1:30 Windsor Racing Tips (29th May)

WINDSOR 1.30 

A class 4 sprint where I think A Sure Welcome could be the most likely one to set the pace to the race and being my joint 3rd top rated it could go well from the front. I'm not sure there is anything of value to lay in this race so I can't narrow the field down via that method, As If By Chance who is usually held up for a late run is the other joint 3rd top rated but will need some luck in running to become competitive but could possibly make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. Lord P is actually my top rated but it will most likely need this run for fitness which puts me off its chances of winning and I expect it will be an outsider in this race, Beyond Equal likes to track the leaders and comes out in 5th top spot on my own unique speed ratings and being to the fore it could be another to do enough to make the frame but not if all those rated higher reproduce their best. My money will be riding on Lequinto who is another hold up type and being drawn near to where the early pace is most likely to come from it should get a good tow into the race and is dropped in class to run in this race and the jockey has a 1-3 record when riding the stables older horses. 

Bet LEQUINTO 4/1 5th -1pt,  Each Way: A Sure Welcome 22/1 9th -2pts 

Lays NONE

Total on the day -3pts

2:25 Ayr Racing Tips (11th July)

AYR 2.25 

I was going to leave this race alone until I noticed EARN YOUR STRIPES 11/1 (EW) was entered I tipped this one up on Saturday at Hamilton where it finished too late and only managed to snatch 2nd place at the finish so if they run again here I think connections will be expecting it to go one better and this does look an easier opportunity and its a shame it ran so well at Hamilton because the price will reflect that run and it will be much shorter than the ten to one price that was forecast on the early tissue prices but hey ho a winners a winner and I will be baking it if it runs here so quickly after its last run. I am surprised at the odds available I will definitely be backing it each way at the odds. 

Earn Your Stripes 11/1 1st +13.75pts

Total +13.75pts

WINDSOR 6.05 

A 9 runner race with just the one known front runner, 4 runners seem to have virtually no chance and I would expect them all to be biggish double figure prices, I think both Minhaaj and Maybe Tonight both race as though further would suit them better but they are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses while my top rated is PRETTY SHIFTWELL 7/2 who is the aforementioned front runner so if it does set the pace it ought to prove too hard to catch and will lead all the way for the victory. 

Pretty Shiftwell 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.55 

A nice looking class 5 All-Weather race with 13 runners and with 3 known front runners it should be a true run race, Lazyitis may struggle to stay the distance in a fast run race but it hasn't run over this distance on an artificial surface before so its just my opinion from looking at its turf form, Temple Bruer and Society Lion will need to improve time wise to win this race although the latter will be trying to stay on at the finish, Show Maker my 4th top rated could run to the fore but I'm not sure if its quite quick enough to lead on its own and the same applies Politics who is 3rd best on my figures but my top rated horse COOPERATION 14/1 (EW) is another front runner but its best rating comes from Chelmsford on the Polytrack surface but if taking the Tapeta surface here it could prove hard to peg back and the jockey booking looks a positive move but just in case it doesn't take to the surface I will also be backing my 2nd top rated horse *SARAH'S VERSE 8/1 (EW) who is usually held up for a late run and this race could be run to suit it, now with the betting i will be backing them both each way. 

*NR

Cooperation 22/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 7.05 

A field of 7 with 2 known front runners, King O Jungle is a 3yo who might need further to show its best and only has slow speed figures at this distance, Impeach and Bell Shot could be hidden dangers although I'm not sure exactly what they are capable of in this race, A SURE WELCOME 9/2 is the one that I think will set the pace to the race and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch and if allowed an easy lead could lead all the way but I do have LEQUINTO 4/1 rated higher and if this one had better trainer/jockey stats it might have been my sole bet but I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Lequinto 4/1 1st +4pts 

A Sure Welcome    11/1 4th -1pt 

Total +3pts 

WINDSOR 7.35 

Just the 6 runners but luckily a couple of known front running types but I think La Roca Del Fuego and/or Spring Bloom will be setting the race up for something attacking in the closing stages although the latter might have been a bet if it wasn't for the trainers 0-31 at this course and the jockeys 1-18 records as its my 2nd top rated, Grandfather Tom hasn't shown much time wise for quite a while now so might be worth laying if a single figure price, Gherkin might need further so maybe another to lay, while the 3yo Astral Beat could be a bit of a hidden danger as it has faded over 6 furlongs so this trip might be ideal but my money will be riding on *THE PRINCE'S POET 13/2 who is my top rated and has good trainer and jockey stats.

