has been quite well drawn in stall 4 where it can either race prominently or get a good position on the rails so as to go the shortest way round and then stay on strongly at the finish and luckily the price allows for me to back it each way.

Upavon 12/1 2nd

+ EXACTA £258
+ TRIFECTA £2,208.20 (with joint top-rated third)


Saturday, 25 February 2017

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tip (25th February) Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Lingfield horse racing
This is a Listed race over the minimum trip with just 9 runners and 4 of them have been known to lead before and trying to analyse the race its the typical battle between speed and class and then proven against possible and it's only with the betting am I able to decide which way to go, most of these are capable are winning decent races, Lancelot Du Lac and Pretend ran against each other last time out and the latter was unlucky not to win the race and could easily turn the form around this time but the price is too poor to be of any value, well in my eyes, which at least makes the rest of the field as good to big prices as all of the runners are top class handicappers. I think the front runners will set the race up for a finishing type and I'm going to row in with VERNE CASTLE 14/1 yes it only won in a class 4 race last time out but this 4-year-old has improved and has won it last 2 races over this course and distance and in fast times and deserves its chance to take on this class, its got the plum draw in stall 1 so can take the shortest route along the rails and hopefully catch and pass them all as the line looms large and the price permits me to go with an each way wager but my stakes will be kept on the low side of things.

Verne Castle 14/1 3rd
5:45 Wolverhampton -
I don't usually look at selling races but some of the entrants here look too good to run in this class but it's always an even bigger gamble on whether a trainer or owner wants to get rid of the horse as only the winner goes up for sale, 2 horses that have took my eye from form in 2015 which would see either of them beat the other 7 runners easily but neither have any course and distance since that year so SUMMERINTHECITY 8/1 who would be my top rated by 2lb could win and has been running class 5 so this is a decent drop, as could INVINCIBLE RIDGE 6/4 but this favourite has been running in class 4 races so an even bigger drop in class. If I only use times from last year and this year the 3-year-old PULSATING 12/1 comes out top so I will look to go with backing all 3 to show a profit but there is still a question mark over which horse will set the pace and if it becomes a 2 furlong dash anyone of them could take the prize so once again my stakes will be kept on the low side.

Note: Pulsating wasn't highlighted but the text detail all three horse should be backed.

Pulsating 12/1 1ST + EX £15.30
Invincible Ridge 13/8 2nd
Summerinthecity 12/1 3rd




Thursday, 23 February 2017

5:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (24th February) Sprint Apprentice Handicap (Class 7) (3yo+)

racing tips today
Despite this being a class 7 race its a half decent affair with 13 runners and of which 4 have been known to lead before but 2 of that 4, Pick Of Any and Lizzy's Dream only usually take the initiative when nothing else wants to, I think Pull The Pin and Presto Boy are the more likely to lead but neither are drawn well in stalls 12 and 9 so maybe Lizzy's Dream from stall 6 might feel obliged to take advantage of the make-up of this race and go for an all the way victory but I doubt it's good enough to do so as it's not in my top 5 ratings, both Tasaboq my 5th top rated and National Service my 4th top rated might need a longer trip so should be staying on at the finish but maybe to no avail, Ambitious Boy is a hold up type so its stall 1 draw may not be as ideal as it would be with some of the other runners but if getting a good position and a clear run it could run on into the frame, Presto Boy starts off as my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 1-31 with his older horses here and the 5lb claiming apprentice is 0-12 so I've given it a negative and I've dropped it down to 3rd spot especially as its still a maiden after 31 attempts and seems to run into a place at best no matter how fast or slow the early pace is, my top rated is MR CHUCKLES 6/1 who ought to be staying on strongly at the finish as stamina is its forte at this distance and this 4-year-old was contesting much better races than this in 2015 and 2016 and has shown glimmers of ability at times and a reproduction of its best from last year would be enough to see it back into the winner's enclosure but any stakes will be kept low.

Mr Chuckles 7/1 2nd
6:45 Wolverhampton -
Nine runners. Four horses have been known to lead before which isn't surprising in a minimum distance race and my top 2 ratings are both possible pace setters, Roaring Rory who I tipped up when it won last time out has got a 6lb penalty here so looks as though connections think they have more chance of winning again before the horse is re-evaluated by the handicapper but this looks a tougher race and only comes out 5th best, Cruise Tothelimit is my 3rd top rated and probably the most likely one to prosper if they go off too fast and start to fade nearing the finish, my 2nd top rated is Dream Ally who is being ridden by a top class jockey but he's only ridden 1 winner from 26 rides for the stable so it doesn't look a significant booking, in top spot ive got GIVE US A BELLE 8/1 who I tipped up last time out when trying to steal the race from the front and only got caught inside the final furlong and repelled all challengers barring the winner and has a chance here to go one better but being a class 6 race I will be keeping my stakes low as consistency isn't a keyword at this level of competition.

