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Showing posts with label You're Cool. Show all posts
Showing posts with label You're Cool. Show all posts

Monday, 22 May 2023

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (23rd May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

A field of 8 for this class 6 dash where 3 of them are natural front running types and my 1st and 3rd top rated horses are in that trio. Caribbean Sunset and Apache Star both race as though a longer distance would suit them better so should be staying on at the finish but both need to improve time wise to win this race. Red Walls is my 3rd top rated but doesn't seem to like it much when its challenged for the lead but would be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I doubt that will happen in this race. If they do go off too fast in this race and then fade nearing the finish then the one that is most likely to take advantage is Street Life and it is rated just 1lb below my top rated YOU'RE COOL but if this one gets the fractions right it should lead all the way. 

Small bet: YOU'RE COOL 15/2 Each Way bet + STREET LIFE 11/1. 

Lay bets: APACHE STAR 7/2 + CARIBBEAN SUNSET 4/1. 

AYR 7.00 

Another 8 runners race in this class 3 sprint but what the hell will lead I haven't got the foggiest, Shalaa Asker is 0-18 on turf and I doubt it will break its duck here so one to lay if of value to do so, Significantly hasn't produced much time wise and might need this run for fitness so another to add to the lay list along with Walking On Clouds who races as though further would suit it better and this race looks unlikely to be run to suit this ones racing style. Abduction likes to track the leaders and comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures, sitting in 2nd top spot is Soldiers Minute and this one can be held up or track the leaders which is what FAST AND LOOSE can also execute as its racing tactics and if able to reproduce its best rating from Pontefract last year it would be winning this race and will be carrying some of my money. 

Win bet: FAST AND LOOSE 4/1. 

Lay bet: SHALAA ASKER 12/1 needs to drop to a single figure price to be of value to lay.

Lay bets must be 9/1 and less sp.  

Sunday, 22 January 2023

1:20 Kempton Racing Tips (23rd January)

KEMPTON 1.20 

This a relatively poor class 6 sprint with 10 runners but no natural front running types amongst them, I cannot see anything that I think will be of value to lay and the picture for finding the winner isn't much clearer. I've got 3 horses all rated the same and one that's 3lbs lower on 2022 ratings but 5lbs higher using 2021 figures. Twentysharesofgrey 5/1 who can track the leaders or be held up recorded its best figure in 2021 at Chelmsford while its 2 course and distance runs here both resulted in it not registering on my figures as it was slow away on both occasions, Thomas Equnus 16/1 also recorded its best rating at Chelmsford but it was in 2022 and can also be held up or track the leaders. Lothian 8/1 recorded its best rating of 2022 over this course and distance but recorded an 8lb higher rating at Chelmsford in 2021. Admirable Lad 5/1 comes out in top spot on just course and distance ratings and it was recorded last year which probably puts it in pole position but Twnetysharesofgrey has by far the better trainer/jockey stats, maybe dutching all 4 is the answer or maybe leaving the race alone is best, the betting will be the final decider. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.20 

A class 6 dash for apprentice jockeys with 8 runners and half of them have been known to lead before and I think it will be won from the front. Prince Of Rome can lead but stall 8 isn't ideal although it is a versatile type but would need to improve time wise to win this race so maybe worth laying if of value to do so, Big Impact 13/2 will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders so maybe another potential lay. Rockley Point 14/1 a possible pacemaker is my 3rd top rated so could go well from stall 2 so maybe worth a small each way interest, Glorious Charmer could do best of those coming from off the pace so might be worth an each way punt but I will be hoping that YOU'RE COOL 8/1 can get to the front and then and then it should prove hard to catch. 

You're Cool 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Big Impact +1pt 

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 5.10 

A class 5 dash with 10 runners and 3 known front running types and I think this race will most likely be won from the front. Indian Sounds and Phoenix Star may stay on too late to win this race and will be lays if a single figure price. Blazing Hot 5/2 won last time out catching the front running PEPPER STREAK 14/1 (EW) by a length but at the revised weights the form should be turned around and makes it my top rated on course and distance times while ORNATE 16/1 (EW) another possible pacesetter is my top rated using Tapeta ratings from elsewhere so i will be backing them both hoping that one of them can lead all the way here and maybe they can both make the frame and at the prices they have to be backed each way.

Ornate 16/1 6th -2pts 
Pepper Streak 16/1 8th -2pts 

Total -4pts

Total on the day -4pts

Monday, 26 December 2022

4:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.30 Div I

A poor class 6 sprint split into 2 divisions with 10 runners and a couple of known front running types. Unless something else changes their usual racing tactics then the early pace could be set by Dodgy Bob from stall 9 while Won Love could set the pace if allowed to set a slow pace but I doubt either could lead all the way for the victory. I will look to lay Coolagh Magic 7/2 who I think is a better horse when racing on the Polytrack surface Pollinate 16/1 and Griggy 9/2 are both hold up types and my joint 3rd top rated although the latter can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop, I've got Admirable Lad 9/4 as my 2nd top rated who usually likes to track the leaders and has the stall 1 draw so ought to make the frame but isn't an each way price. My money will be riding on AMAZING AMAYA 9/1 (EW) and is another hold up type and if getting a clear run when needed it could pick the leaders up near the finish and an each way wager could pay dividends. 

Amazing Amaya 20/1 8th -2pts

Lay bet Coolagh Magic -3pts

Total -5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 Div II 

This 2nd division has 4 known front running types so should be a true run race, the four at the bottom of the handicap look to have virtually no chance of winning but I expect them all to be double figure prices. Astrophysics 3/1 is my 4th top rated but might struggle here with a fast early gallop and might be worth laying at the price. Peachey Carnehan is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated but isn't an each way price, Bomb Squad comes out in 2nd top spot and likes to track the leaders, it might be better when racing over further so should be staying on at the finish but my top rated YOU'RE COOL 12/1 (EW) is another front running type and if reproducing its best speed figure from earlier this year then it could lead all the way and at the price has to be an each way wager. 

