Monday, 26 February 2018

4:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th February)

Horse Racing Tip
A poor class 7 race where only Blistering Dancer is known as a front runner, its been 2nd a couple of times but both at Southwell and I'm not sure this surface suits it,top rated is HEAD SPACE 33/1 but the trainer is 0-18 here and the apprentice jockey 0-4 which is off putting but i will have a stake of some level on it but I've noticed MAJOR ASSAULT 100/1 who wasn't in form with its 4 runs last year but this is a drop in class and the trainer has a 3-9 record at this course and the jockey is 2-3 for the stable so it looks like connections are expecting a big run here, the prices are a lot bigger than i expected but i will go with 2 small each way bets.
A poor effort for class 2 race with only 6 runners, I've halved the field and any of Reckless Endeavour, Dougan and Compas Scoobie i think could win but if Relektor gets an easy lead it could attempt to pinch the race from the front and its probably a race best left alone but the betting will be the final deciding factor.
An 8 runner 5 furlong dash with 5 of the runners having been known to lead before although a couple of them aren’t natural front runners so maybe wont try to lead here, Something Lucky who admittedly did its best in 2016 would need to spring back to form but that may be beyond it here but never say never, Big lachie could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade inside the final furlong but from stall 4 MIDNIGHTLY 12/1 ought to be able to get out quickly and gain control of the rails and then could be hard to catch and at the price there's a bit of insurance in being able to back it each way.

Saturday, 24 February 2018

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (24th February)

Lingfield Racing Tips
Encore D’Or is my 2nd top rated, usually tracks the leaders and stall 2 looks ideal for it to do just that and then stay on strongly.
Boom The Groom is quite versatile with its tactics and my 4th top rated but may make the frame here if others with faster times falter upped to this Listed class race.
Brother Tiger needs to improve time-wise and class-wise to get involved here but it is a front running type but then again stall 6 might not be ideal in the makeup of this race.
Gracious John has recorded the fastest time but it may struggle upped in class to catch those ahead of it but never say never.
Orvar another possible pacesetter but stall 8 isn't ideal, it hasn't any course form but it has gone fastish at Kempton but not at this Listed level.
Royal Birth is 3rd best here but has got the nearest stall to the rails of the known pace-setting types and could then be hard to catch.
Tomily may either want further or a slower surface and maybe both and this class looks a tough ask but has got an interesting jockey booking.
Karijini this one is in tip top form but this jump in class from a class 4 handicap on Wednesday is a big ask and i doubt it will pay off but has maybe earnt the right to have a go.
SUMMARY: Looking at the mix of class and speed I've narrowed it down to 3 runners as I'm not convinced the other 5 are quite Listed class horses but I'm not sure i dare lay anything in this race, Boom The Groom would be my 3rd choice and may need some luck from stall 1 if it doesn't get the lead right from the off, ENCORE D’OR 8/1 is my 2nd top rated and stall 2 should be ideal for a horse that likes to track the pace but needs trouble free run to catch ROYAL BIRTH 7/1 who i think has every chance here from stall 4 getting to the front and gaining control of the rails and it could then kick and steal the race from the front but i have to go with backing them both to cover both angles of a front runner and a finishing type.

Encore D'Or 8/1 2nd
Royal Birth 7/1 5th
Too many with nothing to write about so will mention the 2 I'm interested in, firstly its got to be BILLYOAKES 15/2 who has a positive looking jockey booking the other one is WEDGEWOOD ESTATES 15/2 who did its best time in 2016 but only ran once over this c/d in 2017 so if it retains that level of form must have a cracking chance and i will back them both, another with good speed figures is Prazeres who is my 3rd top rated and the trainers poor record of 1-50 here puts me off its chances, Whispering Soul is well weighted but this trainer only has a 3% win rate here so another I'm not enthused about but my stakes will be kept low in this race.

