5:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (6th December)

NEWCASTLE 5.00 

EL HOMBRE could make the frame but needs to improve to win the race so a lay.

GLENAMOY LAD has poor recent form and a lay if value.

HEATH CHARNOCK not sure? it will like this surface so not sure what to think.

BRUSHWORK 2 runs = 2 wins and my joint 2nd top-rated.

BIG LES won last time out and could follow up here 10/1.

FENDALE this one may struggle to stay the trip so a lay.

SHALLOW HAL joint 2nd top but not been in good form recently.

DOC SPORTELLO on an old-time could go well here and a good jockey booking.

COMMANDER HAL has a good jockey booking but no form at this c/d.

HOWZER BLACK 0-3 on the AW but 3 places but debut here.

PRIMOS COMET a fairly consistent horse but better at shorter trips so a lay.

GLORIOUS CHARMER debut on this course but maybe better at 5 furlongs I could lay it.

KUPA RIVER could set the pace and maybe do enough to make the frame.

BLACK FRIDAY is o-4 on the AW and may need further to shine so a lay here.

SUMMARY: A tricky race so I will be dutching 3 horses, BRUSHWORK 2/1, BIG LES 10/1 and DOC SPORTELLO 20/1 the former is a possible pacesetter while the other pair will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and quite good value to back the 2/1 favourite and then do 2 each way bets on the other pair.

Brushwork 13/2 1st 
Doc Sportello 25/1 Unp
Big Les 10/1 Unp 

NEWCASTLE 7.00

UNCLE CHARLIE may prefer further so one to lay.

BROUGHTON EXCELS this one may not like this surface so a lay.

DAHIK a possible frontrunner and it is its debut on this surface.

MI CAPRICHO hasn't any distance form on the AW but may need further so a lay for me 

ELEUTHERA I'm not sure it will like this surface but not sure enough to lay it.

KOMMANDER KIRKUP will need to improve timewise to win but could go well.

I KNOW HOW has a slow time at this c/d and maybe it doesn't like this surface so a lay.

AQUARIUS a possible leader and could do enough to at least make the frame.

THE GREY ZEBEDEE another I would look to lay as this distance looks too far for it.

JEFFREY HARRIS my 4th top-rated so could go well here and has been in good form.

HERRINGSWELL will be running on at the finish and is top of my list plus has good stats.

MUTABAAHY 3rd top rated on c/d times, it is top if using a Wolverhampton time but out of form.

MARCO LEE has only a slow c/d time and looks better over shorter trips so a lay.

BILLY WEDGE looks as though further would suit it better so a lay.

SUMMARY: I'm hoping with early pace coming from stalls 9 and 14 my selection HERRINGSWELL 6/1 will get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger and the apprentice's allowance could swing things even more in its favour.

Herringswell 8/1 1st 

1:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th November)

LINGFIELD 1.05

There's a couple of known frontrunners and if Sandridge Lad gets to the front this 3yo may prove hard to catch using a time from Chelmsford but has only had one race here which didn't go very well. 

Grey Galleon has a time recorded at Kempton which would put this one in the mix. 

Luis Vaz De Torres has a time from 2016 that could see it just make the frame but hasn't been anywhere near that level since and not for me here. 

Alicia Darcy is 2nd top using just 2019 c/d times. 

My money will be riding on SOMETHING LUCKY 7/1 who I'm hoping can get a clear run. I admit stall 12 isn't ideal so my stakes will be kept lowish. 

Something Lucky 14/1 4th

LINGFIELD 1.40 

In this race the early pace may be set by The Lacemaker and it's my 3rd top-rated using a time from Kempton last year so it could be very dangerous if allowed to set its own pace. 

Papa Delta is 2nd top-rated on this year's c/d times but only 4th overall. 

Hollander is my joint top rated on a 2018 time but the jockey booking doesn't inspire confidence. 

I will back the other joint top-rated horse DANDILION 15/2 who could be ok in this race from stall 9 as it could track the likely leader across to the rails. 

Dandilion 12/1 2nd 

LINGFIELD 2.15 

A strange tricky race. At first glance, my figures detail 5 that could go well. The biggest problem is the lack of known frontrunners. 

Wild Flower has poor trainer/jockey stats so I will discard it from my final five. 

Usually, Knockout Blow struggles to stay if there's a fast early pace but could go well in this race. 

Porto Ferro could go well but is better on a different surface. 