You're Cool 16/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Astrophysics +1pt

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

A five furlong class 5 dash where 7 of the 11 runners have been known to lead before and my top 5 ratings are all front running sorts. I think Bethersden Boy 11/2 may be better when racing over further and in the make-up of this race stall 8 might not be ideal so I will look to lay it. Autumn Flight stall 6 and Ooh Is It stall 3 are my joint 4th top rated horses, Lihou is in stall 1 and my 3rd top rated so could do well if gaining control of the rails, Ornate 40/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 4 but its form has been very erratic and your never quite sure what to expect but the price is tempting for a small each way punt. My interest will be on KIM WEXTER 11/2 who is housed in stall 2 so ought to get a good early position and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.

Kim Wexler 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Bethersden Boy +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day -6pts

Sunday, 4 December 2022

4:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.20 Div I

A class six, five furlong dash split into two divisions and this first division has eleven runners with four of them having been known to lead before so it ought to be a true run affair. I will look to lay Amor De Mi Vida 7/1 if of value to do so as its a hold up type and may not stay on strongly enough to catch the leaders. If the top weighted front running type Pepper Streak who has the ideal draw in stall one, can reproduce its best Polytrack rating on this surface then it would be my top rated but it has run twice before on this surface at Newcastle and didn't register on my charts in either race so I have to assume this surface doesn't suit it. Red Walls 7/1 is my fourth top rated, Another Angel 25/1 in third top spot and Fair And Square 11/2 in second top spot are all front running types and they may battle too hard here for the lead and tire nearing the finish which could play into the hands of AMAZING AMAYA 16/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish and hails from the Derek Shaw stable and the jockey Tom Eaves has a fifteen percent strike rate when riding the stables older horses and if an each way price all the better. 

Amazing Amaya 25/1 9th -2pts 

Total -2pt 

Lay bet outside the betting guide of 9/1 and less sp

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.50 Div II

In this second division of the race there is just one known front running type in YOU'RE COOL 12/1 who is my third top rated using a 2021 course and distance rating and is top rated on Southwell speed figures,who hails from the Derek Shaw stable and I think this one was going to be a pacemaker for its stablemate, who is in the other division, and the apprentice jockey, Rose Dawes who has a twenty percent win ratio for the stable, riding this one was probably given instructions the to go off fast from the off to hopefully ensure at least one of them won the race and it might be able to do that here if allowed an easy lead so I will be backing this one and hopefully it will be an each way price. I think Big Impact 10/1 may need a longer distance and might be worth laying if its a single figure price near the off, Okaldi is my second top rated horse just one pound higher than the likely pacesetter so may struggle to catch the leader. My top rated horse SPANISH ANGEL 4/1 recorded its best rating at Newcastle last year but hasn't run over this course and distance before but if taking to the course it does have a good few spots in hand and would win a shade cosily.

Spanish Angel 2nd 4/1 -1pt 
You're Cool 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -4pts

Thursday, 10 March 2022

5:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (11th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45 Div I 

SYMBOL OF HOPE hasn't shown much in its recent runs and I think it will be an outsider and it might need this run after over 100 days off from racing. 

USTATH has shown nothing speed wise since 2020 and might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out plus jockey is 0-13 so maybe one to lay. 

TAHONTA finished 2nd last time out when the surface might have been riding slow but may be better over further so I couldn't back or lay.

AMAZING AMAYA comes out as my 2nd top rated using my speed figures which it recorded here this year and could make the frame so maybe an each way bet. 

PURPLE POWER another that might have only ran here when the going was riding slower than usual but also might need further, I couldn't back or lay.

LOUISE TREIZE has only slow times over this course and distance and usually tries to stay on at the business end of its races over this distance. 

MOP'S GEM this one may need this run for fitness, also has shown very little of note and I expect it will be an unfancied outsider. 

DAYSAQ I'm not convinced this horse likes this Tapeta surface compared to Polytrack and hasn't been in very good form in its recent races.

COUNTRY CHARM this one did record a good speed figure at Newcastle but that is now looking like a fluke when towed along in a fast run race. 

ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) showed a glimpse of what it can do last time out finishing 2nd over 5 furlongs and it is capable of doing the same over this 6 furlong distance and could lead all the way. 

LUCKYANGEL ha shown nothing worthwhile time wise or form wise and I expect it will be the biggest outsider in the race. 

SUMMARY: Firstly I will look to lay Daysaq if its a single figure price while I will be having an each way wager on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who I think is bigger in price because it ran over 5 furlongs last time when finishing 2nd but has also led over this distance and looks the value call in the race. 

Rockley Point 25/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 Div II

DARING GUEST its best rating from 2021 here wouldn't be good enough to win this race and it seems a better prospect when racing over further and I would lay it if of value to do so.

ADMIRABLE LAD is my 2nd top rated on just recent, 2021/22 course and distance speed figures and could be an each way prospect. 

LUCIA CHANGRETTA has only poor form to its name and it would be a surprise if it wins here but i expect it to be an outsider.

YOU'RE COOL could well be the one to set the pace to this race and it is my top rated and that's using a rating it recorded here this year and has a positive looking jockey booking.

CLASHANISKA comes out in joint 4th top spot using recent course and distance ratings so could possibly make the frame and usually stays on at the finish over this distance.

GLORIOUS CHARMER is the other 4th joint top rated and runs to its best on more than one occasion every so often so could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price.

TOMMYTWOHOOTS I expect this horse to be one of the outsiders and it seems a bit of a weak finisher whether running over this distance or further so not for me in this race. 