Billyoakes 15/2 2nd
Wedgewood Estates 14/1 5th

Friday, 23 February 2018

2:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (23rd February)

Photo of Lingfield racecourse
This definitely isn't a race to get too heavily involved in with betting stakes it is a pretty poor race even for class 6 and any one of 6 are capable of winning here, Krazy Paving and Porto Ferro are 5th and 6th top rated and both look to prefer different surface to this one so maybe they could make the frame but maybe not the win, Wild Flower is joint 3rd top rated but gets its stamina stretched at this distance if there's a fast early pace, NOBLE DEED 9/2 is the other 3rd top rated and this one did an even better time in 2016 and a repeat of that time would see it win quite easily, it showed a return to form last time out when 3rd and is weighted to reverse the form with Krazy Paving in that race,Aragon Knight is 2nd top but this one may find the trip too far if there's a fast early pace, which leaves NAGS WAG 33/1 at the top of my list, this one can either track the leaders or be held up for a late run and if it gets the required clear run from stall 4 it must have a chance of winning here but i will go with the 2 selections in case Noble Deed finds its form from 2 years ago.

Noble Deed 10/1 7th
Nag's Wag 33/1 Unp
This race is so bad I very nearly left it alone but I might have found the solution to the race in the shape of AMBITIOUS BOY 5/1 who won last time out over this course and distance in a class 6 race and its now dropped into a class 7 race, its also an apprentice jockeys race which always puts me on the back foot but it is being ridden by one of the more experienced jockeys in the race and I'm hoping it can get a clear run from stall 3 to follow up here but I wont be betting too heavily or not at all if its too short in the betting.

Ambitious Boy 14/1 Unp

Who Will Win the Grand National 2018?

Who Will Win the Grand National 2018?
What a question to ask at this time of year?  Who will be the winner of the Grand National? 

Saying that, there are plenty of opinions when it comes the the most famous steeplechase of them all. Aintree racecourse is the venue of this exciting race run over 4 miles 2 and half furlongs. Two laps, 30 fences, a grueling test of horse and jockey. The most valuable jumps race in Europe with prize money worth over £1m. This race is known as the housewife's favourite tempting those who rarely bet to have a flutter. If betting, makes sure you take the price because the bookmakers love to shorten the odds just before race start! Make the most of free bets of Grand National.

So, which horse catches your eye? Or, perhaps more importantly at this time, which horses are fancied to win the Randox Health Grand National?

We know it's a tough race to win.

A few basic pointers. In recent years the Grand National winner has been aged from 8 – 10 years of age. Most have raced at least ten times have proven best. As far as the ideal weight it's 11st 3lb. That information may help detail a few fancies.
So which horses are making our shortlist?


Nigel Twiston-Davies' nine-year-old bay gelding has been earmarked for the Gold Cup so we are talking about a class performer. This son Kafy Tara was made favourite to win the National in 2017. In fact, he looked like the winner when going strongly four fences from home but tired in the closing stages to finish a respectable fourth, beaten less than nine lengths. Many punters are crossing their fingers the ground is faster on the day although Blaklion is a little higher in the weights. This 12/1 shot, at the time of writing, could well be backed and holds each-way claims.

Ante-post betting on the Grand National

The great thing about betting ante-post is that you can really hit the jackpot with huge odds. Five horses have won the Grand National at odds of 100/1. Imagine the price of, let's say, 2009 winner Mon Mone (must have been 200/1+). Taking a look at the betting for 2018 Grand National ante-post odds Blaklion's betting ranges from 10/1 – 14/1 so it proves the worth of checking for the best prices. Another example, Abolitionist is 20/1 with most bookies but 40/1 with Coral.

Definitely Red

Was priced 10/1 to win last year's National. However, Brian Ellison's nine-year-old chestnut gelding had a disastrous race. He was badly hampered on the first circuit at Becher's Brook and never recovered. Definitely Red has won his last two races in good style but burdened by a higher weight in this year's Grand National. With odds of 20/1, bookmakers may feel he holds a chance but still has something to prove.

The Last Samuri

Another horse who needs little introduction when it comes to the National. Kim Bailey has always been keen on the chestnut gelding although he didn't live up to expectation in 2017 when a drifter in the betting at 16/1 and finishing 16th place. Punters will remember how he battled hard in 2016 when beaten by Rule The World. At 25/1 for this year's contest, The Last Samuri could be a surprise package if on a going day.