*NR

Total on the day +13.75pts

6:05 Windsor Racing Tips (20th June)

WINDSOR 6.05

I am always wary about betting at this course because when they water the course they are prone to over watering it and description of good to firm going is a bit off the mark, there is a couple of known front runners in this field of 9 so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Nelson Gay 7/2 because with the good early gallop that I'm expecting this one can struggle to stay the distance plus with 1 win from 14 runs on turf its not a prolific winner, the trainer is 1-22 at this course but has what looks a positive jockey booking but if the horse doesn't stay the distance the best jockey in the world can't change that, Hello Me 5/1 is my 3rd top rated and one of the possible pacesetters here so could do enough to make the frame, Treacherous 10/1 could do best of those coming from off the pace as its my 2nd top rated but hasn't shown much in its recent runs but if fit could make the frame, my money will be riding on A SURE WELCOME 10/1 who did look to be coming into form until it ran a stinker last time out but today's jockey has a decent 18% win ratio for the stable and i will be hoping this one can lead all the way here for victory and at the double figure price it has to be given as an each way wager.

A Sure Welcome 10/1 1st +12.5pts 

Lay bet Nelson Gay +1pt 

Total on the day +13.5pts

6:10 Windsor Racing Tips (30th May)

WINDSOR 6.10 

A nice competitive class 4 race with 9 runners and the likely pacesetters are Shobiz and or Winnetka, if the former gets an uncontested lead it could at least make the frame and could possibly lead all the way as its my 3rd top rated, as for any lays in this race I have marked down 4 but 3 of them are most likely to be double figure prices which leaves me just Concierge 7/2 as one to lay, its usually held up for a late run but time wise it would need to improve so I doubt it will catch the leaders quickly enough to win the race, Pure Dreamer is my 2nd top rated who is another one that is usually held up for a late run and the same racing tactics are usually deployed by SPRING BLOOM 9/2 who is my top rated using a time recorded this year but the trainers record of 0-29 at this course is a bit off putting so I will also be backing SHOBIZ 6/1 who is my 3rd top rated over all but only 1lb below the 2nd top spot position and has the best trainer 29% with the stables older horses and jockey 19% stats. 

Spring Bloom 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Shobiz 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Concierge +1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 6.40 

A class 3 dash here with 8 runners and 2 known front runners and the race is so competitive its hard to narrow it down to a one horse conclusion, I will be looking to lay Recon Mission 8/1 in this race as its not been in good form lately doesn't seem to like really fast ground and might prefer a longer trip, *FAUSTUS 11/2 and JUST THAT LORD 8/1 are the 2 likely front runners and are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses so most of the field might not be good enough to get involved in the race and if either gets an easy lead they could lead all the way and hold on for the victory but I do have A SURE WELCOME 7/1 rated higher and this one likes to track the leaders and then run on well nearing the finish, the trainer has a 19% win ratio here with its older horses but its been 42 runners and 327 days since the stable last had a winner which is off-putting else it might well have been my sole selection but in this race I will be looking to dutch all 3 of them. 

*NR

A Sure Welcome 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Just That Lord 8/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Recon Mission +1pt 

Total -1pt 

AYR 7.30 

Down to class 6 for this 9 runner affair with just one known front runner, starting with something to lay I will be looking at Impressor, 5/2 who might need further to show its best form, my 2nd top rated and the likely pacesetter in this race is GOWANBUSTER 6/1 with an easy lead could possibly lead all the way but I do have LADY CELIA 6/1 rated higher and it could catch the leader nearing the finish but I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles.