PADDY POWER has been in poor form in its most recent runs but does come out in 3rd top spot using its best rating from 2021.

VITESSE DU SON hasn't shown much of note recently or in any of its races so it would be a shock winner and an outsider in the betting.

ISABELLE RUBY I had to go back to 2019 to find this ones best rating but would need to improve on it to win this race and another outsider price-wise. 

SPARKLING DIAMOND this one looks the worst of them all and i would think the rank outsider and a miracle if it wins this race. 

SUMMARY: I could look to lay Daring Guest if its a single figure price at the off as for the winner i will have to back YOU'RE COOL 11/2 who has a good chance here of being able to set the early pace to the race and should then prove hard to catch and luckily it doesn't have to lead but I will be happier if it leads from start to finish.

You're Cool 11/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

Total on the day -3pts

Sunday, 13 February 2022

5:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (14th February)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 

ROCKETT MAN 9/2 hasn't registered a speed figure on its two course and distance runs but is top rated on recent Southwell ratings. 

YOU'RE COOL 4/1 comes out in 2nd top spot on both recent Southwell ratings and on the other 2 Tapeta surfaced courses. 

THE DEFIANT 33/1 has only a low speed figure from back in 2020 and I think it will be an outsider. 

NAGASAKI DREAM 7/1 may be better when racing over a longer distance and isn't in my top 4 ratings so may be worth laying if it doesn't drift to a double figure price.

AMAZING AMAYA 7/2 the other joint 3rd top rated but maybe the stables second string in this race so maybe worth taking on with a lay bet.

NANTOSUETTA 20/1 is making its handicap debut and if backed then it could be a good sign but it needs to improve on what its shown so far in its 3 runs. 

ASTROPHYSICS 25/1 isn't in my top 4 top rated horses and i think it will be an outsider.

COUNTRY CHARM 22/1 has only slow times on its 2 runs on this surface at Newcastle and another i expect to be a double figure price. 

LETHAL ANGEL 28/1 is my top rated using a figure recorded in 2019 but hasn't run over this c/d since that year but the stables last win was over a month ago. 

MUNIFICENT 14/1 has only a slow time from its one previous course and distance run and may need further to show its true potential. 

THEGREYVTRAIN 7/1 is my 4th top rated and could be the one to set the pace to this race and could do enough to make the frame. 

SUMMARY: The Greyvtrain could do enough from the front to make the frame, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay (maybe Nagasaki Dream as long as it remains a single figure price at the off and Amazing Amaya 7/2 who might be the stables second string) I will dutch, LETHAL ANGEL 28/1 who is my top rated using a 2019 speed figure but the stables recent form puts me off putting it up as my sole bet, ROCKETT MAN 9/2 is my top rated using recent Southwell figures but its 2 poor previous runs over this c/d stops this one from being my sole selection while YOU'RE COOL 4/1 comes out in 2nd top spot on both sets of figures and the trainer is in good recent form. 

You're Cool 11/1 4th -1pt 
Lethal Angel 28/1 8th -1pt 
Rockett Man 9/2 9th -1pt 

Lay Amazing Amaya +1pt, Nagasaki Dream +1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 

Q TWENTY BOY 6/1 is usually a hold up type and can find this distance too far with a fast early pace so i will look to lay this one at the price.

BARRINGTON 3/1 is one of 4 known front running types and my 2nd top rated so could do enough to make the frame but isn't an each way price. 

ELEKTRONIC 20/1 has only poor recent form to its name and I expect it will be an outsider in this race. 

PEACHEY CARNEHAN 16/1 is my 3rd top rated and a possible front runner but is drawn between what looks like two faster early paced types so may get squeezed out.

AXEL JACKLIN 11/4 a front runner who won last time out over this course and distance and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race.

THE FIRST HURRAH 6/1 is still a maiden after 14 races and might be better when racing over a longer distance so maybe a lay at the price.

PACOPASH 33/1 still a maiden who has poor recent form and hasn't even made the frame in the 10 races that its contested.

DODGY BOB 40/1 the 4th of the known front running types in this race and sits in 4th top spot on my figures so could make the frame if others falter. 

ISABELLA RUBY 25/1 has only poor recent form and it was back in 2019 when it last recorded a speed figure and will be an outsider. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay Q Twenty Boy 6/1 who may not stay the distance with a lot of early paced sorts in this race and The First Hurrah 6/1 who might need a longer distance to show its best as long as they stay in single figures at the off, if AXEL JACKLIN 11/4 repeats what it did when it won last time out it could comfortably follow up again here but I expect it will be a shortish priced favourite.

Axel Jacklin 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Q Twenty Boy -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts 

Total on the day -6.5pts

Thursday, 27 January 2022

2:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (28th January)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

STORM MELODY 4/1 sits just outside my top 4 speed figures for this race but has been in good form lately which is always a positive.

NOT NOW ZEB 14/1 has an ok rating from Southwell but hasn't run on this surface in this country, it might prefer further or a different surface maybe both.

HOWZAK 7/1 one of 4 known front runners in this race it comes out top on just 2021/22 c/d speed figures and its 2nd top on my overall figures. 

LA ROCA BEL FUEGO 7/1 has been known to lead but stall 10 isn't going to be good in the make-up of this race and needs to improve time wise on its best Chelmsford rating. 

LETHAL BLAST 16/1 in stall 2 has the best of the draw for a front runner but its speed figure doesn't quite put it in my top four ratings.

LOTHIAN 9/1 this is another that's just outside my top 4 ratings and races as though further might be better for it so maybe get to the leaders too late to win this race. 

SHAMSHON 12/1 hasn't been in good form lately but using a 2020 rating it comes out top rated but recent ratings leave it outside my top 4 ratings. 