Give Us A Belle 18/1 8th

1:50 Chelmsford Racing Tips (23rd February) APPRENTICE HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-60)

sky equine, racing tips
An apprentices race with just 8 runners so ideal if there's any each way value in the race, being a class 6 affair they are as expected a relatively poor bunch but there's 3 that have been known to lead before but Hurricane Alert only usually leads if nothing else wants to but doubt that will happen here, Pearl Noir is a possible pace setter from stall 2 but hasn't any course and distance times recently to analyse but even its best from 2015 would only put it into 2nd top so it could make the frame, Topsoil is my 2nd top rated on recent times but this one may prefer further so ought to be staying on at the finish and could make the frame but my top rated is YISTY 8/1 a 4-year-old from the Derek Shaw stable who has a decent strike rate at this course and this is the 3rd possible pace maker and has luckily drawn stall 1 so if this one gets out and gets control of the rails it could prove very hard to catch but this isn't the type of race to go steaming in on so I suggest caution with any stakes and keep them on the lower side of things.

Yisty 16/1 7th
4:40 Chelmsford -
Another race with 8 runners with 2 that have been known to lead before, Kashtan has no form at this course but did a decent time at Kempton over this distance and has got stall 2 so could have a chance to make the frame if not more, Saved My Bacon is my 2nd top rated but at this distance doesn't want them to go too fast from the start as it stretches its stamina over this distance, my top rated is Penny Dreadful who is the other horse that's been known to lead but hasn't won since September 2015 and the trainer is 0-36 at this course which tempers any confidence and I think this race is best left alone.
8:30 Chelmsford -
A nice looking race with 11 runners and 5 that have been known to lead and my top 2 are possible leaders, Dreams Of Glory is my 4th top rated but maybe a better horse in a class 6 race, my 3rd top rated is Compton River who isn't a front runner but does usually track the leaders but might get stuck on the rails from stall 2 and will need some luck to show its best but it is capable of making the frame if things go its way, my 2nd top rated is Miracle Garden and is coming out of stall 3 which could be good enough for it to gain control of the rails and then be hard to catch but top spot goes to KING CRIMSON 8/1 who admittedly isn't ideally drawn in stall 10 but if away fast enough it could either get a good prominent early position or even lead and if getting to the front should be very hard to overhaul and the trainer has a good 20% win rate at this course and the trainer has won 28% of his rides for this stable which points to them expecting a big run here.

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Wednesday, 22 February 2017

7:15 Kempton Racing Tips (22nd February) HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-85)

Oriental Relation -- is versatile with what running tactics it deploys and its best time puts it in joint 4th place on my figures but the trainer is 0-20 here and the jockey 0-13 for the stable which doesn't fill me with confidence about its chances but could possibly make the frame.
Steelriver--at this distance usually likes to track the pace setters and then stay on strongly at the finish as though it wants a longer trip with 2 front runners it might or might not get the fast early pace its needs at this distance, it is my top rated but the trainer is 0-17 here and the jockey is 0-4.
Under Siege -- is one of two pace makers in the field but stall 9 isn't going to be ideal but it is my other 4th joint top rated horse and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch for a lot of these runners and the trainer has a 15% win rate and the jockey a 35% win rate for this trainer.
Plucky Dip -- comes out third best on my figures and can be held up or track the leaders but it does find this trip on the short side so will probably have to race prominently to have a chance of winning and the trainers has a 11% win rate and the jockey 13%.
Florencio -- has only a slow time over this course and distance but does well elsewhere with this surface so could do well if taking to the track and the trainer has a 21% win rate and the jockey is 3-6 for the stable so can't be discarded in terms of winning this race.
Excellent George -- will need to be held up to win at this distance as in a true run race it hasn't got the stamina to be competitive but it's got the coveted draw in stall 1 but probably won't be able to take advantage of it in this race.
Parkour -- hasn't any recent form at this course but did do a good time at Chelmsford and if capable of repeating that time here it must have a chance of doing well and the trainer does have a 21% win rate like its stablemate Florencio but the jockey only a 12% win rate.
Salvatore Fury -- has only produced comparatively slow times at this distance as it does much better over a shorter distance so will need to be held up to win this race and the jockey is 0-6 for this stable which is a negative in my eyes.
Major Crispies -- can be held up or track the pace setters but it hasn't got any recent course and distance form and its time at Chelmsford was a slow one but there's neither a negative or a positive with the trainers and jockeys statistics.
He's My Cracker -- is a possible front runner and isn't badly housed in stall 3 so could gain control of the rails from the start that's if it can because I'm thinking this horse would be better on a slower surface than the one it encounters here.
Vimy Ridge -- is well weighted and comes out second best on my time figures and it has made the frame recently so is in form and could easily make the frame here and it can be held up or track the leaders and stall 4 isn't too bad.
SUMMARY: A cracking little race with 11 runners and typically some of the speed figures are gained by horses that have been towed along with a fast early pace and just don't win very often and that is true on both of my top 2 ratings, then my 3rd top rated finds this distance too short and with maybe not a fast early pace it won't be able to stay on quickly enough nearing the finish, so I'm going with UNDER SIEGE 15/2 who from stall 9 could feasibly lead and if doing so prove very hard to beat and the danger looks to be FLORENCIO 15/2 who is using a good 5lb claiming apprentice to aid its chances to shine here but stakes will be kept on the low side with it being a very competitive race.