Gowanbuster 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Lady Celia 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Impressor +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:42 Ripon Racing Tips (2nd August)

RIPON 3.42 

Just 6 runners in this class race but luckily 2 of them have been known to lead but one of them Macho Pride 9/4 has poor trainer stats and I would look to lay it especially at such a short price, the other is Bossipop 9/1 who seems to be getting a little bit slower each year and its best time this year is quite a bit lacking and I expect it will be an outsider, Fortimour has a decent time from 2020 at this course and distance and could go well, if I took notice of Gale Force Maya’s time from 2019 it would be my top rated but has been nowhere near that since that year but I will be backing PAWS FOR THOUGHT 5/1 who will be staying on strongly at the finish and this race should suits its style of racing. 

Paws For Thought 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Macho Price +1pt

Total 0pts 

KEMPTON 4.20 

A class 4 and a pitiful 4 runners and none of them are known as front runners so its hard to analyse, I couldn't lay any of them and I will take a punt on KATH'S LUSTRE 7/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so I'm hoping it can cover any moves and prove the stronger at the finish and in my opinion is the value call in this race. 

Kath's Lustre 15/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.07 

I can only see Niagara who has led before but it is still a maiden after 8 runs but does have a time on turf that would make it my 2nd top rated so has to be feared, I cannot find anything of value to put forward as a lay as most will be biggish prices, At Your Service is my 4th top rated using a time from 2019 and hasn't been in good form lately, I will be backing 2 in this race the top weight SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 15/2 is my 3rd top rated and the trainer has been in good form in the last 2 weeks and it will be staying on at the finish, my top rated RAABEH 11/2 would be my sole selection if it wasn't for the trainers 0-18 in the last 2 weeks and the horse is still a maiden after 18 runs and 13 of those runs have been on AW tracks. 

Sambucca Spirit 15/2 6th -1pt 

Raabeh 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 6.45 

A 16 runner race with 4 that have led before and I think/hope that it can be won from the front, I cannot see anything of value to lay as most horses will be double figure prices, there's a few that could go well looking at snippets of form they have shown, Total Commitment who usually tracks the leaders, Lihou who recorded its best time over this course and distance and will be trying to stay on at the finish, Open Wide has a time from 2020 that could put it in the mix, my 4th top rated is Operate who is one of the likely pacesetters, Tinto is 3rd top but it is using a 2020 time and its not been anywhere near that level so far this year, Treacherous is 2nd top rated and will be staying on at the finish but its best time came from 2020 but I will be backing my top rated A SURE WELCOME 16/1 (EW) who is a possible pacesetter and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and has decent 17% trainer stats and 15% jockey stats which makes me think connections are expecting a big run in this race and if possible it would be a decent each way wager. 

A Sure Welcome 28/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 7.45 

I hope all 8 stand their ground so there is 3 places which I want to have an each way bet, I will look to lay Sarah's Hope 8/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish but on the clock it will probably be too late to win this race, there is 3 known front running types so it should be a true run race especially as they are my top 3 ratings, the 3yo Toptime comes out 3rd best but has to improve a few spots to win this race, Lethal Blast is my top rated on just 2021 times and must have every chance but I will be taking a punt on UNION ROSE 16/1 (EW) who comes out 3rd best on 2021 times but has a time from 2020 at Bath that takes it to the top spot and hopefully if it gets to the front could be hard to catch but I am hoping its a double figure price so I can take a bit of insurance with an each way wager.

Union Rose 33/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bet Sarah's Hope +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -6pts

1:35 Ayr Racing Tips (19th July)

AYR 1.35 

A race with 8 runners so lets hope they all run, I cannot find a guaranteed pacesetter amongst them which is something that always puts me on the back foot and any bets the stakes are kept on the low side, Global Humor is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded at Hamilton in 2020, in 2nd top spot is Amazing Alba who might like this race as it can struggle to stay this far if there's a fast early pace but I will stick with backing my top rated STRONSAY 11/4 who can run in midfield or track the leaders and hopefully it can cover any moves whatever way this race is run and a repeat of its time from Hamilton this year would see it winning it a shade cosily. 