GLAMOROUS FORCE 11/1 hasn't any form on this surface and would need to improve on its best rating which comes from Wolverhampton..

TOPLIGHT 9/2 is my 4th top rated using a Chelmsford speed figure and is usually held up for a late run but maybe it wont get to the leaders in time for the win.

WINGS OF A DOVE 6/1 the 4th possible pacesetter but stall 8 isn't the best with 2 other fast starters on its inside and hasn't won from 6 previous AW runs so one to lay at the price. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay Wings Of A Dove 6/1 who’s best rating might have been a one off where getting towed along in a fast run race, it is fairly tight on my figures between quite a few of the runners but i will be hoping that HOWZAK 7/1 can lead or at least contest the lead from the off and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Howzak 10/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet Wings Of A Dove +1pt

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45 

SIR HECTOR 10/3 has a figure from 2019 that puts it in 3rd top spot and hasn't any c/d form since then so it could make the frame but not an each way price.

Q TWENTY BOY 5/1 would need to improve time wise to win this and that is mainly down to it looking like it needs further to show its best. 

SHANGHAI ROCK 8/1 has poor recent form to its name and needs to improve on both its Chelmsford and Southwell ratings to win this race and could be worth laying. 

SAN JUAN 7/1 hasnt run on this surface before and would need to improve on its Chelmsford best rating for the switch but I couldn't back or lay this one. 

AMAZING AMAYA 6/1 has ratings from both Southwell and here over this distance which it would need to improve on to be winning this race so maybe another one to lay. 

YOU'RE COOL 6/1 has the stall 1 draw which is ideal for this front running type and its my top rated on recent c/d figures and 2nd top on my overall figures. 

QAARAAT 7/2 is an enigma who can run well or badly and your never sure what to expect but its usually the negative and i had o go back to 2020 to find its best rating and is poor value. 

LA CHICA LOBO 66/1 has only poor recent form and it will be a shock if this one wins and I expect it will be an outsider. 

SUMMARY: I have to hope Qaaraat 7/2 isn't on one of its very good days where it runs to its best but its too erratic and inconsistent to be backing in this race especially at the price as he's let me down a few times recently or maybe age is catching up with 7 year old who has had over a hundred races, 72 on the AW tracks with 5 wins, I will look to lay all or some of Q Twenty Boy 5/1, Shanghai Rock 8/1 and Amazing Amaya 6/1 if they are single figure prices at the off, I will be hoping that YOU'RE COOL 6/1 can get away smartly and make full use of its stall 1 draw and lead all the way to victory.

You're Cool 6/1 1st +6pts 

Lay bet Q Twenty Boy +1pt, Shanghai Rock +1pt

Total +8pts 

Total on the day +8pts

Monday, 17 January 2022

4:20 Southwell Racing Tips (18th January)

SOUTHWELL 4.20 

A ten runner race with three known front runners, Mokaman is my second top rated on recent 2022/21 Tapeta ratings with ROYDMOOR 9/2 sitting in top spot so this should be a decent early gallop so a lot of these might not be able to get involved in the finish, on just c/d runs on this new surface here I have it very very close between The Thin Blue Line 3/1 and Bert Kibbler 5/2 who finished first and third when they met last time out but there is only 5lbs between this time compared to 10lbs last time they met so the former should win this battle this time (if only things were that simple), the former hasn't any other data at either Newcastle or Wolverhampton to work with, so will need to improve for the switch to this course, while the latter comes out third best using its best figure from Wolverhampton but that is a few spots below Roydmoor who will therefore be carrying my money. 

Roydmoor 17.2 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt                                                                                                                                                             
SOUTHWELL 4.50 Div I 

The early pace to this race might be set by May The Sixth who comes out in third top spot on my speed figures but its been out of form in its latest runs and I think it will be an outsider, Rhubarb who is my fourth top rated may be better over further but may run on at the finish to make the frame, in second top spot comes Brandy Station but this one is another that hasn't shown much form wise in recent runs which leaves me with the top rated QAARAAT 5/1 who comes out top on both Tapeta ratings from elsewhere and on recent course and distance ratings but I am never confident when backing this horse who is a rule unto its self, you write it off and it runs well while if you bank on it it doesn't quite do the business but I cannot see an alternative to back so I will have to back it to a small stake. 

Qaaraat 4/1 4th -1pt

Total -1pt   

SOUTHWELL 5.20 Div II

There are three possible pacesetters to this race where Bernard Speirpoint 2/1 may do best but I think the leaders will be setting the race up for a finishing type so at the price I will probably look to lay it, Papas Girl 4/1 is my top rated on just recent course and distance times but has only one previous run at this distance on the Tapeta surface where it was held up in a fast run race and never got to the leaders, today's opposition gives it a chance to be much closer and then stay on strongly at the finish but the trainers 1-13 and the jockeys 1-24 doesn't fill me with enough confidence to make it a bet especially at such a short price, Cometh The Man comes out third best on Tapeta times from elsewhere and may be better when racing over further so may not get to the front in time in this race but could make the frame, Raabeh 33/1 comes out in top spot but is still a maiden after twenty three races and may have been flattered with its best rating where probably getting towed along in a fast run affair and the betting shows that the bookies agree with my reasoning, YOU'RE COOL 6/1 from stall nine may be able to follow Bernard Speirpoint form stall ten across to the rails and get a good early position from which to attack late on. 

