1:50 Haydock -
TARBOOSH 14/1 has got the best jockey stats of my top 3 and the best draw and tracks the leaders MIDNIGHT MALIBU 14/1 likes these flatter courses and usually races prominently
FOXTROT KNIGHT 10/1 should also be prominent from the off.
SUMMARY: I can't split these 3 and I will be having an each way bet on each to show a profit whichever one does the job.
Midnight Malibu 14/1 2nd
Foxtrot Knight 10/1 6th
NR: Tarboosh
NOTTINGHAM 3.40
Shamsaya is my 2nd top rated and this 3year old could still improve SEEKING MAGIC 12/1 top rated and the trainer has a 17% win ratio here and the jockey has a 15% win ratio for the stable which points to connections expecting a big run in this race and with 8 runners has to be backed each way.
Seeking Magic 12/1 1st
NEWBURY 5.25
Field Of Vision looks the most likely leader and if getting things right will be hard to catch.
OEIL DE TIGRE 9/4 is the only horse with a time good enough to pick up the leader and it could pay to do the forecast with these 2 horses.
HAMILTON 6.50
HEE HAW 7/4 is my top rated and this 3year old is the only known front runner in the race and if getting an easy lead should prove hard to catch for the rest of the runners.
NEWMARKET 7.10
Willytheconqueror is joint 2nd top rated but the trainer is 1-32 at this course Lightscameraction is joint 2nd top but the trainer is 1-32 at this course MONSIEUR JOE 14/1 is top rated and usually tracks the leaders.
SUMMARY: I will be backing the top rated but I am worried about the bottomweight Yalta who has been racing in much better company and now dropped to this level it might spark it into life, so my stakes will be kept low in an each way wager.
HAMILTON 7.20
Hoof It 16/1 is my joint 2nd top rated and could at least make the frame. Red Pike 12/1 a possible pace setter is the other joint 2nd top rated CLASSIC SENIORITY 12/1 comes out the top and the trainer has an 18% win rate here but at the prices, will be backing all 3 each way to profit whichever one does the job.
PONTEFRACT 7.35
Gamesome is joint 2nd top rated and should be staying on strongly at the finish. Signore Piccolo is the other joint 2nd top rated and a possible pace setter here ORIENTAL RELATION 12/1 is top rated and another possible front runner, the trainer has a 28% win rate with his older horses and the jockey has a 39% win rate for the stable so things point to them expecting it to go well in this race aand again the price permits me to back it each way.
PS: With thunderstorms around the country please check the going before having a bet and if its soft to any degree my figures mean nothing.
2:30 Hamilton - Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 10 runners
Star Cracker 99 may not want the going to be too fast but does race prominently 8/1
Kodimoor 99 also races prominently and ought to make the frame 6/1
Rat Catcher 100 is my top rated but the trainer is 0-21 at this course 25/1.
SUMMARY: I'm going with backing all 3 to make a profit, Rat Catcher may prefer a longer trip so if they don't go very fast in the early stages it may struggle to catch those in front of it, Kodimoor hasn't any negatives against its name so looks a possible winner, Star Cracker may not want it to be too fast but the jockey booking looks a positive as he's got a 17% win rate for the stable.
Kodimoor 9/2 1st
Star Cracker 6/1 6th
Rat Catcher 33/1 8th
3:05 Hamilton - Class 5 – 6 furlongs – 7 runners
Quiet Warrior 96- hasn't been in the best of form lately but may bounce back anytime soon.
Buccaneers Vault 98- the trainer has a 17% win ratio here and could make the frame.
Top Of The Bank 100 may be allowed to lead here as there's no other known pace setter in the race and if doing so could quite easily lead all the way and 8/1 looks decent value.
Top Of The Bank 10/1 5th
4:00 Chepstow - Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
This race is hard to come to a conclusion about, Bahamian Dollar 7/1 and Vincentti 14/1 are my joint top rated with Farleigh Mac just 1lb below them, both Bahamian Dollar and Farleigh Mac 5/2 have been known to front run I'm looking to back all 3 to make a profit whichever one wins.
