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Saturday 25 January 2020

4:05 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets


A 10 runner race with no known frontrunners in the field, usually means it's hard to analyse how things will turn out during the race, with no early pace then I would look to lay The Groove who may need further to shine, Knockabout Queen hasn't any course form but could dangerous after winning last time out, both Seraphim and Kath's Lustre are capable of running big races and could battle to make the frame, my top rated on just 2019/20 c/d times is Aguerooo who I admit isn't ideally drawn in stall 9 but could go well if getting a clear run when needed but its losing run of 10 shows how hard it is to will with a hold-up type of horse, my top-rated overall is PERFECT SYMPHONY 7/1 who from stall 2 should be able to get a good early position from which to attack and follow up its win from last time out. 

Perfect Symphony 12/1 2nd 
Lay bet: The Groove (+1pt) 

Total 0pts 


I've found 3 runners in this race that I will look to lay, (Sing Bertie, It Must Be Faith, Creek Harbour) then Dark Side Dream, Solar Park and Andre Amar could be dangers, Porto Ferro is 2nd top overall but its best time was from 2018 although it hasn't run over this c/d lately, in stall 1 EQUALLY FAST 9/4 who is a frontrunning type is my top-rated overall but its time was recorded at Lingfield and this will be its first run here, top-rated on only c/d times is SPIRIT POWER 5/1 who is another that is known to lead before and should be ok in the make-up of this race from stall 8 and it has good trainer/jockey stats, I will have to back them both in this race and hopefully they will dominate from the front here. 

Spirit Power 5/1 1st Equally Fast 5/2 4th 
Lay bet: Sing Bertie (+1pt) It Must Be Faith (+1pt) Creek Harbour (+1pt)

Total +7pts 


This is a strange race, I have found 3, (Para Mio, Barrington, Waqlas) that I would look to lay, but it is such a competitive affair there's 7 horses that have a chance of going well or winning, there's only 2lbs between Los Camachos, Venture and Enthaar who are my top 3 ratings on just 2019/20 c/d times, Spring Romance would be top on c/d times if I use its best from 2018, the frontrunning Harbour Storm is 3rd top overall using a Wolverhampton time but has only a slow time on this surface while Pride Of Angels is 2nd top overall and at least its time was on this surface but at Lingfield and hasn't run here before over this c/d, in top spot overall is Rock Boy Grey again it's using a Wolverhampton time as it's not run at this c/d before. I am not sure what to make of this race and it is probably best left alone unless the betting says otherwise.

Lay bets: Para Mio (+1pt) Barrington (+1pt) Waqaas (+1pt) 

Total +3pts

Total on day +10pts