You're Cool 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Bernard Speirpont -3pts

Total -4pts

SOUTHWELL 7.50 

Quite a hard race to analyse to a conclusion with quite a few lightly raced sorts in the race especially with no recognised front runners in the race, I am not sure I can find anything, again, at a single figure price, that I could lay. Aces 6/1 a hold up type comes out fourth best on my figures but this race might not be run to suit this one unless something unexpectedly goes off fast and sets a really fast gallop for this class of race, if I use a time from 2020 then Fircombe Hall comes out second best using a rating recorded at Newcastle but against it is that its another hold up type so may be suited to this race, my top rated is Independence Day but its been over three years since this one last won a race and has only ever won twice from over fifty runs, my top rated on just new times over this course and distance is DEEVIOUS BEAU 9/1 and it is also 3rd top rated on Tapeta speed figures from either Newcastle or Wolverhampton, it can either be held up or track the leaders, has good trainer/jockey stats and will be carrying my money but only a small stake.

Deevisious Beau 9/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -7pts

Wednesday, 19 May 2021

4:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10 

A field of 10 with 3 or possibly 4 of them having been known to lead before so it should be a true run affair although the 3 that I would say are natural front runners would all need to improve a good few spots to hold on for the win, Last page is capable of going well but doesn't like a really fast early pace so may struggle in the make-up of this race, Nubough has a time from Newcastle that would make it my top rated but this ones times here over both 5 furlongs and 6 furlongs are head and shoulders above what its managed elsewhere including over this c/d, my money will be riding on my top rated TATHMEEN 20/1 (EW) who is the possible 4th pacesetter although it doesn't have to lead to win, in the make-up of this race it should be able to get to the front or at least contest for the lead from stall 6 with just 1 known front runner drawn on the inside of it and if getting there ought to prove hard to catch but at the price it has to be an each way punt. 

Tathmeen 20/1 6th -2pts

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 

A field of 13 and just the one known front runner in the shape of the stall 11 horse YOU'RE COOL 8/1 who starts off as my 3rd top rated but the apprentice jockey riding it has a 0-6 record for the stable which is a bit off-putting but it could do enough to make the frame as all my data is kept for the win parts of a race and not the placed efforts, Qaaraat could go well but would need others to falter to even make the frame but never say never with this quirky animal coming out of stall 1, in stall 2 we find Aces another that could go well in this race being my 2nd top rated but being a hold up type the draw is a little irrelevant, I will be hoping that from stall 12 (SFUMATO--non-runner) will be able to track across to the rails by following the horse drawn on its inside and then gain a good position from which to attack at the business end of the race and the apprentice riding my selection has a good win ratio when riding for this stable. OK so one of my original selections is a non-runner so I will stick to the one selection hoping it can lead from start to finish. 

You're Cool 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt


CHELMSFORD 8.10 

A class 6 handicap dash with just the one known front runner, I don't think its a race to be betting too heavily in, Katherine Place has a good time from Lingfield which would make it my 4th top rated but hasn't run at this course before and the trainer is 0-11 here, Solar Park is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics and is my 3rd top rated so could go well, the bottom weight Aguerooo is my joint top rated but that is using a time from this year at Lingfield and its best c/d time is a fair few spots below that level, the other joint top rated is JORVIK PRINCE 20/1 (EW) and this one is the only natural front running type in the race although stall 9 isn't ideal in the make-up of this race, which might be the reason its such a big price, it might not be too much of a handicap in the make-up of this race and if it does get to the front it should prove hard to catch but at the price I have to suggest an each way wager.

Jorvik Prince 20/1 3rd -2pts (2 places) 

Total on the day -5pts

Friday, 26 March 2021

7:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00
 

Just the 8 runners with 5 of them being known to lead before and I have a feeling they might push each other too hard and something will come off the pace to pick them up nearing the finish, normally I would lay Lady Quickstep as this distance can be too short but as long as it doesn't get tailed off in the early stages it could run on to be thereabouts at the business end of the race with a mad early pace, Boudica Bay, Something Lucky and Qaaraat could run well but I'm hoping YOU'RE COOL 5/1 can track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and if the leaders do fade pick them all up in the closing stages. 

You're Cool 6/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

There is a couple I will look to lay, (Shoot to Kill 5/1 + Jumira Bridge 11/2) as usual as long as they are single figure prices, the early pace looks likely to be set by Freedom Flyer and this being only its 4th race it could still improve and could be a danger if allowed an easy lead, Street Parade, Inaam, Diamond Dougal and El Hombre have shown pieces of form which would make them competitive but i will be going with KAPONO 9/1 (EW) who at first glance doesn't appear to be in good form but a lot of its runs have been over 7 furlongs and i think this drop back down in distance could see it bounce back to form so looks the value call in this race and i am hoping its going to be an each way price so I can back it each way. 

Kapono 9/1 ew 2nd +1pt

Lay bets: Shoot To Kill +1pt, Jumaira Bridge +1pt

Total +3pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div I 

The early pace might be set by Requited but this isn't its ideal surface so doubt it can win from the front, I can find a negative about 7 of the 12 runners and I could look to lay, (Soyounique 5/1 + The Golden Cue 8/1 + Kingsley Klarion 6/1) if they are single figure prices, Ancient Astronaute and Moveonup have good speed figures but they are either from a different surface or from a long time ago, so the bet has to be KATELLI who I expect will be to the fore in the betting and anything from 3/1 or above would look decent value. 

Katelli 5/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Soyounique -5pts, The Golden Cue +1pt, Kingsley Klarion +1pt

Total -4pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 Div II

I can only see Major Valentine as a possible pacesetter but this isn't this ones favourite surface so I doubt it can lead all the way, I will look to lay (Manumission 7/2 + Corndavon Lad 15/2) Miracle Garden won last time out in a slowly run race and maybe this race might go too fast for it in the early stages and strictly on form Jungle Boogaloo who it beat in that race is weighted to reverse the form but sometimes after a win a horse seems to have a bit more confidence, Corndavon Lad my need further to shine, Griggy, Wiff Waff and Manumission all seem better over shorter distances, I will be putting my money on the top weight CHOOSEY 12/1 who seems the value call in the race and can be held up for a late run and from stall 1 it could get a good tow into the race by the likely pacesetter coming out of stall 2 and this one is my top rated on recent, 2020/21, c/d times but the apprentice jockeys 0-8 record for this stable isn't ideal but hopefully an each way bet could give some profit.