Bahamian Dollar 7/1 1st
Farleigh Mac 5/2 2nd
Vincentti 25/1 9th
4:30 Chepstow - Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 16 runners
This race is a poor affair but I'm going with Lucky Clover 9/4 who is the top weight here and against slower horses, it has to have a chance to follow up its win last time out and from stall 10 it should be able to cover any moves on either side of the course.
Lucky Clover 9/4 2nd
5:30 Leicester - Class 6 (apprentices) – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
Monarch Maid 98 a versatile type tactics wise but may find this too far if its a fast early pace. Jazz Legend 99 may also find this trip too far with a fast pace at this course
Generalyse 100 is the one thats most likely to lead here and if setting a fast early pace it may prevent anything from stating on to catch it and all of its 3 wins on turf have come at thic course and the jockey is 1-3 for the stable so it looks like they are expecting a big run in this race and 9/1 is a decent price.
Generalyse 14/1 7th
5:40 Doncaster - Class 5 (apprentices) – 5 furlongs – 10 runners
ive got 3 horses tightly handicapped at the top of my ratings, Roys Legacy a possible front runner, but theres 4 others that also might want to lead, and has got stall 10 to help its cause but the jockey is 0-4 for the stable, Miss Rosina may not want the going to be too fast but the trainer is 0-11 at this course which puts me off, im going with Kiringa 12/1 who can deploy any tactics to suit the race and the trainer has a 13% win ratio but this will be the jockeys 3rd ride for the stable and the other 2 have both resulted in wins so it looks a positive booking.
Kiringa 12/1 6th
3:50 Catterick - Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 8 runners
STRAIGHTOTHEPOINT 100—(5/1) usually tracks the pace setters
Love Oasis 99 can be held up or race prominently Meshardal 98 usually tracks the leaders best time recorded here.
SUMMARY: My stakes will be kept low because there are no known front runners in the race and I will be looking to back all 3 to show a profit whichever one wins.
Straightothepoint 5/1 3rd
LINGFIELD 5.05 AW Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 10 runners
Powerful Wind 3rd top rated and possible pace setter and could make the frame
Pharoh Jake 2nd top rated and ought to be staying on at the finish.
ASK THE GURU 8/1 top rated and the only other known front runner.
SUMMARY: I think this race will be won from the front and I'm siding with the selection leading from start to finish.
Ask The Guru 8/1 1st
CATTERICK 2.40 Seller – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
as to be expected this looks a poor race but I'm going to put forward MANATEE BAY (even money) as my selection and only because it got a few spots in hand on the next best but stakes will be kept low.
Manatee Bay 13/8 3rd
YARMOUTH 5.45 Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 7 runners
this lady jockeys race is fraught with dangers and my stakes will be kept low again, I've got SYRIAN PEARL 8/1 as my 2nd top rated but this one looks the most likely pace setter and good be dangerous with an easy lead but top rated is CASE KEY 3/1 who usually races behind the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish, I'm going with both of them to cover both angles.
Case Key 13/2 2nd
Syrian Pearl 8/1 6th
We have left behind some exciting racing encounters, such as the Cheltehnham Festival (which ended well for Robbie Power on Sizing John), Aintree’s Grandox Health Grand National Festival (still strong since 1839), the All-Weather Championships (with Convey finishing first at its most valuable race, the £200,000 Betway Easter Classic) Dante Festival in York or the summer favorite Moet and Chandon July Festival. But the year is not over and there are many exciting rendezvous yet to come.
Six months before the end of 2017, many of the major racing events haven’t taken place yet, with King George Weekend, Qatar Goodwood or the Welcome to Yorkshire still to come. So if you’re in the spirit of winning on the bets you place this summer, in addition to visiting the best internet poker sites and rooms to see how you do on the felt, keep an eye for upcoming tennis tournaments, check out upcoming soccer games or golf tournaments, and follow the best tips for major racing events taking place in the UK during July and August.
