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Tuesday, 7 January 2020

4:45 Southwell Racing Tips (7th January)


SOUTHWELL 4.45 

Only 6 runners and only Cappananty Con 7/2 I can discard from the start as it doesnt appear that it will like this surface and I will be laying it at the price, Astro Jakk could be a hidden danger on its debut over this c/d, Robot Boy 10/1 one of 4 that has been known to lead before but I know nothing about the apprentice jockey but it doesnt seem to be a positive booking so I willbe looking to lay it if it's backed into 8/1 or less, Warriors Valley ran Sunday so if running again so quickly has to be respected but this is a step up in class from that last run but the jockey booking looks a positive move and its another possible leader but I cannot back it in this class, Moonraker is another possible pacesetter and comes out 3rd top and this one also appears to have a positive jockey booking, Samovar likes to track the leaders and could be the one to prosper if the leaders go off too fast and then all fade nearing the finish, looking again it might be a race best left alone, apart from a couple of possible lays, unless the betting gives me something of value to back and take a risk. 

SOUTHWELL 6.15

This isn't a great race where I can find negatives against 9 of the entrants, the only one of those 9 is Bonjour Steve who has a recorded time but that was in 2018 and hasn't run since that year so may need this run to gain fitness, Murqaab is my 3rd top-rated and usually likes to track the leaders, the topweight Falcao comes out 2nd top and is the only known frontrunner in the field so stall 12 might not matter too much and could be a danger if allowed to set its own pace but I will be having a bet on ATWAAR 3/1 who has been in decent form lately and has been found a good opportunity to add to its winning tally in this race. 

Atwaar 3/1 5th 

SOUTHWELL 7.15

This apprentice race isn't the greatest either with only 4 of the 9 having a recorded time to its name, Tan is 4th top but this isn't its favoured surface, Global Melody comes out 3rd top but I did have to go back to 2018 to find its best c/d time which leaves me with 2 main contenders, in 2nd spot I've got Tilsworth Rose who will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but my top rated RED STRIPES 6/1 is the only known natural frontrunning horse in the race so if allowed an easy lead it could prove hard to catch and I'm hoping it can lead all the way here.

Red Stripes 9/1 4th

Art: Alvin Fai