Choosey 22/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets: Manumission +1pt, Corndavon Lad +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day: -2pts

Sunday, 28 February 2021

5:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (1st March)


WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50 

This should be a nice class 2 race but a poor turnout of just 6 runners ruins things, I think the early pace could be set by Major Jumbo who is having its 1st c/d run and needs to improve on its best Newcastle time to hold on for the win and is the outsider in the field, Aberama Gold 7/2 is 2nd top rated overall but hasn't run at this course before so looks a short price for a horse that's not proven over today's conditions, HURAIZ 3/1 is 2nd top rated on recent time but it was recorded at Newcastle and its another that hasn't run here before but has a time from Lingfield that would make it top on overall figures, my top rated on recent c/d times only is FIZZY FEET 3/1 who is usually held up for a late run so this race might be run to suit it and I will be backing them both in this race. 

Fizzy Feet 9/2 4th -1pt 
Huraiz 3/1 6th -1pt

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.20 

This 5 furlong dash has 3 known front running types but is very competitive for the class, horses that could go well using some snippets of form are, Ballyare 11/2 who will be held up or race in the middle of the pack, The Daley Express 9/1 who can be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then try to stay on dourly at the finish, Agent Shiftwell 6/1 who is one of the possible pacesetters and Global Prospector 5/1 who is also one that likes to be to the fore in the early exchanges but none are what i would call each way prices, Zulu Zander 11/2 comes out 2nd top on recent c/d times and will be trying to stay on at the finish in this race so it should be thereabouts at the business end of the race but I am hoping YOU'RE COOL 5/1 can lead and in the make-up of this race stall 6 shouldn't be a problem and if does get to the front it could prove hard to catch and the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim can swing things further in its favour.

You're Cool 10/1 6th -1pt

Total on the day -3pts

Saturday, 30 January 2021

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (31st January)


WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

I will look to lay (Alsvinder 9/2) as this isn't its favourite surface, there are another 2 I could lay but they are both big prices so not of any value, 5 of the field have been known to lead before so it should be a mad dash for the line, BUY ME BACK 7/2 drawn in stall 2 is one that likes to lead and has a decent time from Newcastle which is the same surface but hasn't run here before but it does have a better time from Lingfield which would make it my 2nd top rated, Zulu Zander and A GO GO 16/1 who are my top and 2nd top rated on recent times are from the same stable and the latter maybe worth a small each way wager as looking at jockey bookings it might be the stables main hope in this race, YOU'RE COOL 14/1 is another that could try to lead and if able to repeat its best time from 2019 it would be the winner and at the price might be worth a small each way punt. 

Buy Me Back 4/1 3rd (-1pt)
You're Cool 14/1 4th (-2pt) 
A Go Go 16/1  5th (-2pt) 

Lay bet: Alsvinder +1pt

Total: -4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10

With no known front runners in the race it could become a tactical affair so its hard to analyse the race plus I cannot see anything of value to lay, Secret Potion has a decent time from Kempton but this trip usually taxes its stamina but if this is a slow run affair it could have a chance, Madrinho would be my joint top rated if I used its best 2019 time but has been well below that level since that year, I will take a punt on SEPAHI 4/1 who showed a return to form maybe imminent when finishing 4th on its last run plus its my top rated using recent c/d times and it can either be held up or track the leaders which it will probably have to do in this race to make sure it doesn't get caught flatfooted when the pace is picked up nearing home.

Sephi 7/1 9th (-1pt)

Total on the day: -5pts

Monday, 18 January 2021

4:40 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bet (19th January)


SOUTHWELL 4.40 

I might look to lay, (Fantasy Keeper 11/2) who has recorded relatively slow times and hasn't been placed in any of its previous c/d races and (Giogiobbo 6/1) who has slow times at this distance and looks to need further to shine, there is another 3 with relatively slow times to their names and would therefore need to improve to win this race, my 4th top rated is You're Cool 9/1 who usually front runs but I'm not sure if it can lead here with 3 other potential pacesetters, Another Angel 9/1 comes out 3rd best overall using a Newcastle time as it hasn't run here before so not sure exactly what it will do on this surface, in 2nd top spot is Alsvinder 6/1 who is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics but has only a slow time to its name for its only previous c/d run which isn't enough form for me to be confident if it does or doesn't like this surface, Red Stripes 8/1 could lead and has been placed lately but the jockey is 0-7 for this stable, I think the winner should come from the four mentioned but I cannot favour any as having a better chance so the betting will be the deciding factor but I'm hoping to dutch all 4, ANOTHER ANGEL 9/1, RED STRIPES 8/1, YOU'RE COOL 9/1 and *ALSVINDER 6/1 to make a profit but it will be to low stakes. 

*NR 

You're Cool 9/1 5th (-1pt)
Another Angel 20/1 7th (-1pt)
Red Stripe 9/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Fantasy Keeper 5/1 -5pts, Giogiobbi +1pt

Total -7pts

SOUTHWELL 7.10 

Only 7 runners but still a tricky race with a few relatively lightly raced sorts in the field and this shows in the fact that I've only got 3 with recorded times, Nick Vedder 4/5 is 2 from 2 over this c/d and is my 3rd top rated and has won its last 2 races so is in rude form and could possibly complete the hattrick but can it give weight away to all of the others as its handicap rating rises, I'm not sure, Katelli 5/1 is a 4yo who improved last time out to finish 2nd and is my 2nd top rated plus the trainer does quite well at this course with a 23% win ratio with its older horses and could improve again so has to be considered as a possible winner, my top rated is the front running Archimedes 14/1 who has finished in the frame in its last 2 races but the jockeys 0-13 record for the stable is off-putting and the horse is also 0-13 over this c/d but has made the frame in 3 of those 13 races but if allowed an easy lead it could prove dangerous, I think the winner might come from the 3 mentioned but its not a race to get too heavily involved in money wise and it isn't worth dutching with an odds on shot in the race, if pushed I might go with a small wager on Archimedes just because of the price but I'm nowhere near confident enough to actually put it up as a selection.