From Friday 28th July to Saturday 29th July, King George VI Weekend is one of the highlights in Ascot this year. It's Saturday race is, in fact, the feature of the middle distance championship of the European mid-season. Open to horses aged three or older it is the UK’s most prestigious open-age flat race. Sponsored by Qatar Investment & Projects Development Holding Company it has a long history and its winner last year was Highland Reel, ridden by jockey Ryan Moore.
Another must on the list of racing bets at the Qatar Goodwood Festival celebrated from 1st-5th of August in Sussex. Known as the Glorious Goodwood, it is one of the world’s largest race meetings and part of the highlights of the flat-racing season. With a racecourse thought to be the most beautiful in the UK, this event hosts some notable races to keep an eye on as the stakes are usually high. Later on in August, the next on the list is Welcome to Yorkshire Ebor festival, which is one of the largest betting races of the season with a prize money of £210,000. In 2016 Heartbreak City came in first, with jockey A McNamara.
As far as September goes, the central event is 32 Red Sprint Cup Festival at Haydock Park, which is one of Europe’s most valuable sprints and it will take place from September 7-9. The St. Leger Festival, the world’s oldest classic run over 1m 6f and 132 yards, follows the Red Sprint and from September 13-16, it marks the end of British classics this year.
The winter jumps season takes off with The Open at Cheltenham with £110,000 winnings and is followed by Gold Cup Festival and the Tingle Creek Christmas Festival, with the Coral Welsh Grand National at Chepstow being the last race this year on December 27. So, with 15 races and festivals still to come, there are many bets to be placed – make sure you follow my updates on odds, tips and analysis- with series of upcoming events that promise to bring great satisfaction to those passionate about horse races.
Photo source: Wikipedia
3:15 Beverley Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 15 runners
This is a poor race and my stakes will be kept low, John Quinn has 2 runners and Jason Hart booked to ride them both and he has a 15% win rate when riding for the stable and both of them are my joint 4th top rated and whichever he rides could at least make the frame. Sarabi is my 3rd top rated and Roaring Rory my 5th top rated (who moves to clear 4th with the jockeys 7lb claim) are the 2 known front runners in the race so either could be dangerous if getting an easy lead, Tinsill is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-41 with his older horses at this course and the jockey has only a 3% win rate for the stable which doesn't inspire me with confidence, my top rated is MAGGI MAY 9/1 but the trainer is 0-7 with any horses barring his 2yo's and the jockey is 0-7 for the stable but I'm hoping this may break their ducks here as form stall 3 it ought to be able to get a prominent position behind the 2 front runners from which to launch its attack in the latter stages of the race.
Maggi May 9/1 4th
4:00 Bath Class 5 – 5 furlongs – 5 runners
Babyfact usually tracks the pace setters but a bit to find to win this Go Amber Go a front running sort who with a 5lb claiming apprentice on board moves into 2nd spot SECRET AGENT 3/1 the other front runner and only a 3year old so could lead all the way here Emjayem another that races prominently but only joint 3rd top rated Archimedes my original 2nd top rated and it also races prominently.
SUMMARY: The 3year old selection could lead all the way here and a reproduction of its time which it recorded at Salisbury this year would be enough to win this race comfortably.
Secret Agent 3/1 2nd
3:00 Ayr - Class 5 – 6 furlongs – 11 runners
DUNCAN OF SCOTLAND 7/2 is one of only 2 known front runners in the race and may be hard to catch for most of these as its 2nd top on my figures. SEA OF GREEN 8/1 is top rated and is usually a hold-up type.
SUMMARY: I've gone with backing both of my top 2 ratings as 1 of them could lead and be dangerous if getting its own way in front but the 2nd selection has got the speed to finish strongly and pick up the leaders so I'm covering both angles to show a profit whichever one does the business in the race.
