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Wednesday, 4 March 2020

8:15 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (4th March)


KEMPTON 8.15

GRIGGY 2/1 has a time from Chelmsford which would make it competitive and it is good form at the present so could go well but I'm not sure it can win this race and no value at the price WAQAAS 33/1 has a time from back in 2018 that would put it in the mix but its form in 2019/20 has been very poor so one I will look to lay.

MY TOWN CHICAGO 14/1 is another with a time that could see it thereabouts and has good jockey stats and should be staying on at the finish so could be an each-way punt.

CHOCCO STAR 5/1 has decent trainer/jockey stats but its 1-9 win ratio isn't great while it's Lingfield best would give it a chance here but not big enough to do each way.

AMOR KETHLEY 22/1 hasn't any c/d form to work with and its best from Chelmsford would see it in the mix but the jockey booking may be a negative pointer and an outsider here IMPART 33/1 hasn't course form and its best from Lingsfield would see it finish just outside the frame if others run to their best and looks better over 5 furlongs so one I will lay. 

PHOENIX STAR 5/1 has been running ok lately but without winning and with a fast pace it might not stay the trip, it may make the frame but isn't of value.

HEY HO LETS GO 14/1 is still a maiden after 15 runs and I don't think this surface suits it so another one that I will look to lay in this race.

BLACK ISLE BOY 12/1 has pretty poor trainer/jockey stats and its time when it won over this c/d was a slow run affair and it may get caught out here. 

BROUGHTON EXCELS 7/1 has only 1 run over this c/d which was a poor show in a slow time but it best Chelmsford time would see it make the frame and has good jockey stats and maybe just about big enough in price to go with an each-way wager.

TOMSHALFBROTHER hasn't any course form to its name but the jockey booking looks a positive pointer but it may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace (NON-RUNNER). 

MONT KIARA 11/1 another with good jockey stats to its name and it is top rated on just 2019/20 c/d times and could be a value punt in this race. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay (Waqaas + *Tomshalfbrother + Hey Ho Lets Go + Black Isle Boy) and it may be the best way to make money from this race but I will be having a few quid on the bottom weight MONT KIARA 11/1 who looks to be the value call in this race and is my top rated on 2019/20 course and distance times.

* NR 

Mont Kiara 25/1 4th 

Lay bets: Waqaas (+1pt) Hey Ho Lets Go (+1pt) Black Isle Boy (+1pt)

Total +2pts

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