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Sunday, 12 July 2020

12:40 Ayr Racing Tips & Lay Bets (13th July)

Ayr racecourse winners
AYR 12.40 

Only 9 runners but at least Dodgy Bob should ensure there's a decent early pace and it could do enough to hold on for a place being my 3rd top-rated, I could lay 6 of the runners (Red Bravo + *Amelia R + Northern Queen + De Latour + Talk Now + Laoise) who will either not like the going, if its good to firm, or the distance, Burmeses Blazer is my 2nd top-rated but the trainer is 0-9 at this course and the jockey is 0-3 for this stable which put me off a fair amount, that leaves STAR CRACKER 11/1 who has a time from 2018 that would see it winning cosily but it's not a race where my stakes will be at full strength but it looks value to have a punt at the price. 


*NR 

Star Cracker 12/1 5th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Northern Queen -2.75pts, Red Bravo +1pt, De Latour +1pt, Talk Now +1pt, Laoise +1pt

Total: +.25pts
 

WINDSOR 1.35 

A competitive class 3 race with 3 known frontrunners among the 12 entrants, I will look to lay (The Cruising Lord 3 points lay who looks better over a shorter distance + Dirty Rascal 1 point lay who is the opposite and may need a longer trip) all 3 of the frontrunners could go well here especially Aljady and A SURE WELCOME 9/1 the latter could hold on against ARCANADA 7/1 this time reverse the form but it's very hard to split them as they were very close last time out and there's only an extra pound between them today, the topweight LOUIE DE PALMA 4/1 who is dropped in class to run here must have a decent chance and this one has a very good trainer/jockey stats which makes me thing connections are expecting it to go well here, I cannot split them and will be backing all 3 of them in this race.

Arcanada 18/1 2nd (-1pt)
A Sure Welcome 18/1 3rd (-1pt)
Louie De Palma 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Cruising Lord +3pts, Dirty Rascal +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: +1.25pts  


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