Kinglami has the plum draw in stall one and could set the pace. If doing so, could be dangerous if dictating its own pace. 

I will side with *BERNIE'S BOY 7/2 who is 2nd top on just 2019 c/d times and has the fastest overall figure using a 2018 time. The apprentice jockeys 7lb claim could swing things even more in its favour but it is a bit shorter price than I had hoped. 

*NR

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.20 

BIG LES has a time from Newcastle that would put it in 2nd top spot overall and could attempt to lead and if not then stay on at the finish, it has got good trainer/jockey stats so I will be backing it to some degree.

STEELRIVER had a good spell earlier this year after breaking a 70 plus losing streak but I think it's better over a longer trip. (I would look to lay it). 

JOEGOGO has the fastest c/d time from 2019 so it has to be considered as it's a frontrunning type and it has got the plum stall 1 draw but it is on a losing streak of ten.

CAPPANANTY CON usually stays on at the finish over this distance and maybe too late in this race (so one to lay if of value).

INDIAN RAJ this has a very good trainer/jockey stats and has won at this distance at Newcastle although a slow run affair. It may not like this surface so the market could give me more information on its chances of winning. 

DYNAMO WALT has had just over a four-month break. The trainer's winning record here isn't great and the jockey's record is 1-24 which is offputting. 

POWERFUL DREAM is 3rd best on c/d 2019 times but it will need some degree of luck getting a clear run from stall 8 but could feasibly stay on to make the frame if not behind a wall of horses.

TATHMEEN is 2nd top on 2019 c/d times and only 1lb below my top rated and it could make the frame with a clear run. 

AGUEROO has only slow times at this distance and it races as though further would suit it better and I would look to lay this one if a single figure price.

KODIAC EXPRESS is on a losing run of 11 which isn't ideal and it's one run over this c/d was poor and despite having a fast time from Chelmsford. It's not for me. 

CELERITY is still a maiden after 80 runs and I can't see that changing here.

SUMMARY: I will be hoping this race is won from the front. Joegogo is top-rated on this year's c/d times and has stall 1. The horse I will be backing is the topweight BIG LES 6/1 who from stall 4 could lead or at least contest the lead. If getting to the font could prove hard to catch.

Big Les 6/1 1st 

3:15 Epsom Racing Tips (27th August)

EPSOM 3.15 (7.5) 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them have some chance of winning the race and I will have one main bet and 2 covering bets, my covering bets will be on DIZZY G 5/1 who could lead here and then prove hard to catch but maybe a better horse in a slightly lower class of race, and the 3-year-old THE GREATESTSHOWMAN 7/2 who produced a good time at Windsor but the trainers 0-5 record at this course causes me some concern, my main bet/money will be riding on POYLE VINNIE 7/2 who did its best time at Goodwood so this course should suit it ok and its been running in class 2 races and drops to class 3 to compete here. 

The Greatestshowman 7/2 4th 
Dizzy G 9/2 5th

RIPON 4.05 (8.2) 

A strange looking race especially for a class 4 affair, there's 3 natural front runners and 2 others that can lead if needs must, the 3 at the bottom of the handicap can produce fast times but also have negatives against their names in the make-up of this race which makes me doubt if they can actually win this race but never say never, my money in this race will go onto BIG LES 5/1 who has only run twice this year both times, not at its preferred distance, it ran on well over 5 furlongs last time out and now upped in distance I'm hoping its ready to repeat its best speed figure from 2018. 

Big Les 8/1 8th

MUSSELBURGH 7.00 (7.6) 

A decent-sized race with 14 runners which on the whole are a poor-looking lot but there's still a winner amongst them somewhere and in this instance I will go with backing BRONZE BEAU 11/1 who is a front running sort and led last time out on softish going and faded as I would have expected but if the going here is g/f then it could lead all the way. 

Bronze Beau 18/1 Unp

BATH 7.50 (7.7) 

Only 7 runners in this class 5 race but there is a couple that has led before so it should be a true run affair, Thegreyvtrain is one of the pacesetters and its 3rd best on this years times but it seems to be a better horse in class 6 races, Haveoneyerself is top-rated on this years times but it might prefer a flatter track like Yarmouth so I'm not convinced it can repeat its best times at this course, my pennies will be on PERFECT CHIME 7/2 who I think can lead from start to finish and has good trainer/jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here.

Perfect Chime 9/1 7th