Taking a look at the betting: Blaklion 10/1, Total Recall 10/1, Cause Of Causes 20/1, Definitely Red 20/1, Gold Present 20/1, Minella Rocco 201, The Last Samuri 25/1, Anibale Fly 25/1, Gas Line Boy 33/1, Noble Endeavor 33/1, Vicente.

An excellent race for ante-post backers. Blaklion looks a fair each-way bet and one for ante-post fans.

Thursday, 22 February 2018

3:45 Southwell Racing Tips (22nd February)

Southwell Racecourse
FOOLAAD 11/8 has won its last 3 races over this course and distance and is my top rated again, its usually tracks the pace and its got stall 3 next door to where i think the pacemaker is berthed so could get a good tow into the race, the price isn't great but i cannot back anything else even looking for value so added to a multiple bet might be best.
Harry Hurricane could be a possible danger but the trainers 0-9 here puts me off and i think its out to gain fitness for an early tilt when back on turf and a lay in my eyes.
Poyle Vinnie is 3rd top rated but needs to improve a few spots to win this unless others falter but i think it will run a fair race but maybe not enough to win.
Erissmus Maximus has only produced slowish times here but the trainer has a 16% win rate here and the jockey is 4-10 for this stable but i think its another that's out to gain fitness for a turf campaign and i would lay if the price is low.
Ascot Days hasn't any c/d form and I don't think this surface suits it and maybe a longer distance is better but the trainer has a 47% win rate here and the jockey is 22% wins for the stable but i will stick with facts and leave it alone or lay it if of value.
Captain Lars is 2nd top rated on my figures and is versatile with what racing tactics it deploys and it ought to be near the front at the finish if running to its best.
Archimedes has relatively slow times, the jockey is 0-5 for this stable but it is a front running type and the most likely pace setter in the race but I'm doubtful it can stay there for the duration and i would look to lay especially if it shortened in running.

Foolaad 11/8 1st
I'm not always a fan of apprentice races and i wont be betting very heavily in this one although there is a couple i will look to lay if they are of any value, I'm going to mention my top 4 in this race, Roy's Legacy is a possible pace setter and there's only 2 others in the race but it will need others to falter to win but there's no guarantees in this race so it could be dangerous,Strictly Carter has a time from 2016 that would see it in the mix, Pospsilca led last time out and from stall 2 will i think attempt to lead again here but the trainer is 0-20 at this course and the jockey is 1-26 which sure doesn't inspire any confidence, my selection is MIGHTY ZIP 5/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so a fast early pace may play into its hands and from stall 7 it could follow Roy's Legacy across to the rails and then prove the stronger.

Mighty Zip 11/1 8th
Only 6 runners but a tricky looking race where I've got conflicting form, speed and trainer/jockey stats with all of them, I've got Very Honest and Pulsating as my top 2 on times and both of them have decent stats but The Lacemaker who i thought might need this run for fitness and also a longer trip has a 17% winning trainer here and the jockey is a cracking 4-10 when riding for this stable which makes me think I've missed something, the betting will be my final decider but i may well leave this race alone. Well 15/8 favourite and 9/4 2nd favourite isn't anything less than i expected and at the odds i will probably go with small stake trebles on my 3 races.

Tuesday, 20 February 2018

8:15 Kempton Racing (21st February)