Sea Of Green 8/1 1st
Duncan of Scotland 7/2 2nd
Exacta: £21.30
FFOS LAS 3.15 Class 4 – 5 furlongs – 9 runners
Major Valentine my 2nd top rated is a front running sort and has been in form lately and if getting to the front it could be hard to catch. PENNY DREADFUL 7/2 comes out in the top spot and can also set the pace and looks to need good to firm ground to show its best.
SUMMARY: I'm hoping the front runners don't kill themselves trying to lead but the trainer does use this apprentice before and he has won 23% of the time on the stables older horses and that 7lb claim could swing things its way.
Penny Dreadful 4/1 4th
WINDSOR 7.20 Class 3 – 5 furlongs – 8 runners
SUPER JULIUS 9/2 maybe my 3rd top rated but this 3year old has won its last 2 races nicely and looks an improving sort so can't be discarded as a potential winner.
STEPPER POINT 9/1 is my joint top rated from a time recorded at this course and distance this year and prefers good to firm going. DARK SHOT 6/4 starts off as 2nd top rated but the 5lb claiming apprentice moves it to joint top rated position and looks as though further might suit it even more.
SUMMARY: 5 of the 8 runners have been known to lead before and that includes all 3 of my selections and this race could turn out to be a very fast and great race to watch and I'm hoping to be able to back all 3 to show a profit.
Super Julius 5/1 5th
Dark Shot 6/4 4th
Stepper Point 9/1 7th
2:25 Chester - Class 2 – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
ROSE BERRY 100 usually tracks the leaders 9/2.
Queen In Waiting 97 usually a hold-up type 7/2.
Rose Berry 4/1 4th
YORK 4.15 Listed – 5 furlongs – 12 runners
JUDICIAL 100 a possible pace setter 11/2.
Final Venture 99 hold up type or can track the leaders 14/1.
Judicial 11/2 4th
NEWMARKET 4.35 Group 1 – 6 furlongs – 10 runners
HARRY ANGEL 100 the most likely pace setter in the race 6/1.
Caravaggio 99 can be held up or chase the leaders 11/10.
Harry Angel 6/1 1st
SALISBURY 6.20 Class 5 – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
SWANTON BLUE 100 usually races prominently and stays on at the finish 6/1.
Delegate This Lord 97 also likes to track the pace setters 4/1.
Swanton Blue 6/1 6th
HAMILTON 6.35 Class 5 – 5 furlongs – 9 runners
GROUNDWORKER 100 either held up or tracks the leaders 5/1.
Salvatore Fury 98 could also track the leaders or be held up 11/1.
Compton River 97 looks the most likely pace setter 7/1.
Groundworker 5/1 5th
HAMILTON 7.05 Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 8 runners
PORTLAND STREET 100 could race prominent and finish strongly 8/1.
Portland Street 8/1 7th
4:55 York - Class 3 – 5 furlongs – 14 runners
Desert Law and Apricot Sky are joint 3rd top rated but the latter may be better over further and this race may not be run to suit it but it ought to be staying on at the finish but maybe too late. East Street Revue is 2nd top and can be held up or track the leaders and could be placed. MERRY BANTER 12/1 is top rated and this 3year old is the only natural front-runner in the race and if allowed to set the pace it could kick and be very hard to catch and to help their cause they are using a 7lb claiming apprentice who has previously ridden a winner for this stable so I'm hoping that's a positive pointer. And at the price, I will be going with an each way bet.
Merry Banter 14/1 8th
YORK 3.15 Group 3 – 6 furlongs – 16 runners
This looks a cracking race with a German trainer bringing over 2 horses for the race and 9 of the 16 runners are 3year olds who could still have improvement within themselves it looks a race to sit back and savour, I've not done any analysis of the race because I don't want to be tempted to bet but with so many possible unknowns I will not be betting in the race, so good luck if any of you fancy something and if so I would be happy for your comments on your ideas of the winner.
