Wednesday, 31 August 2016

9:10 Chelmsford (1st September) FOLLOW @CHELMSFORDCRC ON TWITTER HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65) Winner £3,235 14 runners 6f Standard ATR

(FREEBIE) - Not a very good race and the majority have had none or only one run at this course so could be virtually anything and therefore possible dangers so stakes will be low. One I do think could definitely be a danger is the handicap debutante Vale Of Flight, I've got no idea which horse will set the early pace which doesn't help get a concept of how the race might be run, I've got Honcho a hold up type down as third best but stall fourteen isn't ideal, Encapsulated is second top rated and stall five is okay but top rated by a few spots is SWISS CROSS 8/1 who at nine years old is still capable of winning races which it did last time out and I quite expect a repeat here where it's giving weight to inferior rivals and they have employed a good three pound claiming apprentice to help their cause.

Idaho heads 25 confirmations for St Leger

With the St Leger at Doncaster now just a matter of weeks away, 25 confirmations for the famous meeting have been made, with champion trainer Aidan O’Brien entering a total of ten candidates from his Ballydoyle facility in Ireland. As the overwhelming favourite among many bookmakers, recent Great Voltigeur Stakes winner Idaho is once again set to be the horse to beat. The race at York is traditionally a strong trial run for events at Doncaster, with the three-year-old showing his substantial credentials with a comfortable victory. Having already seen off the threat of stablemate Housesofparliament, it could well be another battle between the duo for the St Leger spoils.

Idaho is currently the even money favourite with bookmakers Betway, whilst Housesofparliament is further back in the horse racing betting odds at 10/1. O’Brien certainly isn’t holding back this year, with Sword Fighter, Somehow and Pretty Perfect also in the reckoning for the Ballydoyle team. The trio are currently at 14/1, 33/1 and 40/1 respectively at Betway. However, for those of you who fancy a bet on the horses away from O’Brien’s contenders, John Gosden trained Wings of Desire could well be worth backing. Having won in the Dante Stakes at York this year, in what was just his third appearance, the three-year-old is offered favourable odds of 10/1 at Betway.

Elsewhere, jockey Ryan Moore made a winning return to action at Newmarket last week, successfully seeing favourite Spatial home in comfortable fashion. Moore is likely to be a busy man in the season run-in, with Champions Weekend in Ireland, the Arc meeting in Paris, Champions Day at Ascot and the Breeders’ Cup in California all likely events for the champion jockey. The 32-year-old has been absent since Glorious Goodwood due to a non-specified injury, with his last competitive ride being for Aidan O’Brien on Alice Springs in the Prix Rothschild at Deauville on July 31st.

With the Irish St Leger set to take place at Curragh just a day after events in Doncaster, Order of St George is unsurprisingly the overwhelming favourite at Betway, with the former Ascot Gold Cup winner at odds of just 1/3 on. Bondi Beach and Big Orange look set to provide competition for the title however, with O’Brien once again set to dominate proceedings.

Tuesday, 30 August 2016

4:45 Carlisle Winning Racing Tips (31st Aug) APOLLOBET DAILY RACING REFUNDS APPRENTICE HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

(FREEBIE) - A 3yo+ 0-65 rated handicap on good going. An apprentice handicap. I've marked down four of the thirteen runners as possible pace setters in this race but three of them haven't returned fast times so would be happy to lead but would want to set their own slightly slower pace but BRONZE BEAU 25/1 likes to lead and comes out second top rated which means most of the field might not be able to get anywhere near the front at anytime during the race and most of those from third top rated and below have some negatives against their names which leaves me with just NOODLES BLUE BOY 8/1 as the other selection and this one is versatile with its racing style and can lead or be held up and on its day would have every chance here but being an apprentices race stakes will be kept on the low side so will go with backing them both each way as if either does the business it shows a profit.

Monday, 29 August 2016

4:45 Goodwood Winning Racing Tips (30th August) GOODWOOD REVIVAL STAKES (Handicap) (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

(FREEBIE) - Upstaging looks the most likely leader but only fourth of the seven on my figuresYeeoow who has flattered to deceive quite a few times recently and hasn't won on turf since May 2015 but is my third top rated, Divine Call who prefers good ground rather than good to firm to show its best and still comes out second top and only two pounds below GUNG HO JACK 6/1 my top rated who has only had two runs this year both in July and both on the all-weather so hopefully now its fit and ready to reproduce its best for victory here but it could be a strangely run race and stakes will be kept on the low side.

Sunday, 28 August 2016

2:35 Chepstow Winning Racing Tips (29th August) OAKGROVE STUD SUPPORTS LATCH WALES HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-85)

(FREEBIE)  - Of the ten runners there's four that have led before and it looks like it will be a fast run affair, Pixeleen can lead but usually only when nothing else wants to so it probably won't get to the front from stall three and then if it's a fast pace it may find the trip stretched its stamina limits but it does come out joint second top, Munfallet is the other joint second top and stall eight is to its advantage and must have a decent chance as it's only one pound behind the top rated Vincentti who usually races prominently but may well need a degree of luck from stall two to gain a clear passage. Sydney Ruffdiamond isn't in my top five and may find this distance a bit too far and I would look to lay it if priced in single figures, Bonjour Steve would also be a lay if the going was good or firmer as it does seem to prefer some cut in the ground.