Stronsay 100/30 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 6.15 

A big field of 17 for this race and a couple of front runners to make sure there's a fast early pace, I'm not sure if there's anything of value to be worth laying, as for the winner I have 5 of them with positive marks against their names and have some chance of winning this race but I will discard two of them but I cannot narrow it down any further and I will go with dutching the three remaining horses, DARK SHOT 8/1 is the one that I think will lead in this race and comes out top rated using a time from Leicester last year that might be a little bit higher than it should be but with a soft lead it could be very dangerous, VAN GERWEN 10/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times which it recorded at Ripon and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, *NOT ON YOUR NELLIE 7/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and also 2nd top on overall figures using a time from 2020 and usually is held up or races in midfield and then stay on at the business end of the race. 

*NR 

Dark Shot 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Van Gerwin 22/1 Unp -1pt

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 7.35 

There is 2 known front running types in this race so it should be a true run affair, I will look to lay Huraiz and Lihou if they are a single figure price as they might prefer a longer distance to shine while I would also lay Firepower 13/2 as its been in poor form lately that is if they are single figure prices, Rose Hip would be top rated using a time from Leicester last year but the time of that race is starting to look like a bit of a fluke time, Second Collection would be another contender using its best time from 2020 over this course and distance, the early pace may well be set by Glamorous Anna who recorded its best time at Newbury last year but I will be backing the top weight A SURE WELCOME 3/1 who usually finishes fast over this distance and this ones best time was recorded this year over this course and distance which is always a bonus.

A Sure Welcome 9/2 7th -1pt

Lay bets Lihou +1pt, Huraiz +1pt

Total on the day -2pts

6:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (14th June)

NOTTINGHAM 6.50 

LATIN FIVE 8/1 likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and races as though further might help its cause but this race could be run to suit it. 

SALUTI 8/1 usually tracks the leaders and then stays on at the finish and comes out 3rd best on my speed figures so could make the frame. 

NIBRAS AGAIN 12/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and usually stays on at the business end of a race but the jockeys 0-8 makes me think this race isn't its target. 

BLAZING HOT 10/1 is one of the two known front runners in the race and comes out 2nd best on my figures and could be hard to catch if getting an easy lead but I doubt that will happen but could make frame so maybe value to do as an each way punt. 

EEH BAH GUM 3/1 is the other one of the two known front running types in the race and its best time from 2019 would make it my 3rd top rated so could make the frame but its not an each way price. 

HELVETIAN 8/1 this one looks as though a longer trip would help its cause and would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

BIRKENHEAD 12/1 is a hold up type of horse but it may struggle to catch the leaders in this race and isn't in my top 4 speed ratings. 

TOMSHALFBROTHER 7/2 the trainer has a decent 22% win ratio here with their older horses but this one might be better over a longer distance and one I will look to lay at the price. 

MAY THE SIXTH 20/1 hasn't any turf form to its name and it would need to improve on its best AW time which came at this distance at Wolverhampton. 

CONCLUSION: Blazing Hot and/or Eeh Bah Gum look the likely pacesetters and the former is my 2nd top rated so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I think they could set this race up form the top weight. LATIN FIVE 8/1 who likes a fast pace to aim at and its best time was recorded this year so is my top rated on both recent and overall speed figures. 

Latin Five 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

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WINDSOR 7.30 

EDRAAK 3/1 comes out 4th top rated on my figures and is usually held up in the rear or in midfield to come with a late run and its best time did come from this year but isn't an each way price. 

TINTO 16/1 is usually held up for a late run and is my 2nd top rated but the apprentices 3lb claim makes it very tight between my top 2 ratings and looks worth an each way punt. 

OPEN WIDE 11/1 is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders so could do enough to make the frame if an each way price. 

IVANTHEENGINE 11/2 has poor recent form to its name in its only 2 races this year and its best time which was at Wolverhampton wouldn't win this race so maybe worth laying if a single figure price.

INDIAN CREEK 4/1 usually likes to race in the midfield in its races and time wise it would need to improve to win this race and may not catch the leaders quickly enough.