Friday, 13 November 2020

3:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th November)


LINGFIELD 3.40 6F LISTED 

What a cracking race, I might not be saying that after the race, there's 12 runners and 2 known front running types and Highland Dress from stall 1 could be the one to set the pace but I doubt it will stay there long enough to win the race unless it gets an uncontested lead and then it might do better than i think, i can only see two horses i would lay but I suspect they will be at least double figure prices, Good Effort, Soldiers Minute, Burmese Waltz, Sunday Star and Jovial could all go well here and i certainly wouldn't put anybody off backing any of them, the horse that is my top rated using a time from Chelmsford is SHIMMERING DAWN 11/1 (EW) it has never run at this course before but its best time at Kempton would also make it my top rated, this one has a trainers win stats of 21% while the jockey is 20% on anything from the stable it goes up to 36% when riding the stables older horses and hopefully from stall four it can get a good early position from which to attack late on and at a double figure price it has to be given as an each way punt. 

Shimmering Sea 16/1 8th (-2pts) 

Total: - 2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 5F Class 5 

I can see 3 front running types in this dash and also 3 that I could lay but I think Bahuta Acha might be the only one of the 3 at a single figure price, there are a few that have some piece of form that would make them competitive, Secretfact isn't well drawn in stall 10 and may struggle to get a clear run, Klopp usually stays on strongly at the finish over this distance and could possibly at least make the frame, the 3yo May The Sixth is top rated on just 202 c/d times but that time is quite a few spots below the ratings of others in the race from elsewhere, Shamshon is a possible pacesetter and could go quite well but its best time was from 2018, YOU'RE COOL 16/1 (EW) is my joint top rated and one of the possible front runners so it could prove hard to catch and it would be sole selection if it wasn't for the jockeys 1-29 record on the stables older horses, the bottom weight ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 14/1 (EW) is the other joint top rated admittedly that time was recorded in 2018 but it hasn't run over the c/d since that year, the trainer has an 18% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 2-4 for the stable which makes me think they are expecting a big run in this race both of them are double figure prices so i have to suggest backing them both each way.

You're Cool 16/1 3rd (+2.2pts)
Roundabout Magic 18/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: +0.2pts

Total on the day: -1.8pts

Friday, 18 September 2020

1:40 Newbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th September)


NEWBURY 1.40 

A great looking Group 3 race where 5 of the 9 runners have been known to lead before and I think the race will be run from the front, Jabbarockie and Wise Words have pieces of form that could see them make the frame, my 2nd top rated on 2020 times is TIS MARVELLOUS 11/4 and one of the possible front runners and has a time from 2019 that would make it top on my list, the one top rated on 2020 times is EQUILLATERAL 9/4 another possible pacesetter and both could prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Tis Marvellous 5/1 2nd (-1pt) 
Equillateral 9/4 3rd (-1pts)

Total: -2pt 

NEWMARKET 5.00 

Its a race where I'm not really sure what will set the early pace and I cannot find anything to lay with any confidence and to top it all off i can only narrow it down to 2 selections, Breanski I 3rd best on my figures and is either held up or races in midfield, FLAVIUS TITUS 8/1 who likes to track the leaders is actually my top rated using a fast run race here on the Rowley Mile course but since then it has shown very little, hence why its not my sole selection the other is MY STYLE 7/2 who will sit in midfield and then try to stay on strongly at the finish. 

My Style 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Flavius Titus 14/1 4th  (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15

A few lightly raced sorts in this race which always makes analysis much harder as does having no known front runners in the race, Bayar and Lucky Lodge are my joint 3rd top rated and only 1lb below BAHUTA ACHA 7/1 who has a time from 2019 that would move it to top time and will be the one I'm backing in this race, Jungle Inthebungle has the top time of just 2020 and might be worth an each way punt. 

Bahuta Acha 7/1 1st (Betfair SP 8.28) +7pts

Total: +7pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15

Of these 10 runners 6 have been known to lead, I will look to lay (Secret Potion + *Wild Flower + Mansfield) there are a couple more I could add to the lay list but I doubt they will be any value to take on, Dark Side Dream is 3rd top and has the plum stall 1 draw for a front runner, the one that could prosper if they go too fast from the off is Shepherds Purse but if YOU'RE COOL 14/1 gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and will be carrying my money and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

*NR 

You're Cool 17/2 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Mansfield (-4pts) (Betfair SP: 5.56), Secret Potion +1pt

Total: -5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45

I'm nearly ashamed to put this horse up again as my selection as it has let me down time and time again recently and yes I did say if it didn't win last time out I would never back it again but once again QAARAAT 4/1 looks to have the best form in a race and should win, I doubt it will be a very big price and might not be value to back but if running to its best of earlier this year before lock down or its best from 2019 it ought to win but maybe its one of those horses that never wins the number of races it should do.

Qaaraat 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  -3pts

Sunday, 13 September 2020

3:55 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th September)


LINGFIELD 3.55 

This looks a poor race in the fact that those that have good speed figures are not in the best of form or vice versa, there's nothing I could really lay with any confidence but there is 3 horses that have pieces of form that are a few spots higher than the rest of the field but which one of the 3 will win I'm not sure, Swell Song has a time from 2019 that makes it my 2nd top rated but the trainers 1-29 record and the jockeys 0-3 doesn't inspire confidence so maybe its waiting for another target, Katherine Place is 2nd top on just 2020 times and 3rd best overall but the trainer is 0-14 at this course which once again is a little off-putting, I have no option other than to side with THEGREYTRAIN 7/2 who is one of only 2 known front running types in the race and I''m hoping it can lead all the way here. 

