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Friday, 6 December 2019

5:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (6th December)

NEWCASTLE 5.00 

EL HOMBRE could make the frame but needs to improve to win the race so a lay.

GLENAMOY LAD has poor recent form and a lay if value.

HEATH CHARNOCK not sure? it will like this surface so not sure what to think.

BRUSHWORK 2 runs = 2 wins and my joint 2nd top-rated.

BIG LES won last time out and could follow up here 10/1.

FENDALE this one may struggle to stay the trip so a lay.

SHALLOW HAL joint 2nd top but not been in good form recently.

DOC SPORTELLO on an old-time could go well here and a good jockey booking.

COMMANDER HAL has a good jockey booking but no form at this c/d.

HOWZER BLACK 0-3 on the AW but 3 places but debut here.

PRIMOS COMET a fairly consistent horse but better at shorter trips so a lay.

GLORIOUS CHARMER debut on this course but maybe better at 5 furlongs I could lay it.

KUPA RIVER could set the pace and maybe do enough to make the frame.

BLACK FRIDAY is o-4 on the AW and may need further to shine so a lay here.

SUMMARY: A tricky race so I will be dutching 3 horses, BRUSHWORK 2/1, BIG LES 10/1 and DOC SPORTELLO 20/1 the former is a possible pacesetter while the other pair will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and quite good value to back the 2/1 favourite and then do 2 each way bets on the other pair.

Brushwork 13/2 1st 
Doc Sportello 25/1 Unp
Big Les 10/1 Unp 

NEWCASTLE 7.00

UNCLE CHARLIE may prefer further so one to lay.

BROUGHTON EXCELS this one may not like this surface so a lay.

DAHIK a possible frontrunner and it is its debut on this surface.

MI CAPRICHO hasn't any distance form on the AW but may need further so a lay for me 

ELEUTHERA I'm not sure it will like this surface but not sure enough to lay it.

KOMMANDER KIRKUP will need to improve timewise to win but could go well.

I KNOW HOW has a slow time at this c/d and maybe it doesn't like this surface so a lay.

AQUARIUS a possible leader and could do enough to at least make the frame.

THE GREY ZEBEDEE another I would look to lay as this distance looks too far for it.

JEFFREY HARRIS my 4th top-rated so could go well here and has been in good form.

HERRINGSWELL will be running on at the finish and is top of my list plus has good stats.

MUTABAAHY 3rd top rated on c/d times, it is top if using a Wolverhampton time but out of form.

MARCO LEE has only a slow c/d time and looks better over shorter trips so a lay.

BILLY WEDGE looks as though further would suit it better so a lay.

SUMMARY: I'm hoping with early pace coming from stalls 9 and 14 my selection HERRINGSWELL 6/1 will get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger and the apprentice's allowance could swing things even more in its favour.

Herringswell 8/1 1st 

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