A SURE WELCOME 7/2 I think this is the one that will set the pace in this race and is my top rated so ought to prove very hard to catch. 

CONCIERGE 10/1 has only slow times from its recent races and may be a better prospect when tried over further than today's 6 furlongs. 

HAN SOLO BERGER 11/1 has only slow times over this distance mainly due to the fact it looks better when tried over a shorter distance. 

CONCLUSION: Only the one known front runner so A SURE WELCOME 7/2 could go well from the front if allowed an easy lead and will be carrying some of my money but to cover the angles I will also be backing TINTO 16/1 who is usually held up for a late run and there is very little between them on the clock and looks worth having a small each way bet because it looks value at the price.

Tinto 16/1 2nd -1pt 

A Sure Welcome 7/2 3rd -1pt

Total on the day -3pts

12:40 Ayr Racing Tips & Lay Bets (13th July)

AYR 12.40 

Only 9 runners but at least Dodgy Bob should ensure there's a decent early pace and it could do enough to hold on for a place being my 3rd top-rated, I could lay 6 of the runners (Red Bravo + *Amelia R + Northern Queen + De Latour + Talk Now + Laoise) who will either not like the going, if its good to firm, or the distance, Burmeses Blazer is my 2nd top-rated but the trainer is 0-9 at this course and the jockey is 0-3 for this stable which put me off a fair amount, that leaves STAR CRACKER 11/1 who has a time from 2018 that would see it winning cosily but it's not a race where my stakes will be at full strength but it looks value to have a punt at the price. 

*NR 

Star Cracker 12/1 5th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Northern Queen -2.75pts, Red Bravo +1pt, De Latour +1pt, Talk Now +1pt, Laoise +1pt

Total: +.25pts

 

WINDSOR 1.35 

A competitive class 3 race with 3 known frontrunners among the 12 entrants, I will look to lay (The Cruising Lord 3 points lay who looks better over a shorter distance + Dirty Rascal 1 point lay who is the opposite and may need a longer trip) all 3 of the frontrunners could go well here especially Aljady and A SURE WELCOME 9/1 the latter could hold on against ARCANADA 7/1 this time reverse the form but it's very hard to split them as they were very close last time out and there's only an extra pound between them today, the topweight LOUIE DE PALMA 4/1 who is dropped in class to run here must have a decent chance and this one has a very good trainer/jockey stats which makes me thing connections are expecting it to go well here, I cannot split them and will be backing all 3 of them in this race.

Arcanada 18/1 2nd (-1pt)

A Sure Welcome 18/1 3rd (-1pt)

Louie De Palma 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Cruising Lord +3pts, Dirty Rascal +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: +1.25pts  

6:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (30th September)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 

Quite a poor race with only 3 of the 13 runners having a time fast enough to register on my figures, there is a couple of known front running types in the race and they are both in my top 3 so a lot of these could struggle to get involved here, Tavener in stall 6 is a possible pacesetter it comes out 2nd top overall but that figure was from 2018, Billyoakes is my original top-rated on just 2019 times and 3rd best overall despite this surface not looking to be its favoured, in top spot on both this year times and overall is PEACHEY CARNEHAN 7/2 and the 7lb claiming apprentice could swing things more in its favour and has a 1-3 record for the stable, if this one gets to lead or contest the lead it could prove hard to catch for most of these although I did expect it to be a bit bigger in price, probably about 5/1, but a winners a winner. 

Peachey Carnehan 7/2 7/2 6th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20 

In this dash there's 3 that look the likely pacesetters and ACCLAIM THE NATION 4/1 is one of them and it is my original top-rated by 4lbs and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch for the majority of this field but with *A SURE WELCOME 5/1 being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice it moves to top spot by just 1lb and this one likes to track the leaders and then it should be trying to stay on strongly at the finish but for the sake of just 1lb I'm going to have to back them both to cover the angles although I won't be getting rich at the prices backing them both but again a profit is a profit.

Acclaim The Nation 4/1 4th
*NR