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Monday 19 August 2019

4:45 Lingfield (19th August) Dutiful Son 50/1 Could Spring A Surprise


A very strange race with only 5 of the 12 runners having a recorded time add in 3 that have been known to lead before, so it should be a true run race for its class, but none of these 3 are in my 5 with recorded times, the bottom weight PRINCE ROCK 6/1 has a time from Chelmsford last year that would make it my my top rated the fact its a maiden after 16 races doesn't bode well for its chances, my top rated on c/d times is DUTIFUL SON 50/1 who recorded it last year but hasn't been anywhere near that level so far this year but this is a dropped in class and hopefully that will bring about a revival in form and at the price I cannot let it run without a few quid on it, I will be backing them both in this race. 

Prince Rock 7/1 3rd 
Dutiful Son 50/1 Unp


This looks a much better race again there's 3 known pacesetters in the race but this time these 3 are all in my top 4 ratings, Ask The Guru can lead and it's my 4th top-rated in stall 4, Flowing Clarets who hasn't shown much so far this year is 3rd top using its best 2018 time and could be the one to prosper if they cut each others throats vying for the lead, the topweight BROGAN'S BAY 6/1 is in stall 6 and my 2nd top-rated but could find itself 3 deep going round the bends as my top rated is SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 6/1 who being housed in stall 1 can get out quickly and gain control on the rails and then kick on entering the home straight and hopefully repel any late challengers. 

Sandsfrankskipsgo 6/1 4th 
Brogan's Bay 6/1 Unp 

WINDSOR 6.30 (7.5) 

I do hope the going is ok for this race but I doubt it so just a quick note about my top 3 just in case it does dry out in time, Harry Hurricane has to overcome a losing run of 31 which is quite off-putting but is capable of on a going day plus there's conflicting trainer/jockey stats which makes it hard to know what to expect from it in this race, Jack The Truth could be the one to set the pace and with an easy lead may well do enough to hold on and I will be backing both of the 2 mentioned but my stakes will be tilted in the favour of my 3rd bet, LOOK SURPRISED 9/2 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here, it likes to track the leaders and they stay on the stronger at the finish and should get a good tow into the race being drawn next door to the likely leader.

Look Surprised 9/2 2nd

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