Kempton racing tips
Lightning Charlie time wise not in my top four but it has got the best of the draw of the four known front runners, it could make the frame but I'm doubtful on the win part.
Doc Sportello hasn't any course form but was slow in its Lingfield runs so maybe this surface doesn't suit it and another I doubt can win here.
Little Palaver hasn't an recent course form, a time from 2015 would see it close to making the frame, it has been known to lead and win after a break and reasonable trainer/jockey stats.
Karinji has got great trainer/jockey stats plus its a possible pace setter and its Lingfield times have it near the top, its never ran here but dangerous if taking to this track.
Tundra god decent trainer/jockey stats but no recent course form its 2016 time could see it make the frame but it may need further to shine.
Vimy Ridge is 2nd top rated on a time last year can be held up or track the leaders but may need some luck from stall 4 in the makeup of this race.
Union Rose has poor trainer stats, the jockey is having his 1st ride for the stable but looks a better horse over a shorter trip.
Higher Court also has a jockey making his debut for the stable but this one is my top rated, its won its last 3 races and is a progressing horse plus its a front running type and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch for the 4th time in a row.
Classic Pursuit has only produced relatively slow times but it has got stall 1 but that may not be ideal in this race, even with a clear run i doubt it can win.
SUMMARY: I've marked 4 of the 9 runners as possible lays, if there's any value in laying them, the other 5 all have some positives in their chances of winning, if my 2 top rated run their races then Little Palaver, Karinji and Tundra will be battling to make the frame but Karinji has got exceptional stats for both the trainer 30% win rate and jockey 35% win rate so could be the one to fill 3rd spot, Vimy Ridge is 2nd top but the jockey is 0-9 for the stable which puts me off a little bit whilst my top rated HIGHER COURT 5/1 has won its last 3 races and up in class again here but merits the opportunity and being a possible front runner it shouldn't encounter too much traffic problems but it is a race where my stakes will be kept low for backing the selection but maybe a value lay would be the call in this race, so I'm waiting to see the betting.

Who Will You Get in your Grand National Sweepstake?

Nothing quite beats a day at the races – the refined atmosphere, the excited cheering of the crowds and the thrills of watching that one horse you believe in power across the finish line. That last one is particularly incredible if you’ve been indulging in a spot of Grand National 2018 betting and get to see a sweet, sweet return on that flutter.

As not everyone will be spending their day in Aintree at the track, some people are going to be either betting online or just stuck at work. This doesn’t mean you can’t get in on the fun of the game – all you have to do is print out the below sweepstake kit and get some of your friends or colleagues to join in the fun!

First is a rules card so everyone knows how to play, a race card showing 40 of the likely candidates for the race, and a page full of betting slips that you can slice up and allocate so everyone can have a go.

As you can see on the race card, Blaklion is currently the 10/1 favourite with Betfair having been in excellent form, which included winning at Aintree back in December. However, he isn’t expected to have it all his own way as Minella Rocco (14/1), The Last Samurai (16/1), Definitely Red (16/1) and Total Recall (16/1) all closely follow:

After printing off the race card you’ll need to print off the following bet slips to share around the office and stake some chocolate or sweets!

Best of luck with both your selection and horse on the day. And most importantly… enjoy the 2018 Grand National wherever you are watching it!

7:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th February)

Anonymous John has only slow times for a front runner, poor trainer/jockey stats so a lay.
Hamish McGonagain 0-16 jockey record but only 4lb below 2nd top rated.
Desert Fox 2nd top rated stays on at this trip and place claims.
The Amber Fort may prefer further and slow times at this trip so lay.
Indian Affair front running type, 1 of 3, but only 6th fastest so may not last.
Something Lucky may find this trip too far and one i would lay.
Kinglami hasnt won at this distance on the all weather and may need further, lay.
Spirit Of Wedza the 3rd possible pace setter and my top rated.
Berlios not in my top 4 ratings but got a good draw and a decent time this year.
Newstead Abbey my 3rd top rated usually tracks the leaders and good jockey booking.
Pushkin Museum well weighted and 4th top rated so could possibly make the frame.
Jack Blane only won in slow time c/d, and poor jockeys stats, so lay.
SUMMARY: I've marked 5 down as possible lays and its quite close, only 5lbs between 7th top and 2nd top, so any of them could make the frame, there's 3 known front runners in the race, Indian Affair is in stall 6 but needs to improve a few spots to win this but never say never if it can set its own pace, Anonymous John may not be quick enough to lead here and then stall 10 isn't any help especially with the selection, SPIRIT OF WEDZA 14/1, usually getting away quickly and stalled next door in stall 11 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove hard to catch and at the price i will be having an each way wager.