FLORENCIO 15/2 1ST
Under Seige 15/2 2nd

EX: £49.60

Tuesday, 21 February 2017

3:40 Southwell Racing Tips (21st February) HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-90)

winning racing tips
A class 3 race with 8 runners and 3 that have been known to lead before, Captain Lars only usually leads if nothing else wants to and won't have to do so in this race, LADY NAYEF 4/1 usually races prominently and did its best time this year but its only my 3rd top rated but at least that's proved that its fit to do itself justice, Archimedes could try to lead but I'm not sure if its fast enough to get there and it's not in my top 3 but Escalating is my 2nd top rated and another possible pace setter but this one hasn't had a run since November 10th last year and this one usually needs a run or two to get fit before it's capable of showing its best which could set the race up for CROSSE FIRE 14/1 my top rated and this one usually likes to race behind the front runners and then stay on strongly at the finish, so I will be going with a small win bet at 4/1 and a small each way wager at 14/1.

Crosse Fire 14/1 2nd
Lady Nayef 4/1 3rd

Monday, 20 February 2017

3:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th February) HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

It's unusual to see a class 2 race on a Monday unless its a bank holiday, of the 11 runners 8 of them have led before so it could be mad dash from start to finish, Boom The Groom starts of as my top rated and has the plum draw in stall 1 so could gain control on the rails and then prove hard to catch, my original 2nd best is Encore D'or who usually races prominently without actually leading but stall 10 isn't going to help its cause but ROYAL BIRTH 14/1 starts off as 3rd best but is being ridden by a 3lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot and hopefully it can get a decent early position from stall 5 from which to attack as the line looms and the trainer does well here and the apprentice has got a 17% win rate for the stable so it looks a positive booking and I'm hoping it's enough to tip things in its favour and the price means I will be having an each-way wager.

Royal Birth 14/1 3rd
4:20 Wolverhampton - Division I
Eleven runners in this division with 3 that have been known to lead before and 2 of them are my 4th and 3rd top rated, Colourbearer from stall 5 is my 4th best while Commanche from stall 10 is my 3rd top rated but this one could easily get across to contest the lead if not getting it all its own way and this trainer-jockey combination usually means that connections are expecting a big run from their horse, Head Space is my 2nd top rated but the apprentice who's been given the ride has only managed 1 win from 31 rides before today which doesn't fill me with confidence about its chances to win this, my top rated is DIVINE CALL 16/1 who is from the Milton Bradley stable and he's got my top rated in both divisions so it looks as though they had set out to try and win this race and only Commanche looks capable of upsetting their plans if it can get an easy lead but that looks doubtful from such a wide draw and at the price I will be having an each way punt on the selection.

Divine Call 20/1 10th
4:55 Wolverhampton - Division II
With 10 runners and 3 possible pace setters and my top 2 ratings are in that 3, Sugar Town is drawn in stall4 but I'm not sure if its good enough to get to the front especially with the other front runners drawn either side of it, Major Valentine is my 2nd top rated and got stall 3 so could be the one to gain control of the rails but its also a horse I think will do even better on a slower surface, my top rated horse, INDIAN AFFAIR 9/1 is in stall 5 and if this one can get up alongside the other front runner or even get to the front on its own and it then ought to be hard to catch.

Indian Affair 9/1 9th


Saturday, 18 February 2017

1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (18th February) SPRINT HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-65)

winning race tips
A nice looking class 6 race with 10 runners and 2 that have been known to lead before, Borough Boy is one of them but has been out of form so far this year and is usually a horse who gives an indication when it's about to hit winning form, the other is Whaleweigh Station who has luckily got stall 1 so it will most likely try to lead all the way and its 2nd best on my figures so some of these may struggle to get involved but my top rated is NEW RICH 13/2 who showed it was in form when finishing 2nd at Kempton where it finished strongly but too late to catch the winner, its last run can be ignored as it never does as well at Chelmsford and this looks its preferred course of the 3 with this surface.