SUMMARY: I think that MUNFALLET 12/1 is the most likely leader from stall eight and then could prove hard to catch and at the price I will have to back it each way but VINCENTTI 8/1 has done a faster time but only comes out one pound superior at the weights and I would have to back them both to show a profit whichever one wins but firstly the ground needs to have dried out to at least good before I will be having a bet and that looks very doubtful but I'm forever the optimist.

Friday, 26 August 2016

7:35 Windsor Winning Racing Tips (27th Aug) NORTH FARM STUD HOME OF HEROS CHARITY HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

(FREEBIE) This race would be a nice one if I knew where the early pace was going to come from, the bottom three don't look like the likely winners, Joe packet is third top rated from a time recorded last year at Salisbury, second top is the three-year-old Inclination who usually races prominently and its best time was recorded at this course and distance which also applies to FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 100/30 and it's dropped down in class here from its two runs this year and it can be held up or track the leaders and I'm hoping the race doesn't become tactical and my theories are made to look all wrong.

Thursday, 25 August 2016

8:00 Hamilton Winning Racing Tips (25th Aug) DOWNLOAD THE LADBROKES APP HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

(FREEBIE) - Knockamany Bends looks the most likely leader and the race won't take the world of winning but I have got five runners that have done better times but any horse that gets an uncontested lead is always dangerous, Chookies Lass my fifth top rated and Amber Crystal my fourth top rated both look like they do better over a longer trip but the former does move from fifth to third when you take off the apprentices allowance, Indastar did a time in 2015 that puts it third top but hasn't been able to repeat that time since, Rock Canyon is second top rated but this one might not want the ground to be too firm, top spot goes to Mystical King who has another chance to break its maiden tag but after twenty-three attempts is this a horse that will finish close in a fast time and then do the same in a slowly run race, I think therefore I have to go with backing both MYSTICAL KING each way at 33/1 and my top rated and ROCK CANYON 9/4 my second top rated but only if the going is good, as usual, any soft in the going and all bets are off. 

Wednesday, 24 August 2016

7:15 Wolverhampton Winning Racing Tips (25th Aug) GREENHOUS DAF WOLVERHAMPTON HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

(FREEBIE) -This race looks likely to be better for doing lay bets than win bets so any stakes will be kept on the low side, State Of The Union and Sir Geoffrey have been known to lead before but what links these two together is that they are both better horses over a shorter trip so if they both try to set a slow pace up front they might battle too hard and blow away both of thems chances, Honcho has also led before but this one looks to be a better horse on a slower surface which could mean three horses battling to make it a slowly run race and defeating the objective, Arlecchinos Rock is third top but still a maiden after thirteen runs, Jack The laird is my second top rated despite looking to need further to show its best and yet my top rated SERAPHIMA 25/1 hasn't done much so far this year but all of its runs have been over five furlongs and this step back up to six furlongs might be just what it needs to spring back to form and from its best time it is very well handicapped in this race and an each way price.

Tuesday, 23 August 2016

4:55 Catterick Winning racing Tips (24th Aug) BETFRED MOBILE HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

(FREEBIE) - A ten-strong field for this 0-75 handicap on soft going so the ground needs to dry for Eric to be interested here. This contest over 5f is open to horses aged three-year-old and older. Looks an open contest with Seamster heading the market. Four of these runners have led before but Bahango may prefer a slower surface and Culloden may not want it to be on the firm side, Innocently is fourth top and Captain Dunne is second top which looks like it being a fast early pace, Danzeb is third top rated who can either be held up or track the leaders but top spot goes to PERFECT WORDS 12/1 who prefers to be prominent without actually leading and stall three should be fine and will then try to stay on strongly at the finish and it did record its best time over this course and distance and another that's big enough in price for me to go with an each way bet.

Yes, a change of photo to reflect a hot, sunny day. 

Monday, 22 August 2016

4:00 Yarmouth Winning Racing Tips (23rd August) TOTETRIFECTA HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

(FREEBIE) - A 0-75 rated handicap for three-year-old and older. Keep an eye on the going which is at present described at good. [No bet if there is soft in the description]. Eric is betting against the hot favourite Lapilli who was held in very high regard by William Haggas at two. Only six runners but not as easy to solve as I first thought, Fine n Dandy is the only known front runner but only fourth best on times, the topweight Lapilli is a three year old that could be a possible danger, INDIAN TINKER 5/1 starts off as second top but a five pound claiming apprentice moves it above the original top rated NOBLE ACT 10/3 and I have these two a few pounds ahead of the others and the top weight would have to show dramatic improvement to win this so I can only go with backing both to show a profit whichever one wins.