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Tuesday, 3 March 2020

5:00 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (3rd March)


SOUTHWELL 5.00 

A field of 8 take part so I hope they all run, I will look to lay, (Nautical Haven + Youre Cool + Global Humor) Six Strings is on a losing run of 11 and may need further to show its best, Lorna Cole very nearly made the list of horses to lay but it hasnt run here before and nothing says it definitely won't like this surface although I doubt it will, Augustus Caesar is the only 3yo in the race and could go well but will need to improve timewise to win this race, theres 2 known frontrunning types in the race and they are my 2 top rated horses, Moveonup is my 2nd top rated and the trainer has a decent win ratio at this course while the apprentice jockey is making his debut for this stable so im not sure if its a positive or not but I will probably back this one as a covering bet to my main bet on RED STRIPES 4/1 who won last time out and has been found a decent chance to follow up here and the apprentice booked to ride has had 2 rides before and won on one of them so im hoping thats a positive pointer. 

Red Stripes 9/2 1st 

Lay bets: Nautical Haven (+1pt) You're Cool (+1pt) Global Humour (+1pt) 

Total +7.5pts

SOUTHWELL 7.30

This is a poor looking race and I have negatives against 6 of the 8 runners and I would look to lay (Aquarius + Andra Amar + Jem Scuttle) the 2 at the bottom of the handicap, Star Cracker and Wicklow Warrior, have no form to work with over this c/d but I am thinking they may struggle here but never say never, Intense Style has no c/d form either but has won at this distance on good to soft going so may take to this surface and hence become a danger, I will be having a small wager on PUCHITA 9/4 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race.

Punchita 9/4 1st (Unchallenged 6 L) 

Lay bets: Aquarius (+1pt) Andra Amar (+1pt) Jem Scuttle (+1pt) 

Total +5.25pts

Total on day +12.75pts [Exceptional] 

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