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Tuesday, 28 January 2020

5:25 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (28th January)


SOUTHWELL 5.25 

Only 9 runners but I can dismiss 4 of them so I will look to lay them (Gnaad--Sandridge Lad--Leo Minor--Aquarius) I'm not sure what to make of Coolagh Magic and Johnny Reb although I'm not sure this surface will suit the latter, Le Manege Enchante is been in good form and may have earnt the opportunity to move up to this class 5 race but with 3 known frontrunners in the race it may not be able to cope with the rise from class 6, Captain Dion 16/1 is in my top 3 ratings its a possible pacesetter here and has the plum stall 1 draw and could do enough to make the frame so at the price it could be a good each-way bet, the horse that I will be backing is LIAMBA 3/1 who is another possible frontrunner and in the make-up of this race it should be able to get a good early position from stall 8 and if getting to the front it could be hard to catch. 

Liamba 7/2 7th 
Lays:  Sandridge Lad (-4.5pts) Gnaad (+1pt) Leo Minor (+1pt) Aquarius (+1pt) 

Total -2.5pts  

SOUTHWELL 5.55 

A 7 runner race with just 1 known frontrunning type, I am not 100% sure what to expect from Gulliver, Typhoon Ten and Wasntexpectingthat none have run on this surface before but nothing in the race I could confidently lay, the first 2 have won with cut on turf which is a positive for this course and the latter has a good record, 3 wins and 1 place from just 4 runs on the AW, Samovar is the possible pacesetter here but is raised in class and I am doubtful it can cope with this rise in class, Zylan is in good form with two 2nd places and a win in its last 3 runs and it's my 2nd top rated in this race but I will be backing the top rated KATHEEFA 7/2 who likes to track the leaders but my stakes won't be at full power mainly due to the topweight being the only one in the race to have regularly raced in this class before as its rated 14lbs higher than the next best in the handicap but it's not run since October 12th so may possibly need the run. 

Katheefa 7/2 4th 

Total - 1pt

SOUTHWELL 7.25 

Another 7 runner affair but this time over 5 furlongs and there's 4 that have been known to lead before but again there's nothing I could lay confidently, Red Stripes is a frontrunning type and my 3rd top-rated while Warriors Valley is another one that might try to lead but this one hasn't really shown much in its last few races and been fading quite quickly, I have to admit that ETERNAL SUN hasn't been in good form either but its best time from the early part of 2019 would give it every chance here and the jockey booking is what has caught my eye and this race won't take much winning.

Eternal Sun 16/1 6th 

Total (-1pt)

Day Total -4.5pts