ASCOT 4.35 Class 3 – 6 furlongs – 11 runners
Moonraker a hold-up type is 3rd best it moves to the joint top with its apprentice's 5lb claim taken off but the trainer only has a 2% win rate here with his older horses and the jockey 1-16. Stellarta my 2nd top usually races prominently and likes the going to be fast BOY IN THE BAR 11/2 is a possible front runner and if getting to the front ought to prove to be hard to catch and the jockey riding today has a 27% win rate for the stable and 3-12 with the older horses so it looks a positive booking.
Boy In The Bar 6/1 6th
MUSSELBURGH 5.55 Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 12 runners
Harpers Ruby is the only known front-runner in the race but has shown very little lately but could be dangerous if allowed to set its own pace. Cheeni my 3rd top rated and its usually held up for a late run and could make the frame Thornaby Princess is my 2nd top despite looking as though a longer trip would suit it better so ought to stay on to make the frame.
SEE VERMONT 10/3 is my top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and the trainer has a 16% win rate here and the 5lb claiming apprentice jockey has ridden a winner before for the stable so it looks a positive booking.
See Vermont 4/1 3rd
CHEPSTOW 6.45 Class 5 – 5 furlongs – 8 runners
Swendab is joint 3rd top and 1 of 2 known front runners and could make the frame
Compton Poppy my 2nd top rated and this 3year old could still improve but needs to
QUANTUM DOT 10/3 is top rated and the other known front running type and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch, the trainer has a 36% win ratio with its older horses and the 3lb claiming apprentice has a 19% win rate for the stable so everything points to connections expecting a big run in this race.
Quantum Dot 9/2 3rd
MUSSELBURGH 7.25 Class 4 – 5 furlongs – 8 runners
Desert Ace 3rd best can be held up or track the leaders and could make the frame
Astrophysics 2nd best also can be held up or track the leaders SILVANUS 6/1 usually races just behind the leaders and they stays on strongly at the finish and the trainer has a decent 17% win ratio at this course and over 50% strike rate counting placed horses as well.
Silvanus 8/1 1st
CHEPSTOW 7.50 Class 4 Lady Riders – 6 furlongs – 10 runners
not usually a race I would pay much attention to but I might have found an edge, Gold Hunter is my top rated but the jockey has a poor 6-76 win ratio throughout her carreer but im not sure how good that is but it doesnt look anything special to me, topweight ATHASSEL 14/1 is being ridden by a 5lb claimer which moves it to top spot, the trainer has a 12% win rate here but the jockey is 2-11 in her whole career but both of her wins came for this trainer on the all weather but she is 0-5 for them on turf but im hoping its a positive booking but my stakes will be kept low in an each way wager.
Athassel 14/1 3rd
3:10 Carlisle - Class 4 – 5 furlongs – 8 runners
Not a great race for the class and only 2 have recorded times, Olivia Fallow can track the pace or be held up and there's a couple of possible pace setters for it to aim at but I've got HENLEY 13/2 as my top rated and this one usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey booking looks a positive as he's got a 19% win rate for the stable.
Henley NR
CARLISLE 3.45 Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 7 runners
Storm Cry 3/1 my 3rd top has 16% win rates for both the stable and the jockey so has to be considered Hamidans Girl 15/2 2nd top and this 3year old's trainer has a 15% win rated and is a hold up type Sea Of Green 16/1 another hold up type with single figure win stats for both trainer and jockey.
SUMMARY: I think the race should concern these 3 but it's all fairly tightly handicapped and I'm not confidently able to split them so I will look to back all 3 to show a profit whichever one wins but my stakes will be kept low and I wouldn't blame anyone who left this race well alone.
CARLISLE 4.20 Class 6 – 6 furlongs – 17 runners
Gaelic Wizard is my 5th top rated but the only known front runner so could be dangerous if allowed to set its own pace and then kick from the front and could make the frame.
Searanger and Caeser The Gaeser are my joint 3rd top rated and both are hold up types
Picks Pinta is 2nd top and ought to be staying on at the finish as it often looks as though a longer trip might help its cause. SALVATORE FURY 16/1 is top rated and the trainer has a 15% win ratio here and the 5lb claimer could swing things their way but with so many runners and plenty of inconsistent horses running my stakes will be kept low and only then if there's some value in the price which there is and I will go with a small each-way investment.