Thegreytrain 7/2 2nd (-1pts)

Total: -1pt

BATH 4.35 

This looks a nice class 4 affair with 9 runners, I will look to lay (So Sharp unless theres some strong support for it as I think it might need further to shine and Union Rose who won for me last time out but I'm not sure it will handle this rise in class) Coronation Cottage could be added to the lay list because of the class factor but it looks to be an outsider so probably no value in laying it, Top Breeze, Thegreatestshowman and Star Prize could run well but I'm hoping that DILIGENT LADY 9/2 can get to the front and stay there for the duration of the race and it has good trainer and jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here. 

Diligent Lady 9/2 7th (-1pt) 

Total -1pt 

BATH 5.10

If the tissue prices are to be believed then I could lay (Illustrious Spirit + Bold Decision + A Go Go + Shani + Amberine) who are all priced 8/1 or under which looks to be the value cutoff point in this race, Jaganory is my 3rd top rated and a possible pacesetter and Stopdwortlnletmeoff my 2nd top rated could do best of those racing from off the pace but for the 3rd race today, so going for the hattrick of front runners, I'm hoping that ARCHIMEDES 16/1 can get to the front and lead all the way but at the price available I will be backing it each way. 

Archimedes 16/1 7th (-2pt)

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.20 

I'm going for the full house today, Kath's Lustre and Hard Solution are just outside my top 3 ratings, using 2019 times Ustath is 3rd top and Awsaaf 2nd top so they could make the frame, Precious Plum is joint top on just 2020 times but the figure isn't good enough to make the frame but it is one of 2 known front running types in the race but it might not be able to do enough to hold on for a place as the other front runner is YOU'RE COOL 15/2 who is joint top rated on just 2020 times but its best time from 2019 would see it winning cosily plus this is an easier race than its been racing in recently and hopefully I've found the 4th horse that will lead all the way for the full house.

You're Cool 10/1 8th (-1pt)

Total on the day  -5pts

Tuesday, 1 September 2020

6:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (2nd September)


WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10 

I will start this race with a couple who I will lay at hopefully reasonable prices (Dubai Elegance + Global Humor) Maid Millie has one time from 2019 that would make it my joint top rated but it was recorded in a lower class race and its looking like a fluke one off time, others that could go well on pieces of data are, Bahuta Acha, Lilklan and Jungle inthebungle although this one might struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which I quite expect in this race and that pace may be set by SLOWMO 50/1 (EW) who is my 2nd top rated but only by 2lbs and I have to put it up as an each way hope at the price, my other selection MARVEL 4/1 will need to get a clear run when it matters to catch it but from stall 2 it could gain control of the rails just behind the leader/s and then be in a prime position to attack and I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Marvel 4/1 4th (-1pt)
Slowmo 50/1 Unp (-2pts)

Total: -3pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45

The one I will lay in this race is (Dana Forever) who might find this trip on the short side to show its true worth and will be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to get the win but I don't think it will be long before this 3yo gets a win especially if stepped up to a 6th furlong, there's a few that could go well and be competing for a place, Dynamo Walt, Autumn Trail, Requinto Dawn, Lord Of The Glen and Shepherds Purse but I will be backing 2 in this race, one that could be hard to catch if getting to the front and that is YOU'RE COOL 12/1 (EW) who is my 2nd top rated and maybe worth an each way wager but my top rated is once again QAARAAT 16/1 (EW) but this one seems to flatter to deceive running well on numerous occasions but its only won twice from 51 races and most of them have been in class 6 races but maybe this step up in class and carrying a lot less than recently just might work and at the price might be worth an each way punt.

Qaaraat 16/1 4th (-2pts)
You're Cool 14/1 6th (-2pts)

Total: -4pts

Total on the day: -7pts


Saturday, 22 February 2020

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd February)


LINGFIELD 2.05 

This is a Listed class race in name only because none of them have proven themselves outside of handicaps and this is annoying when looking at form because although a horse might have won a Listed race was it a genuine race for the class but then again something has got to win this race. To be honest, it's a hard race to analyse especially when I cannot discard any of them, the topweight Good Effort will probably be the favourite but I think its a better horse over further as its best time at this distance from Newcastle would make it a few pounds short of winning this race but it does have very good trainer/jockey stats but its not the only one, Furious comes out 3rd top but this ones best time came from Chelmsford which is the same surface, Royal Birth comes out 2nd best and it has been running ok lately and it could make the frame again, I am hoping all 8 run so there's 3 places up for grabs and if so I will take a punt with an each-way wager on CORINTHIA KNIGHT 14/1 who is one of those with good trainer/jockey stats. 

Corinthia Knight 14/1 6th

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

Down to 5 runners where I can find one (Six Strings) to lay, I expect the early pace will be set by either Boom The Groom or You're Cool or maybe both, the topweight Verne Castle is dropped in class compared to some of its recent races but I would have to go back to 2018 to find its best time which would make it my 2nd top-rated but it's not reached those heights last year or this year so far, Restless Rose has good trainer/jockey stats and it is my 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times, Boom The Groom is another where I have to go back to 2018 to find its best time and it would take it to top of my list but recent times only make it my 4th best, YOU'RE COOL 7/2 is top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and its 3rd place on its last run looks a pointer to it coming back to form and therefore has to be the one I back.

You're Cool 7/1 3rd

Lay bets: Six Strings (+1pt) 

Total 0pts

Total on Day -1pt