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Showing posts with label Mont Kiara. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mont Kiara. Show all posts

Sunday, 13 December 2020

7:40 Kempton Racing Tips (14th December)


KEMPTON 7.40 6f Class 6 Div I 

What a poor race this is, I've only got 3 runners with times good enough to register on my graphs and all of those figures either came from last year or a different course, if I knew there would be a fast early pace then I would lay Essaka 7/2 who may struggle to stay the trip and looks poor value, Hey Ho Lets Go hasn't shown much this year and i would lay it if priced under the 10/1 currently on offer, Cool Strutter 6/1 has a 1-30 record on the AW tracks and this distance does stretch it if there's a fast early pace so looks worth taking on at the price, betting wise I will be having two bets on BURNING SUN 4/1 as this 3yo is my 2nd top rated using a Chelmsford time and it was recorded this year which is a positive, Captain Ryan has been capable on its best form but its no a 9yo so not likely to improve but could make the frame, my other bet will an each way bet on MERCERS 14/1 who did record its best time over this c/d but that was in 2019 and this one doesn't want a fast early pace so could hopefully give me some insurance if the early pace is on the slow side, I certainly wont be going in all guns blazing in such a dire affair. 

Burning Sun 9/2 7th (-1pt)
Mercers 14/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

KEMPTON 8.10 6f Class 6 Div II

This 2nd division isn't any better but I do have 5 this time with recorded times and only MONT KIARA 8/1 has been known to lead before and if allowed an easy lead it could lead all the way as it is my 2nd top rated and that is using a c/d time but from 2019 while in its defence it has only had one previous c/d race this year and therefore will be carrying some of my money, top weight Charles Le Brun 5/2 was on my radar in its last run when it finished 3rd at Southwell and looking at its turf form I thought it would like the surface but I am not sure it will relish these conditions so maybe worth taking on with a lay bet at the price, I would also look to lay Leo Minor 13/2 as long as it stays at a single figure price, I will though be backing something else in this race, if I use its best time recorded at Lingfield then URBAN HIGHWAY 13/2 would win cosily but it has raced here four times over this c/d and none produced a time good enough to register on my graphs, I cannot let it go without a bet just in case it can reproduce its best at this course so having the two bets looks the best way forward.

Mont Kiara 12/1 5th (-1pt)
Urban Highway 13/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -2pts 

Total on the day: -4pts

Wednesday, 4 March 2020

8:15 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (4th March)



KEMPTON 8.15

GRIGGY 2/1 has a time from Chelmsford which would make it competitive and it is good form at the present so could go well but I'm not sure it can win this race and no value at the price WAQAAS 33/1 has a time from back in 2018 that would put it in the mix but its form in 2019/20 has been very poor so one I will look to lay.

MY TOWN CHICAGO 14/1 is another with a time that could see it thereabouts and has good jockey stats and should be staying on at the finish so could be an each-way punt.

CHOCCO STAR 5/1 has decent trainer/jockey stats but its 1-9 win ratio isn't great while it's Lingfield best would give it a chance here but not big enough to do each way.

AMOR KETHLEY 22/1 hasn't any c/d form to work with and its best from Chelmsford would see it in the mix but the jockey booking may be a negative pointer and an outsider here IMPART 33/1 hasn't course form and its best from Lingsfield would see it finish just outside the frame if others run to their best and looks better over 5 furlongs so one I will lay. 

PHOENIX STAR 5/1 has been running ok lately but without winning and with a fast pace it might not stay the trip, it may make the frame but isn't of value.

HEY HO LETS GO 14/1 is still a maiden after 15 runs and I don't think this surface suits it so another one that I will look to lay in this race.

BLACK ISLE BOY 12/1 has pretty poor trainer/jockey stats and its time when it won over this c/d was a slow run affair and it may get caught out here. 

BROUGHTON EXCELS 7/1 has only 1 run over this c/d which was a poor show in a slow time but it best Chelmsford time would see it make the frame and has good jockey stats and maybe just about big enough in price to go with an each-way wager.

TOMSHALFBROTHER hasn't any course form to its name but the jockey booking looks a positive pointer but it may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace (NON-RUNNER). 

MONT KIARA 11/1 another with good jockey stats to its name and it is top rated on just 2019/20 c/d times and could be a value punt in this race. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay (Waqaas + *Tomshalfbrother + Hey Ho Lets Go + Black Isle Boy) and it may be the best way to make money from this race but I will be having a few quid on the bottom weight MONT KIARA 11/1 who looks to be the value call in this race and is my top rated on 2019/20 course and distance times.

* NR 

Mont Kiara 25/1 4th 

Lay bets: Waqaas (+1pt) Hey Ho Lets Go (+1pt) Black Isle Boy (+1pt)

Total +2pts

Thursday, 31 October 2019

4:40 Kempton - Winning Horse Racing Tips (31st October)


KEMPTON 4.40 

This class 7 race is pretty bad even for its level, over half the field have losing runs in double figures and theres only one known front runner who isnt well drawn in stall 11 and its overall times have been slow even for this level so any stakes will have to be kept low, delving as deep as I can I think I can narrow the race down to four that have at some point or another gone fast enough to register on my speed figures, Jaganory is on a losing run of 14 and is still a maiden after 10 runs on the AW tracks and I had to go back to 2014 to find a recorded time, dont worry too much about the negatives because those not mentioned have even less going for them, Drop Kick Murphi is also an AW maiden after 10 attempts and its best time came from Lingfield in 2018, the topweight Hollander is top rated on 2019 c/d times but it is a bit below what the other 3 have achieved but being a recent time that has to be a bonus, the one that I will be backing is the 3yo *PRINCE ROCK 10/3 who is a maiden after 23 runs and 16 of them have been on AW surfaces and the apprentices 7lb claim could swing things even more in its favour. 

* NR

KEMPTON 8.10

The jump up to the dizzy heights of a class 6 race but only half of the 12 runners have times fast enough to register on my figures, there are 4 runners that have been known to lead before and one of them is MONT KIARA 12/1 who is drawn in stall 1 so I'm hoping it will gain control of the rails and either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and then prove hard to catch, my 2nd top-rated is The Lacemaker who is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics but it might not be able to lead from stall 5 in the make-up of this race but it could still run a big race here if getting a clear run, *PAPA DELTA 4/1 is only 3rd top-rated on this years c/d times but if it can repeat its best time from Chelmsford it would be winning cosily but I can't see any other option than backing them both to cover the frontrunning and the fast-finishing angles.

Mont Kiara 14/1 9th 
* NR