Salvatore Fury 16/1 10th
DONCASTER 3.55 Class 5 – 5 furlongs – 11 runners
Landing Night my 3rd best can be held up or track the leaders
Pearl Noir is well weighted in 2nd spot and is a versatile sort and could make the frame
RED ALERT 7/1 is in top spot and the one who I would think is the most likely leader and if getting to the front from stall 1 which isn't ideal it could prove hard to catch.
Red Alert NR
NEWMARKET 4.35 Class 2 – 5 furlongs – 16 runners
Foxy Forever is 4th top and 1 of 4 possible pace setters Tomily is 3rd top and usually races prominently and this 3-year-old could still improve further Shamshon is a hold up type and being my 2nd top rated it ought to be staying on well at the finish OH SO SASSY 25/1 nearly won for me 1st time out this year when beaten in a 3 way photo and it's been given a decent chance in this race and should have the fast pace it likes to aim at and the trainer has a 24% win rate here so it looks promising and at the price I have to back it each way.
Uh So Sassy 25/1 6th
EPSOM 8.50 Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 10 runners
Highland Acclaim 3rd top rated and can be prominent or held up and the jockey has a 23% win rate for this stable so could make the frame Farleight Mac is 2nd top and both the trainer and jockey have a 15% win ratio so looks a good combination here and another that looks expected to run well and a possible pacesetter. ASHPAN SAM 3/1 is my top rated and another possible front runner and it ought to be a good battle between my top 2 ratings and the trainer and jockey both have 1-4 records and could defy its 6lb penalty in this race coming out again before the official handicapper can re-assess it properly.
6:10 Bath - Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 12 runners
Not a very good race and I've no idea which horse/s will set the early pace and I've only got 2 runners with a time fast enough to register on my figures, Mostashreqah is the 2nd top rated of the pair but I think it might be better for a longer trip so this race might not be run to suit it, which leaves me with ASK THE GURU 11/1 who is rated 4lb superior and usually likes to track the leaders so ought to be able to cover any moves ahead of it and then stay on the stronger at the finish, the trainer is 1-14 with his older horses at this course and the 5lb claiming apprentice has only ridden for this stable once before which resulted in a victory so it looks a positive booking and I'm hoping it can be a winning combination again in this race and the price permits me to go with an each-way wager.
Ask the Guru 14/1 2nd
BATH 6.40 Class 4 – 5 furlongs – 7 runners
Trick Of The Light is 3rd top rated and usually tracks the leaders but needs to improve to win this Edged Out is 2nd top rated but the 5lb claiming apprentice moves it into top spot and she has ridden a winner from 5 previous rides for this stable and its 1 of 3 in the race that has led before but it won't get an easy lead in this race. SHACKLED N DRAWN 10/1 is top rated and will be tracking the leaders hoping to stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey has 3-12 strike rate for the stable so it looks another positive booking and the race could be run to suit its style it's a shame there's only 7 runners as with 3 places it would have been a decent each way bet.
Shackled N Drawn 16/1 6th
KEMPTON 8.55 Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 12 runners
This has the makings of a very nice race with 4 possible pace setters in stalls 5-8-10-11 and the stall 8 horse Showmethewayavrilo is one of my co-2nd top ratings along with Dutiful Son and Hackney Road, theres four 3year olds that could still improve especially the bottom weight who has won its last 2 starts on turf, the horse ive got well ckear is FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 50/1 but in this particular race im not sure if stall 4 is going to be of much use but it ran quite well on its last all weather run when 2nd at Lingfield, it then had a 2 month break and its had 4 runs on turf and now switched back to the all weather and im hoping thats a good sign, any bet will be kept on the low side and im hoping theres some value in the selections price else I will leave the race alone.
PS I never expected the price to be this big but it won't put me off from having an each way bet, I said my stakes will be kept low but it would still give a decent return.
Fairway To Heaven 50/1 10th
