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Showing posts with label Prince Rock. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Prince Rock. Show all posts

Thursday, 31 October 2019

4:40 Kempton - Winning Horse Racing Tips (31st October)


KEMPTON 4.40 

This class 7 race is pretty bad even for its level, over half the field have losing runs in double figures and theres only one known front runner who isnt well drawn in stall 11 and its overall times have been slow even for this level so any stakes will have to be kept low, delving as deep as I can I think I can narrow the race down to four that have at some point or another gone fast enough to register on my speed figures, Jaganory is on a losing run of 14 and is still a maiden after 10 runs on the AW tracks and I had to go back to 2014 to find a recorded time, dont worry too much about the negatives because those not mentioned have even less going for them, Drop Kick Murphi is also an AW maiden after 10 attempts and its best time came from Lingfield in 2018, the topweight Hollander is top rated on 2019 c/d times but it is a bit below what the other 3 have achieved but being a recent time that has to be a bonus, the one that I will be backing is the 3yo *PRINCE ROCK 10/3 who is a maiden after 23 runs and 16 of them have been on AW surfaces and the apprentices 7lb claim could swing things even more in its favour. 

* NR

KEMPTON 8.10

The jump up to the dizzy heights of a class 6 race but only half of the 12 runners have times fast enough to register on my figures, there are 4 runners that have been known to lead before and one of them is MONT KIARA 12/1 who is drawn in stall 1 so I'm hoping it will gain control of the rails and either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and then prove hard to catch, my 2nd top-rated is The Lacemaker who is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics but it might not be able to lead from stall 5 in the make-up of this race but it could still run a big race here if getting a clear run, *PAPA DELTA 4/1 is only 3rd top-rated on this years c/d times but if it can repeat its best time from Chelmsford it would be winning cosily but I can't see any other option than backing them both to cover the frontrunning and the fast-finishing angles.

Mont Kiara 14/1 9th 
* NR

Monday, 19 August 2019

4:45 Lingfield (19th August) Dutiful Son 50/1 Could Spring A Surprise


LINGFIELD 4.45 

A very strange race with only 5 of the 12 runners having a recorded time add in 3 that have been known to lead before, so it should be a true run race for its class, but none of these 3 are in my 5 with recorded times, the bottom weight PRINCE ROCK 6/1 has a time from Chelmsford last year that would make it my my top rated the fact its a maiden after 16 races doesn't bode well for its chances, my top rated on c/d times is DUTIFUL SON 50/1 who recorded it last year but hasn't been anywhere near that level so far this year but this is a dropped in class and hopefully that will bring about a revival in form and at the price I cannot let it run without a few quid on it, I will be backing them both in this race. 

Prince Rock 7/1 3rd 
Dutiful Son 50/1 Unp

LINGFIELD 5.15 

This looks a much better race again there's 3 known pacesetters in the race but this time these 3 are all in my top 4 ratings, Ask The Guru can lead and it's my 4th top-rated in stall 4, Flowing Clarets who hasn't shown much so far this year is 3rd top using its best 2018 time and could be the one to prosper if they cut each others throats vying for the lead, the topweight BROGAN'S BAY 6/1 is in stall 6 and my 2nd top-rated but could find itself 3 deep going round the bends as my top rated is SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 6/1 who being housed in stall 1 can get out quickly and gain control on the rails and then kick on entering the home straight and hopefully repel any late challengers. 

Sandsfrankskipsgo 6/1 4th 
Brogan's Bay 6/1 Unp 

WINDSOR 6.30 (7.5) 

I do hope the going is ok for this race but I doubt it so just a quick note about my top 3 just in case it does dry out in time, Harry Hurricane has to overcome a losing run of 31 which is quite off-putting but is capable of on a going day plus there's conflicting trainer/jockey stats which makes it hard to know what to expect from it in this race, Jack The Truth could be the one to set the pace and with an easy lead may well do enough to hold on and I will be backing both of the 2 mentioned but my stakes will be tilted in the favour of my 3rd bet, LOOK SURPRISED 9/2 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here, it likes to track the leaders and they stay on the stronger at the finish and should get a good tow into the race being drawn next door to the likely leader.

Look Surprised 9/2 2nd