New Rich 17/2 4th

Mid-division, outpaced over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, ran on well on outer inside final furlong, not reach leaders: Distance: 3/4, hd, 1/2  

Ran on well and unlucky not to get place

2:20 Lingfield -
Another 10 runner race with half of them having been known to lead before and my top 2 are both possible leaders so it should be a fast and furious early pace and Zipedeedodah has drawn stall 2 so could get the control on the rails but this rise into class 4 might be too much for it and inst in my top 4 ratings, Verne Castle is my 3rd top rated and maybe the one to prosper if they go off at too fast a pace, Come On Dave is my 2nd top rated and despite being the bottom weight it has been running regularly in this class and could make the frame if things go its way but stall 10 in the make-up of this race doesn't look ideal especially with my top rated and another front runner, SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 12/1 being in the stall just to its inside and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and its last run at Chelmsford was better than the 5th place suggests and shows it to be fit and hopefully it can get back to the winner's enclosure here but the price does allow for me to go with an each-way wager.

Sandfranksipgo 14/1 8th

In touch on outside, ridden inside final 2f, lost place over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong opened 6/1 touched 7/1 Dist: 6L

Little chance from wide draw. Not getting to lead and running wide meant no hope.

3:30 Lingfield -
This class 2 race with just 8 runners and 3 that have been known to lead before is a very hard race to analyse to a conclusion with quite a few unknowns in the race, Dougan, Doctor Sardonicus, Suqoor and Fast Track could all be capable of improving on what they have shown so far so as I call them maybe hidden dangers, Swiss Cross has done a time that makes it my top rated but that was in a lower class affair and I'm not sure it's up to this standard nowadays and my 2nd top rated is KASBAH 9/2 who won over course and distance last time out in a fast time and although I doubt it will be a very big price I also think a reproduction of that run could be enough to win this race but that is as long as none of the possibly hidden dangers proves themselves better than previously shown.

Kasban 9/2 2nd

Tracked leaders, headway over 1f out, soon ridden, went 2nd inside final furlong, stayed on to press winner closing stages, just held Dist: hd (just held)

6:45 Kempton -

There's 3 known front runners in this 12 runner race and ANONYMOUS JOHN 16/1 who is my top rated from times at Lingfield and Chelmsford in stall 2 and Bridge Builder my 2nd top rated on course times in stall 4 look the most likely pace setters and then could be hard to catch but my top rated at this course and distance is PICKET LINE 16/1 who can be held up or track the pace setters and will need to either get a good early position from which to stay on strongly or a clear passage if its held up, I will be going with backing them both each way to make a profit whichever one does the job.

Anonymous John 16/1 4th

Towards rear, headway over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, not quite able to challenge 
Dist: hd, hd. nk

Picket Line 16/1 10th

Went left start, chased leaders, no impression from over 2f out


Friday, 17 February 2017

5:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (17th February) HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-85)

Newstead Abbey —might prefer a slower surface and or a longer distance to show its best.
Handsome Dude —one of 3 known pace setters and 1 of my 2 joint top rated so must have a chance at least to make the frame and even win.
Extrasolar —hasnt won from 8 attempts on the all-weather tracks but none of them was on this surface but this trip is usually too far for it.
Buccaneers Vault —usually likes to race just behind the pace makers and then stay on at the finish, its 4th on my list so will need others to falter for it to make the frame.
Gramercy —hasnt any form on this surface also its been out of form lately, it's a hold-up type and I doubt it will spring back to form in this race.
Fairway To Heaven —can be held up or track the pace but isn't in my top 4 on course times but has only raced here once, it's done the best time at Wolverhampton of any in the race so must have a chance here.
Bahamian Dollar —hasnt any surface form but looks as though it would be better suited to a longer trip and ought to be staying on here as there will probably be a fast early pace.
Fujin —has been in good form and its last run over 7furlongs is best ignored it's a front-running type and 1 of my joint top rated horses but it might be in the grasp of the handicapper now.
Merdon Castle —isnt in my top 4 on course times but 2nd best on Wolverhampton figures and a place is maybe as good as it can expect to achieve.
Dark Side Dream —the 3rd known front runner and my 3rd top rated horse and this class may just find it out.
SUMMARY: With my top 3 ratings all being front runners this race could be run at a fast and furious pace from start to finish, Fujin and Dark Side Dream have run fast times I slightly lower class races so may struggle now up in class but never say never, Fairway To Heaven has done the best time of these but its only 5th best on course times but has only run on this course once so could easily improve its times here and looks to be the one that could prosper if the front runners go too fast and fade inside the final furlong, top rated on course figures is Handsome Dude but this one may have been flattered by being pulled along in a very fast run race but it has proven it can do it and I have to go with my figures so I will go with backing both FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 11/4 to win and HANDSOME DUDE 11/1 with an each way wager to profit whichever one does the job.

Handsome Dude 11/1 1st
Fairway To Heaven 7/2 7th