Spirit Of Wedza 14/1 5th

Saturday, 17 February 2018

3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (17th February)

Do you know this racecourse?
This class 4 race with 9 runners can be split into 3 lays and 6 that could win the race, 6 of them have also led before but 2 of them are also on my lay list, so Just That Lord, Waseem Faris, Brother Tiger and Zipedeedodah could all try to lead all the way with Arzaak and Dynamo Walt trying to run on and catch them, i cannot split the 6 and it may be a race best left alone or if its possible to dutch all of them and still make a reasonable profit then that will be the way i will go in this tricky race.
Theres 8 runners here and 3 of them have been known to lead and 3 that have negatives against their name and look possible lays depending on value but none of them are front runners Relektor is 3rd top rated just 1 spot below Make Music so these 2 front runners should make sure there's a fast early pace but my top rated is KASBAH 8/1 who has been on my radar a couple of times when it made the frame but didn't win but this looks an easier opportunity and it will have a nice pace to aim at here and the race looks likely be run to suit its style.

Kasbah 8/1 4th
I hope Major Valentine and Bahamian Heights will battle for the lead here to ensure a fast early pace and the former may do best of the pair being 5th best on my figures and could make the frame if allowed to dictate its own early and then try to pinch the race by kicking off the bend, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses with Big Lachie, but this one is being ridden by a jockey with a 0-15 record for the stable and may prefer a longer trip, and the top weight Born To Finish who is a hold up type and could easily make the frame if getting a clear passage, my top rated is PULSATING 5/2 who can be held up or track the leaders, its stall 12 draw isn't ideal but the cutaway at this course does help horses coming from off the pace, or track the leaders, the trainer has a 32% win rate at this course and the jockey has a 21% win rate for the stable which hopefully is 2 big pointers to the connections expecting a big run in this race.

Pulsating 6/1 6th

Friday, 16 February 2018

6:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (16th February)

Newcastle racing tips
I've got Winforpower 10/1 as my top rated but lately all its wins have come in class 6 races although it did run fairly well last time out not being beaten too far in 6th spot but i cant discard my top rated so I will have a stake of some level on this beast and hope this race goes its way, Big Lachie 4/1 is 2nd top rated and it could go well here, Semana Santa 9/1 recorded a time in 2016 that would see it involved in the finish but it may prefer further and this race is devoid of early paced types so may not be run to suit it, the top weight Economic Crisis 22/1 could also get involved in the finish but it is 0-9 on all-weather tracks, I think it will be a case of dutching the 4 I've mentioned but to small stakes.
A class 4 race but I've got negatives against 5 of the 11 runners, 4 that could have some degree of a chance but my top 2 are Oriental Relation 33/1 who is a potential front runner here and on this straight course the draw makes no difference so stall 9 is just fine but its best time does come from Wolverhampton as it hasn't run over this course and distance, Mishaal 12/1 is my 3rd top rated and another possible pace setter and drawn next door in stall 8, my other one in my top 2 is Athollblair Boy 7/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and from stall 10 it could get a good tow into this race, Duke Cosimo has got a chance of making the frame and the top weight Sandras Secret could be a bit of a hidden danger giving weight to lesser horses and its a very versatile type when it comes to racing tactics but I wont be betting too heavily here and will go with backing all 3 to hopefully make a profit.
This a very poor race and i will be surprised if any of the 6 lower weights can win this race but with no guaranteed pace setter in the race it could turn in a 2 furlong scramble for the line, Breathoffreshair 7/2 is my top rated but the jockey is 0-32 for this stable, Picks Pinta 7/1 did its best time on this surface at Wolverhampton and should go well on this straight course, Hadley 11/1 always looks as further would suit it better so may not get the race run to suit its style, Alfonso Manana 20/1 also did it best time at Wolverhampton, I think dutching these 4 should find the winner but my stakes will be kept low.
PS: I've only highlighted instead of capitalising anything of interest today as its tough to be too confident what will win and dutching them is the only way i will be betting and small stakes in all 3 races.